SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO,WESTERN OKLAHOMA, NORTHWEST TEXAS

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER ^ | 25 Apr 2004 | NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER

[Lokibob]

 

 

 

 

 

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 121
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   220 PM CDT SUN APR 25 2004
  
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
  
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
          WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          NORTHWEST TEXAS
  
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
  
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
  
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
   NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 35 MILES NORTH OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS.
  
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
   PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
   WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
   WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
   TORNADOES.
  
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING OVER NORTHEAST NEW
   MEXICO IN ADVANCE OF STRONG UPPER VORTICITY MAX MOVING SEWD OVER
   SERN CO.  OTHER CELLS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER THE SRN TX
   PANHANDLE... WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING CU DEVELOPMENT IN THE NW
   TX PANHANDLE.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
   INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AS DYNAMIC FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT
   INCREASES OVER THE AREA.  STEEP LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH COLD
   TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND DEW POINTS IN THE 40S AND 50S ARE RESULTING
   IN MLCAPE OF 1000 J/KG.  STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL ENHANCE STORM
   INTENSITY WITH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND OCCASIONAL STRONG WIND
   GUSTS.
  
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27020.

 

Current Convective Watches

 

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Mayfield, OK Tornado from May 16, 1977

 

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[Lokibob]

Heads up Kids.

[b4its2late]

Hit the dirt running....... it might suck to live in the northeast, but at least we don't get too many tornadoes, earth quakes or hurricanes.....

[b4its2late]

Just alot of 4 seasons.....

[jwalburg]

Is this anywhere near Taos?

[Mears]

Good luck,folks. I live in the Northeast and have an irrational fear of tornadoes.

Then again,maybe it's rational.

[babaloo999]

I think Taos is about a hundred miles west of the box on the weather map.

[jwalburg]

Thanks. Got a brother there. Now I won't worry.

[Sally'sConcerns]

Good luck,folks. I live in the Northeast and have an irrational fear of tornadoes.

Then again,maybe it's rational.

I live in southwestern Oklahoma and I have an irrational (or maybe rational) fear of tornadoes. I spent Friday afternoon at a friends house because they have a cellar. We didn't have any tornadoes that day but 10 miles south of there we had golf ball and bigger sized hail.

Rats, I thought we were through with bad weather for a couple of days. I bought charcoal to grill hamburgers this evening. Guess that's out of the question now since radar shows thunderstorms coming soon.

[Lokibob]

[Lokibob]

Mesoscale Discussion 478

   
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0478
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 PM CDT SUN APR 25 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...TX PANHANDLE...WRN OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 121...
   
   VALID 252214Z - 260015Z
   
   HIGHEST THREAT OF HAIL STORMS WILL BE OVER ERN PORTIONS OF WW OVER
   THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   SCATTERED SEVERE HAIL STORMS HAVE FORMED OVER ERN PORTIONS OF
   WW...IN RELATIVELY RICH MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT COMPARED TO THAT OF THE
   WRN HALF OF WW.  A CONTINUED INFLUX OF UPPER 40S / LOWER 50S F
   DEWPOINTS FROM THE SE...MIXING WITH HIGH THETA AIR FROM THE SW WILL
   MAINTAIN SEVERE HAIL THREAT OVER NWRN TX AND WRN OK...OVER SERN PART
   OF WATCH BOX.  
   
   FURTHER N OVER W-CENTRAL AND NW OK...LEFT SPLITS HAVE MOVED NWD AND
   MAY BREACH NRN BOUNDARY OF WW. THETA-E IN THESE AREAS IS LOWER THAN
   FURTHER S...BUT ISOLATED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
   
   STRONG COLD POOL PRODUCED FROM EARLIER CONVECTION UNDERNEATH UPPER
   VORT CONTINUES MOVING SEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.  SEVERE THREAT
   STILL EXISTS OVER WRN AND CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE...BUT DISRUPTED MOIST
   FEED WILL LIKELY DECREASE HAIL THREAT AS COMPARED TO AREAS TO THE
   EAST. THE DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER AND APPROACHING COLD POOL...COMBINED
   WITH RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WILL HOWEVER MAINTAIN A MINIMAL SEVERE
   THREAT...WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS INCREASINGLY LIKELY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/25/2004

[SWake]

Does this mean we're going to have a "Watch out everyone from Wichita Falls to OKC!" thread every day until mid-August?

Seriously, it is weird to turn on the PC and get a weather report on FR before I hear about it on the local TV or radio stations. This will probably be here (Ft. Worth) before dawn.

[Sally'sConcerns]

I thought I was going to be in a safe area today since they were initially stating the bad weather would be at the most, 30 miles north of the Red River.

Hopefully we won't have hail and tornadoes every day until mid-August. I don't think my heart can take the stress since I hate twisters.

I'm right in the hail circle as posted in the map above.

[Tax-chick]

Tornado news - of course, by tomorrow afternoon, this will be old news :-).

[kittymyrib]

This was a strange system though, a huge pool of cold air over the Panhandle at this time of year with north winds over 50 mph hitting Lubbock. Of course, the worst weather was heading for Vernon and Witchita Falls because it always does this time of year.

[jwalburg]

I live in southwestern Oklahoma and I have an irrational (or maybe rational) fear of tornadoes

Any fear of tornadoes in someone from OK is rational.

[Tax-chick]

We moved to NC last summer, after 7 years in Oklahoma. I think the tornadoes moved here along with us!

[Sally'sConcerns]

The storm is almost here. We're experiencing the gust front now. It's cooling the house down since I have the windows and doors open. This storm looks like it's going to be mainly a rain event with a little lightning thrown in. I enjoy these types of storms since it makes the air smell wonderful and the lightning makes my flowers seem to almost glow.

There are reports of some street flooding over in Lawton but it doesn't sound as if the waters are too high.

[jwalburg]

Well. Keep safe. Hope you are wireless:)

[SWake]

Y'all get through it OK? I used to cut across that corner of OK to visit a friend north of Altus, so I'm familiar with the area.

[Sally'sConcerns]

We got through it just fine. Had some heavy rain and a nice stout breeze that cooled the house down. We did manage to get our hamburgers grilled before the storm came through. It was close though since as I was taking the buns off the grill it was starting to pour rain. It was still raining when I went to bed and I fell asleep to the sound of the rain.

There was minor street flooding down in Duncan but nobody drove through it this time since several people had gotten caught in the flooding on Friday.

Thanks for asking!