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The Coming Storm
www.fredoneverything.net ^ | 4/29/2004 | Fred Reed

Posted on 05/02/2004 7:01:41 AM PDT by chasio649

The Bell Curve, an excellent book more maligned than read, pointed out a trend seldom noticed. The authors called it “cognitive stratification,” not a phrase Byron would have chosen but serviceable enough. It means the concentration of the intelligent.

In 1850 people of high intelligence were dispersed through the population. If the child of a cowboy had an IQ of 160, he would probably remain in the geographical region with cowboys. He might be more successful than most, and might choose as friends the quicker wits thereabouts. Yet he would be part of the community.

A cowboy could be intelligent, but didn’t have to be. But then came the professions that required high intelligence. The dull-witted cannot work as programmers, chemists, engineers, doctors, or investment brokers. They can be decent and productive. They cannot write assembly code for a planetary probe.

In 1850 there were few jobs requiring the very bright. Today they abound. Universities began to scour the country for the highly intelligent. These, once found, met each other at elite universities or, later, in the places where the bright concentrated to work: Laboratories, software houses, hospitals, magazine journalism, and occasionally law firms. They married each other. Their children tended to be bright. The result has been that the bright tend to live, play, work, and sleep almost entirely with each other.

An opposite concentration occurs at the other end of the curve. In the cities the bright among the ghetto rise and leave for the suburbs. Who is left behind? If, generation after generation, the smartest take themselves out of the gene pool, the results will be just what we see. This is the underclass. It exists. It is larger than most people suspect. It is dangerous.

“Underclass” is not synonymous with “blacks.” There is a large and, I gather, growing black middle class. There is a substantial white component in the underclass. In the barrios of California one encounters Mexican unsalvageables. Whatever their color, they share low intelligence, little education, bastardy, and a tendency toward antisocial behavior. (Or, as we call it in English, “crime.”) They have no attachment to the standards that constitute civilization. They hate those above them.

Many of the insulated bright imagine themselves to be liberal (an arguable proposition), to care about “the people,” and to favor “diversity.” Few I’ll guess have had any contact with the underclass, or even with people who don’t have degrees. They have never been in South Central, never spent time in roadside stores in backcountry Kentucky or hung out with the crackers of Florida. They have never really met even normally intelligent rural people, whom they call “rednecks.” At their parties you do not see bus drivers or cops or factory hands.

If they knew “the people” they would not like them. The diversity they ideologically approve are people they viscerally detest. Down inside they must know this: It is why they avoid them. The diverso-elite alliance is a fragile one.

The elite do not understand, or perhaps more correctly refuse to admit, how very limited are the dull. They can’t concede that the course of managed improvement that they once believed in for the underclass, and try still to believe in, won’t work. Thus for example they call for programs to close the “cybergap,” and bring the internet to the downtrodden. They don’t understand that the downtrodden can’t use the internet, and aren’t interested.

The very bright assume without thinking that people can learn anything they choose. A woman who graduates from Yale in biochemistry takes for granted that if she wants to learn Italian, she can. It will take time and effort but she will have no doubt as to the outcome. New digital camera? She can figure out how to use it without the manual. She is used to gas chromatographs and gene sequencers. Learn PhotoShop? She just does it. After all, it’s only software. She assumes, unless she thinks carefully, that people know history, politics, literature, because she does and everyone she knows does.

It isn’t so. There are huge numbers of people who don’t read books, have never read a book, who can’t read. According to Newsweek,* forty-seven percent of Detroit is functionally illiterate. The illiterate live in a mental world beyond the capacity of a biochemist to imagine. Try to erase from your mind everything that you have ever read. Then imagine regarding a camera as simply incomprehensible. Or a checkbook.

The cognitive elite tend to favor diversity and affirmative action. They say that they believe that all groups are equally intelligent, and furiously resist evidence to the contrary. Yet by now they have to know it isn’t true. Believing what you know to be false, pretending to like people you naturally loathe, stresses the tectonic plates. A spring is being wound.

The potential for conflict is high. The underclass—the diversity—exacts a price. It is responsible for crime, almost all crime, which carries with it the cost of the prisons, police forces, decay of the cities, welfare both open and hidden, and a decline in the tenor of life.

The need to make the merely dull-witted seem not to be, even though they are not necessarily of the underclass, degrades the schools. The beneficiaries of affirmative actions, though they are seldom of the underclass, are frequently of the same racial groups. This fuels a quiet anger, a racial anger, among the middle class, who among themselves no longer even pretend that things are not as they obviously are. It isn’t quite reasonable that it should be racial, but it is.

The elite can buy their way into safe neighborhoods and better schools. The economic middle class cannot. They resent paying for welfare, resent taking up the slack for workers who don’t, and have no ideological attachment to diversity. As the baby boomers retire, suggest some,** the cost of their maintenance to the working middle class will become so burdensome as to engender revolt.

Diversity as a spoils system just may be heading toward its end. It’s curious: I don’t know anyone who objects to hiring without regard to race, creed, or color. I know almost no one who isn’t angry about affirmative action--and about the enstupidation of the schools for the benefit of the uninterested, and about unending crime…. If the dam finally breaks, what then?


TOPICS: Editorial
KEYWORDS: diversity; iq; multiculturalism; thebellcurve
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To: sciencediet
Sometime in the early 1930's I believe or late 1920's, psychologist Louis Terman set up a longitudinal study of a group of children who tested in the gifted range of intelligence.

"Terman's Gifted Children" were followed throughout their childhood with periodic monitoring, interviews, data collection etc, and the study continued on into their adulthood. The "Children" who survive are now in their seventies.

I haven't seen data on them since they were in their mid-fifties, and maybe the study ended around then. It revealed many interesting findings, including some enlightening data on suicides.

The primary trend which was discerned on a wide variety of measures, however, was that compared to the general population, "gifted children" grew up to be healthier, happier, more successfully married, more successful in their work.

I don't recall data on their marriage partners but it would follow normal behavior pattersns to asssume they paired up with people like themselves.

The "gifted." it appears, live good lives.
141 posted on 05/02/2004 11:04:59 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: JasonC
Everyone lives in a functionally differentiated world, where the division of labor mandates specialized ability concentrates on the highest value-added tasks. And those tasks coexist with other related tasks that do not make such demands. Doctors have receptionists. Software makers have salespeople. Neither are typically PhDs.

I don't doubt that the elites know many in the non-elite class, (their groundskeepers, clerks, etc.) That does not mean they intermarry. The point of the article is that there is pressure to move from areas where the elite get little intellectual stimulation. If this is true, then the areas of stimulation may be growing. Is this the city elite? I supposed it to be the college campus, as this is my experience with it.

Likewise, there is a lot of sexual activity among the poorly educated, who we can lump with the non-intellectual group. These kids are likely born with fewer "little gray cells" and then society does not encourage the education and skill development that would compensate.

I don't think a case can be made that this is going to upset the applecart, because the sieve is leaky. (There are lots of counter examples and people are leaving the ghetto under equal opportunity conditions fast enough to keep from having a revolt. Likewise, intellectual elites have enough non-socialists to keep that activity from overcoming our society.)

142 posted on 05/02/2004 11:05:37 AM PDT by KC_for_Freedom (Sailing the highways of America, and loving it.)
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To: Cultural Jihad
" ...A man once broke a bone. Rather than seek out a wise and experienced doctor to set and help heal the broken bone, he proclaimed: "I'll just fiddle with it and fix it according to how *I* think it ought to be fixed and healed!"

Your point? Are you saying that doctors are wise, experienced and have the ability to heal?

I am a woman who twice broke bones. They healed quite nicely on their own. One was after being told the bone was not broken by a "wise and experienced" doctor who later called to say he'd made a mistake and I should return to have the bone set.

Of the doctor's I've unfortunately come in contact with, I'd say only 1 in 10 are even competent. The others just think highly of themselves. By the way I also had a PANEL of doctors tell me I had cancer and proceeded to nearly kill me after removing a benign calcium deposit. Meanwhile my sister died of actual cancer while her "wise and experienced" doctor kept telling her it was all in her head.

Well I'm through ranting. My apologies to any competent doctors out there.
143 posted on 05/02/2004 11:09:29 AM PDT by pizzalady
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To: Travis McGee
What's the Heinlein quote about the skills a wise man should have?

A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects.

--Robert Anson Heinlein

144 posted on 05/02/2004 11:10:12 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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To: SauronOfMordor
I don't think that happens too often --- but how many college grads had parents who had very humble careers? Or how many college grads have kids who without their financial help would end up in a trailer park? The other problem is that the very brilliant women from the graduate programs might not have many mothering instincts and either don't have children or send their children to day care centers where they actually lose out. The child from a lower IQ mother might do better from early nurturing and better stimulated infancy.
145 posted on 05/02/2004 11:12:59 AM PDT by FITZ
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To: Dust in the Wind
Lack of common sense is inherent in all IQ ranges.

It’s not so much what folks don’t know that causes problems; it’s what they do know that ain’t so.

--Artemus Ward

146 posted on 05/02/2004 11:15:05 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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To: FastCoyote
Absolutely! Extremely intelligent people tend to talk themselves out of big business deals. Some are also so busy delving into and exploring everything, they're the happiest people on earth, but not monetarily successful. Many are so occupied that they also tend to socially inept (I've seen some that shouldn't be let out! LOL!)

The most money-earning individuals in this study were , amazingly C-students - almost predictable.

147 posted on 05/02/2004 11:15:51 AM PDT by Lady Jag (I dreamed I surfed all day in my monthly donor wonder bra [https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate]))
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To: SauronOfMordor
How many college grads marry high-school dropouts from the trailer parks? Occasionally, if she's exceptional.

A female professional is unlikely to marry an unemployed handyman, even if he's very good looking.

Unfortunately, they may instead marry an unemployed politician, good looking or not.

148 posted on 05/02/2004 11:17:55 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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To: raybbr
Why have the costs risen so much?

Aside from inflation? I don't know, but reflecting on my own experience, in the 60's $3000 bought you tuition at a good college, or a good car. Now, $30,000 does the same thing.

Except, the cars have gotten better.
149 posted on 05/02/2004 11:20:05 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: chasio649
bump for future reference.
150 posted on 05/02/2004 11:20:10 AM PDT by Euro-American Scum (A poverty-stricken middle class must be a disarmed middle class)
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To: hinckley buzzard
Long story short.

IQ is measured in a bunch of categories, 12-20 like spacial recognition, recall, deduction; I can't think of them right now.

Some people can have an extraordinary high score in one category, say manual dexterity, and still score Moron on an IQ test.

Obviously, in order to have the highest IQ, one must score well in at least most of them, and span those categories, thus tending to make the smartest people the most divided on what they like to do the most. (this is part of my beef with ADHD, but that's another thing).

So, yes, smart people tend to be happier and consider themselves successful, but they tend not to be wealthy or even successful by mainstream "standards".

151 posted on 05/02/2004 11:24:07 AM PDT by Lady Jag (I dreamed I surfed all day in my monthly donor wonder bra [https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate]))
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To: philman_36
A man once broke a bone. Rather than seek out a wise and experienced doctor to set and help heal the broken bone, he proclaimed: "I'll just fiddle with it and fix it according to how *I* think it ought to be fixed and healed!"

Well, did the bone heal properly? If so then what is your point.

Country and Western music promoter Carlton Haney, who financed and promoted Bill Monroe's first Bluegrass festivals and got Willie Nelson his first gig with Porter Waggoner, suffered from chronic beck pains and was unable to find a physician who could relieve his condition. Upon examining his X-rays, he disassembled and studied a possums backbone, entered into discussions with some chiropractors and a physical therapist, and within six month had eliminated what had been a lifetime condition of suffering. He had somewhat better motivation than the merely curious, however.

152 posted on 05/02/2004 11:25:37 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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To: Jack Black
Somewhere between age 20 and 25 or so stupidity and ignorance become indistinguishable. It is probably possible to fix the latter after this age, but in practice almost never happens.

Another way of looking at it: if someone has not realized that he's ignorant by 25, and taken effective steps to correct it, then he's almost certainly stupid

153 posted on 05/02/2004 11:26:07 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (That which does not kill me had better be able to run away damn fast.)
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To: Enduring Freedom; vanmorrison; Travis McGee
The real enemy is Liberalism and the Democratic Party.

Truly, America is everything without them, and nothing with them.

They are an enemy, and probably the primary one. But they are not the only one, and their accomplices and abetters should also be viewed as hostile to America's best interests, as should those others who have adopted tenets of their successful modus operendi.

154 posted on 05/02/2004 11:29:26 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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To: archy
Unfortunately, they may instead marry an unemployed politician, good looking or not.

Women with large amounts of inherited wealth would find senior politicians attractive. The politicians would provide access to certain circles where business deals are hammered out. And it's been long noted that members of our Senatorial class seem to get excellent investment advice, as their portfolios increase at rates far exceeding the norm.

Especially when dabbling in cattle futures

155 posted on 05/02/2004 11:33:54 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (That which does not kill me had better be able to run away damn fast.)
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To: MissAmericanPie
They may be right, I work out at the gym three times a week, have taken kick boxing when it was the new fad. I may look fluffy, but when the fur flies...

You are a true Yellow Rose of Texas. But it does not hurt your position that you are not the only one in the garden.

However, beware the infestation of locusts that dooms you all.

156 posted on 05/02/2004 11:34:38 AM PDT by archy (The darkness will come. It will find you,and it will scare you like you've never been scared before.)
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Comment #157 Removed by Moderator

To: sciencediet
Guess you didn't read my whole post. In the study, the gifted children were more successful in career, health, and personal life, as measured by objective impartial standards, not by self-perception.

That's why we do empirical studies: to develop actual valid information which replaces anecdotes about someone's uncle, or popular myths about the genius who can't tie his shoes.
158 posted on 05/02/2004 11:40:33 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Dudoight
You don't? Care to explain where you see the author as off track?
159 posted on 05/02/2004 11:47:03 AM PDT by O.C. - Old Cracker (When the cracker gets old, you wind up with Old Cracker. - O.C.)
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To: hinckley buzzard
You have Freep mail.
160 posted on 05/02/2004 11:47:14 AM PDT by Lady Jag (I dreamed I surfed all day in my monthly donor wonder bra [https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate]))
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