Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL
most americans haven't seen Berg pics or vid of beheading nor will, that means it will not have much effect on the polls.
The only thing most americans are hearing is Berg Dad says,
Nick berg died for W's and Rummey's sin .
Relax, Bush is going to creme Kerry in November. C'mon, the press is building it up for ratings...even they know it's a one-sided race. Kerry is a straw scarecrow...but not as fibrous!
gas prices are getting higher as we write.
#
makes sense now why ARG poll had w behind in OHIO
The July poll was a Newsweek poll with its own separate methodology that they merely commissioned with Gallup's call center (today they commission their polls from Princeton Associates).
I'm tired of telling you that so we should stop debating this topic.
And that is not the case now. The case now is Kerry is doing very well....and GWB approval ratings are not good for an incumbent. Period.
Which isn't happening here. This is the first poll in a while that has Kerry up over the 50% threshold. This is a slide, an obvious one, and we can no longer deny it.
Bush has been holding onto his 44-46% base. Kerry seems to be getting those undecideds already. This isn't good by any stretch of the imagination.
Look, yeah, I'm worried. I am also disgusted. There has been no defense of this administration, no counter against the vicious attacks launched against it. When it takes two Democrat senators to stand up and attack Kerry or defend Rumsfeld, as has been the case today with Miller and Lieberman it tells me this victory is dangerously close to impossible.
I hear the "it's not serious until September" line until I'm half-asleep. This is a far different time than what we are used to. People are making up their minds already, and sticking to their options. Why else can explain the solid numbers for both candidates?
The campaign better start spending money now. A lot of it, in order to shore up those numbers before this race become less of a competetion than a death watch.
You have the brainpower of a moth.
It is not at all unusual for an incumbent to trail in polls the year before the election. In fact, it's typical.
I think a lot of the old "rule book" on elections went out the window in 1992.
In 2002, Wayne Allard consistently polled in the low 40s against Strickland. Under Poly-Sci 101, that should have made Allard a dead duck with undecideds going to the challenger. Simply didn't work out that way...
Elections in Georgia didn't turn out the way anyone expected either. Even in countries like India, we're seeing elections turning out in ways that no one predicted.
The situation is and will remain fluid.
On that latter point, certainly the media is a probable contributor. My guess is that the majority of people I talk to don't get their news from the Internet. Most probably its cable or satellite TV. While FOX news does okay on that score, there are many other competitors who lean the other way.
Then again, even if that's so, what can be done other than spending gobs of cash to counter that negative spin (and pro-Kerry stance) by the lamestream press? I saw recently where the Bush campaign went over the $200 million mark. Will that be enough? That much money to run a Presidential campaign! It's getting scary out there.
That fat Clymer, Bill Schneider said, about this one: "Kerry almost pulled equal to Bush."
49-42 is "almost equal"?
The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points, but that margin varied for questions specifically asked of smaller groups, such as likely voters
Be happy that the margin of error went UP when likely voters were figured, as I've noted.
I would not post disinformation.
I'll assume an apology will be forthcoming and I accept it.
Cavuto's panel ALL agreed OPEC
is fixing to flood the market with oil.
The Election is on Nov 2nd. Put your money where your mouth is, I'll take W for a $100.
LOL! Feeling feisty today?
Victory will not come easy nor is it assured. We must put work in manning registration desks, walking the neighborhoods, and selling OUR message to the public to counter the Kerry menace casting its shadow on the country
No, I'm just arrogant. LOL
I don't know the answer to that myself and so I have no real opinion on the matter.
Might wanna work on those reading comprehension skills a bit..
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