Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL
thanks for the ping
@
Still a dead heat statistical tie, race hasn't move from margin for error territory.
None of this matters, since we use an electoral, not popular vote system.
Bush is still ahead in the electoral arena.
President Bush would be wise to start talking about the decade's old links between OBL and Saddam. Support for the war would increase greatly.
no he 's not. If kerry wins the popular vote by more than 1.0% in 2004 he wins both/
not good. this is getting scary.
'Tis only a flesh wound.
If this scares you, maybe you've forgotten those CNN polls from Feb. showing Bush down by 12% to Kerry.
Wow.. He is doing good despite the poll being from CNN/Time!
A gangrenous one, maybe...
There's no way Bush would win the Electoral College if Kerry beat him by five or six points, as this poll suggests. It's not impossible, but the probability is vanishingly small.
That lead was expected. The trend for bush has been negative especially his approval ratings.
You are thinking the 2/16-17 Gallup Poll.
If the source is CNN, Reuters, AP, MSNBC, CBS, NBC, or ABC, its SUSPECT!
He never had. Most of his cabinet says it ain't so. Except for Cheney who keeps alluding to the tie.
Right now W's average approval ratings is 46.0% from last 7 polls (Rasmussen and Dem or GOP polls don't count) and the max W can get over his average approval rating in a 2 way race is 1%.
So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.
Kerry 51.0%
W 46.6%
Nader 1.6
Others 0.8
W/O Nader
Kerry 51.9%
Bush 47.0%
Others 1.1%
True about the trend except maybe with Rasmussen which has shown the race and W. approval numbers to essentially be static since January.
It is the "premise" on the economy that the GWB camp needs to hit. If they fail to do this, GWB will be a one-termer. They need to come up with creative ways of getting good economic news out (Creative ways that the partisan media can't gloss over or ignore).
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