Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Poll: Support for Bush, Iraq war dropping (Kerry 49% W 44% Nader 6%-W approval @ 46%)
cnn.com ^ | 05/14/04 | cnn.

Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL

That development appears to be helping Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush. In February, Bush was ahead of Kerry by two percentage points.

If Independent Ralph Nader is among the choices, Kerry gets 49 percent, Bush 44 percent and Nader 6 percent.

Bush's overall job approval rating fell from 49 percent to 46 percent since the last CNN/Time poll on April 8, while his disapproval rating rose from 47 percent to 49 percent -- the first time that more people disapproved of Bush's job performance than approved.

The poll was conducted by telephone Wednesday and Thursday.

The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; cnnpollpuuleez; commienews; invalidsource; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 261-280281-300301-320321-324 next last
To: FA14

Your attitude bores me. Go bitch to the Bush campaign if you think they stink. I'm sure they can use someone with your successful record of running political campaigns. I mean, they defeated (albiet barely) an incumbant Vice-President running on a strong economic record, they gained seats in the House and Senate for the first time in modern history in their first major national election after winning the Presidency, and have already raised record amounts of money for the 2004 election which you've already determined is lost despite being six months away. But they obviously have no idea what they're doing now, so give 'em a call. Nothing like a good dose of unconstructive bitching to jumpstart a political campaign.


301 posted on 05/14/2004 8:14:14 PM PDT by Rokke
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 278 | View Replies]

To: cohokie

Your data set is two points? This could end up like Ford. He was a mid-40 president who lost.


302 posted on 05/14/2004 8:24:52 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 96 | View Replies]

To: ambrose
And don't panic... it isn't like it will be the end of the world if Kerry wins

We might have a balanced budget. The horror.

303 posted on 05/14/2004 8:26:01 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 100 | View Replies]

To: AntiGuv

[/crickets chirping?]


304 posted on 05/14/2004 8:27:58 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 125 | View Replies]

To: AntiGuv

I think we saw some of the CW on economic numbers fall in 2000 when computer models predicted an easy win for Gore. Take away the DUI story and the models look even more foolish.


305 posted on 05/14/2004 8:32:32 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 119 | View Replies]

To: AntiGuv

There was some precedence for 2002-- with Clinton winning in 1998 despite expectations to the contrary. Also, that 62% job approval rating on Election Day 2002 made a prediction of a GOP night not exactly off the wall. If Bush were at 62% now, no one in their right mind would be predicting a Bush loss.


306 posted on 05/14/2004 8:35:22 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 117 | View Replies]

To: FA14

FYI...

"The July poll was a Newsweek poll with its own separate methodology that they merely commissioned with Gallup's call center (today they commission their polls from Princeton Associates).

I'm tired of telling you that so we should stop debating this topic."

--AntiGuv


307 posted on 05/14/2004 8:37:34 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 126 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative
I'm curious, has anyone been called by one of these pollsters?

At least in the State of Missouri we have a no-call list.

Just wondering.....are there any laws that govern pollsters?

I have seen these back-room sweatshops and their employees aren't the sharpest tools in the shed.

The only poll that counts is the one we step into on November 4th.

We just gotta keep FReeping on!
308 posted on 05/14/2004 8:44:02 PM PDT by not2worry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 306 | View Replies]

To: gathersnomoss

MR. Kottter !


309 posted on 05/14/2004 8:44:50 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 300 | View Replies]

To: AlbionGirl

Bush has problems convincing people who aren't already in his camp that he's right. Giuliani does a great job doing this. He should give Bush some tutoring.


310 posted on 05/14/2004 8:53:37 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 229 | View Replies]

To: AntiGuv

Steady leadership in a time of change. What, you need more? Greedy, greedy.


311 posted on 05/14/2004 8:56:24 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 240 | View Replies]

To: Pukin Dog
The point is, the election is and always has been Bush's to lose, and what happens in November is really in his hands. If he wants to win, he will. Its just that simple.

So incumbents merely have to will themselves to victory? Ummm... OK.

312 posted on 05/14/2004 8:58:24 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 241 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

The problem is that the voters are sending a resounding message that "stay-the-course" is not enough.


313 posted on 05/14/2004 8:58:32 PM PDT by AntiGuv (When the countdown hits zero - something's gonna happen..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 311 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative
I see that you are on here spreading your self-proclaimed omnipotent wisdom.

Well as I have been telling people on FR. I got caught up in polls back in 2000 and got burned.

Things won't matter until after the conventions.

JMO, FWIW, people are a little antsy now(Prison scandal, Iraq, gas prices) but things will come into focus after labor day. This election is an important one for we are at war and that will be the main theme of this election.

Who can handle the war on terror better.

314 posted on 05/14/2004 9:01:15 PM PDT by Dane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 310 | View Replies]

To: AntiGuv
The problem is that the voters are sending a resounding message that "stay-the-course" is not enough

So says you as of 5/15/04. Like I said things will come into focus after the conventions and again JMO, the voters will take the issue of the war on terrorism very seriously.

315 posted on 05/14/2004 9:03:58 PM PDT by Dane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 313 | View Replies]

To: Dane

I've never claimed I have the wisdom of God Himself.


316 posted on 05/14/2004 9:11:23 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 314 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative
I've never claimed I have the wisdom of God Himself.

IMO, with your writing style you sure do imply it.

317 posted on 05/14/2004 9:19:34 PM PDT by Dane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 316 | View Replies]

Frank Luntz, the Republican pollster and political strategist, said yesterday that public opinion was clearly moving against the war: "The photographs projected everything the public thinks is wrong about the war and drowned out everything the public thinks is right . . .[The president] has to be concerned."




SOURCE:


-----

The poll will show 42 per cent of people approve of Mr Bush's overall performance. Almost two-thirds are critical of his handling of Iraq, according to John Zogby, the pollster.

http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1083180528014


318 posted on 05/14/2004 11:58:52 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 317 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative
Well, like I said, my confidence in him and his people is definitely slipping. And I'm not a fair-weather constituent, my confidence is falling for good, solid, reasons.

I'm not so partisan as to follow a leader anywhere. Party means nothing to me. I'm a registered Conservative, not really a one-issue voter (I've had to hold my nose a few times when pulling the lever, Pataki being one of those times), but the aggregate picture with Iraq, and the expansion of the State is worrisome to me.

The Conservative Ideal is not even really put out there for consumption by this Administration or the previous so-called Conservative administration. Maybe it can't and won't ever sell, but the least they could do is try.

Another thing that is worrisome to me is the lack of good jobs out there. I have a decent job, but many people looking aren't able to find one. I know the employment picture is looking up, but are they jobs comparable to the types of jobs we were creating in the 90s? From what I've been able to observe, I don't think so. And the electorate sees that too, hence their inability to get excited over the seemingly now not-jobless recovery.

It's pointless pretending that the electorate can be convinced that the economy is not the President's direct responsibility. He sets the tone, and that's about all, and I know that, but the electorate heaps praise on him when times are good, any President I've seen does not rebuff that praise and try to teach the electorate real economic lessons, so when things aren't looking that good he gets the lambasting too.

I don't even expect a corruption-free administration. Politics is a dirty business, and if you play you probably have the capacity to be a little dirty yourself or are going to get a little dirt on you during your tenure. We're all only too human. Depends on the kind of corruption. But no leader that I've seen yet, is above reproach.

We need a leader, the likes of which I don't see out there, and in the context of the troubles and dangers we face presently, I don't find a historical role model for, with the possible exception of Churchill. I say possible because I'm no historian where he's concerned, so I could be way off there too.

319 posted on 05/15/2004 5:56:28 AM PDT by AlbionGirl ("E meglio lavorare con qui non ti paga, e no ha parlare con qui non ti capisce!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 310 | View Replies]

To: Rokke
Interesting way of a discussion. Presented with a few facts and observations you roll over and scream & cry and use the discussion tactics of an early high-schooler. That is too bad.

And lets clear some things up. I have never once said this election is over (or GWB has lost). In fact, I have said the exact opposite. That is is GWB race to lose (at the same time pointing out he is running a terribly lazy campaign). Raising money is not the only way to determine election success.

And understand he is not out-rasing Kerry (you are buying the media lie with that one). If you add up the 527's, the Unions, the two other large direct DNC organizations....plus the $100 million (to date) Kerry has raised....The DNC is well above GWB. (now throw in the over $600 million in free advertising the is given to Kerry through continual positive Kerry News and Negative GWB news...from the major outlets....and you should have an even clearer picture....The GWB camp isn't going to raise anywhere near the money Kerry will have to spend!).

Lastly I have not given nonconstructive criticism. I have suggested a number of things the GWB camp should have been doing or should do.

1. Coming up with new and creative ways to get good economic news out (it is a joke that most Americans still think we are in a recession...and even a bigger joke that you would still suggest the GWB camp is running a good campaign with this FACT).

2. The RNC should have had 527's up and running since the first DAY the DNC had theirs on the air. The fact is one of the main weapons of an incumbent...is to try and drive the "negatives" on the challenger UP....once a challengers numbers go up past the mid 40's....(history tells us they don't come back down)...What a better way to have driven Kerry's numbers up ...then with negative 527's..(they sure have worked on GWB approval numbers)...The RNC/GWB blew it hugely not having our own 527's up the past 4 months. NO EXCUSE!

3. The GWB camp should have come out with some type of "contract with minorities"....that would have focused like a laser beam on minority groups....Would have made the media pay attention and would have at least made the Dem's fight to not lose say even 5%...(the fact is if GWB can win 5 to 7% more of the African American vote this election....Kerry cannot win).....Have the contract with minorities be based on conservative principles....but with GWB touch.....It would have been brilliant (This was first offered as a option back in 2002....from a caller to Rush).

4. Having VP Cheney out more as a force. VP (who I love) has been almost nonexistent. This is a fact and has hurt the GWB camp.

Now these are just a few (I have listed more in other posts). What about you? You seem to just say....shut up...We are going to win (because I want us to)...and GWB is a pro....Give me a break.

320 posted on 05/15/2004 7:46:10 AM PDT by FA14
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 301 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 261-280281-300301-320321-324 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson