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Poll: Support for Bush, Iraq war dropping (Kerry 49% W 44% Nader 6%-W approval @ 46%)
cnn.com ^ | 05/14/04 | cnn.

Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL

That development appears to be helping Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush. In February, Bush was ahead of Kerry by two percentage points.

If Independent Ralph Nader is among the choices, Kerry gets 49 percent, Bush 44 percent and Nader 6 percent.

Bush's overall job approval rating fell from 49 percent to 46 percent since the last CNN/Time poll on April 8, while his disapproval rating rose from 47 percent to 49 percent -- the first time that more people disapproved of Bush's job performance than approved.

The poll was conducted by telephone Wednesday and Thursday.

The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; cnnpollpuuleez; commienews; invalidsource; polls
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To: comebacknewt
Agree 100%...KQQL does a good job at bringing polls and news. While I don't always agree with his conclusions....I appreciate his efforts.

What is crazy is all the freeps on here who act like no matter how LAZY the GWB camp is.....WE CAN"T SAY IT....because we can only say "GWB IS GOING TO WIN"..."KERRY IS SCARY"...blah, blah...

The facts remain, GWB approval ratings as of now are bad for an incumbent. The GWB camp has to find creative ways to get his economic message out. Period!

181 posted on 05/14/2004 3:20:00 PM PDT by FA14
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To: CasearianDaoist

Nonetheless that is reality. People have the political IQ of a jellyfish. Bush needs to get serious about gas prices--waive the federal gas tax, release the oil reserves, and AWNR.

I don't like the idea of releasing oil from our reserves, but if it makes a difference in who'll be President come January... So be it.


182 posted on 05/14/2004 3:20:09 PM PDT by Nataku X (Kerry's Entire Campaign: Bush bad. Medals good. Bush bad.)
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To: John Lenin

I always pick a president on the price of gasoline. LOL





Not on the price of his hair cuts?


183 posted on 05/14/2004 3:20:34 PM PDT by onyx (Rummy's job is winning the war, not micro-managing some damn prison.)
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To: John Lenin
Kerry should be up by 10%...

Why? I don't agree with that..

184 posted on 05/14/2004 3:20:54 PM PDT by AntiGuv (When the countdown hits zero - something's gonna happen..)
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To: KQQL

Folks, please, let's keep our mouths closed until the first debate. The debate will speak volumessssss! So hold on! Remember we are fighting the forces of evil...the pressWHORES and the demonRATS! I think that debate will turn the tables in favor of W!! He's gonna wipe the floor with LURCH!!


185 posted on 05/14/2004 3:20:56 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: All
You people make my head hurt. Did you think there would be no down moments during the campaign? THIS IS NOTHING. Since when do we believe CNN polls anyway, or any poll for that matter?

Bush is going to win this election by greater than 55% to 45%. Anyone who believes otherwise should go work for John Kerry right now.

186 posted on 05/14/2004 3:21:01 PM PDT by Pukin Dog (Sans Reproache)
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To: John Lenin

I think the key thing is to look at the states Bush won in 2000 and see which ones he might lose to Kerry.

Which states who voted for Bush would vote for Kerry?

And which states who voted for Gore, would vote for Bush?

And will Kerry keep all the states Gore won?

Key states in play are in my opinion, Ohio, Pennsylvania (and Florida):

Ohio went to Bush.

Pennsylvania went to Gore.

Florida went to Bush.

If Bush loses Ohio and doesn't win Pennsylvania, things don't look good.

This assumes Kerry keeps all of the other states Gore won in 2000.

Bush should be kissing up to Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida in my opinion.


187 posted on 05/14/2004 3:22:40 PM PDT by jimbo123
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To: KQQL

Good grief... It's not even a "registered voters" poll, let alone a "likely voters" poll. They might as well have surveyed a bunch of Canadians!


188 posted on 05/14/2004 3:23:04 PM PDT by Redcloak (Have you hugged your tagline today?)
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To: onyx

Anybody who doesn't think terror is the #1 issue this election is fooling themselves. I wake up every day, turn on the news and am waiting to hear what city was nuked or has a cloud of ricin over it. I don't think I'm alone.


189 posted on 05/14/2004 3:23:04 PM PDT by John Lenin (Never trust a traitor)
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To: BigTime
Very well put posts. Here is to hoping you are right.

With regard to Saddam. I think allowing the Iraqi's to hold the trial is a bad decision. It could become all mucked up. We should have put him to trial with Iraqi's involved. This would have put forth a reasonable trail, formatted for American's over here to remember just WHO and What Saddam was.....and why we had to remove him from power....Done this way....GWB numbers would have seen a little bump I would expect.

190 posted on 05/14/2004 3:24:04 PM PDT by FA14
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To: Redcloak
From the article:

He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush.

191 posted on 05/14/2004 3:24:49 PM PDT by AntiGuv (When the countdown hits zero - something's gonna happen..)
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To: FA14

The trial is going to galvanize the Iraqi people as a country, I think it's a brilliant idea to let the Iraqis do it.


192 posted on 05/14/2004 3:25:34 PM PDT by John Lenin (Never trust a traitor)
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To: FA14; KQQL

If Bush won't campaign then let's do it for him. Maybe we can start a new thread on ideas of how to get the message out in creative ways the media can't ignore??? Like how the PETA always gets in the news by doing looney things.


193 posted on 05/14/2004 3:25:39 PM PDT by Nataku X (Kerry's Entire Campaign: Bush bad. Medals good. Bush bad.)
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To: KQQL
This claim strikes me odd because to a person, everyone I have spoken to since the prison stories and the Berg murder, have hardened and are more determioned than ever to finish the job in Iraq and put an end (by death or capture) to as many terrorists as possible.

I still don't believe that a majority of Americans support a cut-and-run or believe that Iraq was a mistake.

If we are truly that wimpy, we better start worrying about standing up to any enemy in the future.

194 posted on 05/14/2004 3:26:15 PM PDT by Southflanknorthpawsis
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To: jimbo123

P.S. The Clinton states (1996) that Gore lost were:

Arkansas
Arizona
Florida
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
New Hampshire
Nevada
Ohio
Tennessee
West Virginia

Would these states who voted for Clinton, reject Gore, then vote for Kerry?


195 posted on 05/14/2004 3:26:17 PM PDT by jimbo123
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To: Pukin Dog
Say Dog, did you see that post about some Iowa Rep tell off Harkin? Look for it (Des Moines Register I think,) I almost pinged you. It is pretty funny. In so many words called him a pu**y. check it out if you have not done so already.
196 posted on 05/14/2004 3:27:56 PM PDT by CasearianDaoist
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To: John Lenin
If you think it will galvanize the Iraqi people....(lets just say I hope you are right).

I don't see it that way. It is not part of their culture. I see a trial run by a newly put in government...to be run-a-muck.....I see the trail not being run in fashion formatted for the American public (Western World) to get the most out of it....

What have the Iraqi's done (run by themselves) that has gone smoothly since we liberated them?

197 posted on 05/14/2004 3:28:21 PM PDT by FA14
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To: Dr Snide

Rest Assured! There is no way Clinton and her husband will let Kerry win this Race.


198 posted on 05/14/2004 3:29:06 PM PDT by HapaxLegamenon
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To: HapaxLegamenon

Could be the most accurate statement of the day!


199 posted on 05/14/2004 3:30:03 PM PDT by FA14
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To: John Lenin
Anybody who doesn't think terror is the #1 issue this election is fooling themselves.

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 15-18, 2004. N=1,201 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Now of the following list, which one of these will be the single most important issue in your vote for president this year: the U.S. campaign against terrorism, the war in Iraq, the economy and jobs, education, health care, Medicare and prescription drugs, Social Security, or something else?" Items rotated

  %    
The economy and jobs 26    
Iraq 23    
Campaign against terrorism 22    
Education 8    
Health care 5    
Medicare and prescription drugs 4    
Social Security 4    
Other 6    
No opinion 1    

 

The Harris Poll. April 8-15, 2004. N=979 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"What do you think are the two most important issues for the government to address?"
Top Responses
4/04 2/04
% %
The economy (non-specific) 28 31
The war 20 13
Employment/Jobs 15 16
Iraq/Saddam Hussein 10 6
Health care (other than Medicare) 9 16
Terrorism 8 4
Military/Defense 7 5
Homeland/Domestic security 6 8
Education 6 11

 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. March 19-21, 2004. N=784 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"I'm going to read you a list of issues and I'm going to read the list twice. Please tell me which ONE issue is MOST important to you in deciding how you will vote for president in November. . . ."

  %    
The economy and jobs 35    
National security 22    
Health care 16    
The war in Iraq 11    
Education 8    
Taxes 5    
Other (vol.) 2    
Not sure 1    

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 10-14, 2004. N=984 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Which ONE issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2004 presidential campaign?"

%    
Economy and jobs 31    
War in Iraq 11    
Health care/Medicare/Medicaid 10    
Education 4    
Terrorism (general) 4    
Other 31    
Don't know 9    

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 5-7, 2004. N=503 adults nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Thinking ahead to the elections for president in 2004, if you had to choose, which of the following issues will be more important to your vote: economic conditions or terrorism?" Items rotated

Economic
Conditions
Terrorism Both
Equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %
3/04 65 26 8 1 -
1/03 53 32 13 1 1


200 posted on 05/14/2004 3:30:30 PM PDT by AntiGuv (When the countdown hits zero - something's gonna happen..)
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