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Analysis: A mini-Tet offensive in Iraq?
UPI ^ | 4/6/2004 | Arnaud de Borchgrave

Posted on 04/07/2004 4:08:52 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4

WASHINGTON, April 6 (UPI) -- Any seasoned reporter covering the Tet offensive in Vietnam 36 years ago is well over 60 and presumably retired or teaching journalism is one of America's 4,200 colleges and universities. Before plunging into an orgy of erroneous and invidious historical parallels between Iraq and Vietnam, a reminder about what led to the U.S. defeat in Southeast Asia is timely.

Iraq will only be another Vietnam if the home front collapses, as it did following the Tet offensive, which began on the eve of the Chinese New Year, Jan. 31, 1968. The surprise attack was designed to overwhelm some 70 cities and towns, and 30 other strategic objectives simultaneously. By breaking a previously agreed truce for Tet festivities, master strategist Gen. Vo Nguyen Giap in Hanoi calculated that South Vietnamese troops would be caught with defenses down.

After the first few hours of panic, the South Vietnamese troops reacted fiercely. They did the bulk of the fighting and took some 6,000 casualties. Vietcong units not only did not reach a single one of their objectives -- except when they arrived by taxi at the U.S. Embassy in Saigon, blew their way through the wall into the compound and guns blazing made it into the lobby before they were wiped out by U.S. Marines -- but they lost some 50,000 killed and at least that many wounded. Giap had thrown some 70,000 troops into a strategic gamble that was also designed to overwhelm 13 of the 16 provincial capitals and trigger a popular uprising. But Tet was an unmitigated military disaster for Hanoi and its Vietcong troops in South Vietnam. Yet that was not the way it was reported in U.S. and other media around the world. It was television's first war. And some 50 million Americans at home saw the carnage of dead bodies in the rubble, and dazed Americans running around.

As the late veteran war reporter Peter Braestrup documented in "Big Story" -- a massive, two-volume study of how Tet was covered by American reporters -- the Vietcong offensive was depicted as a military disaster for the United States. By the time the facts emerged a week or two later from RAND Corp. interrogations of prisoners and defectors, the damage had been done. Conventional media wisdom had been set in concrete. Public opinion perceptions in the United States changed accordingly.

RAND made copies of these POW interrogations available. But few reporters seemed interested. In fact, the room where they were on display was almost always empty. Many Vietnamese civilians who were fence sitters or leaning toward the Vietcong, especially in the region around Hue City, joined government ranks after they witnessed Vietcong atrocities. Several mass graves were found with some 4,000 unarmed civil servants and other civilians, stabbed or with skulls smashed by clubs. The number of communist defectors, known as "chieu hoi," increased fourfold. And the "popular uprising" anticipated by Giap, failed to materialize. The Tet offensive also neutralized much of the clandestine communist infrastructure.

As South Vietnamese troops fought Vietcong remnants in Cholon, the predominantly Chinese twin city of Saigon, reporters, sipping drinks in the rooftop bar of the Caravelle Hotel, watched the fireworks 2 miles away. America's most trusted newsman, CBS' Walter Cronkite, appeared for a standup piece with distant fires as a backdrop. Donning helmet, Cronkite declared the war lost. It was this now famous television news piece that persuaded President Johnson six weeks later, on March 31, not to run. His ratings had plummeted from 80 percent when he assumed the presidency upon Kennedy's death to 30 percent after Tet. His handling of the war dropped to 20 percent, his credibility shot to pieces.

Until Tet, a majority of Americans agreed with Presidents Kennedy and Johnson that failure was not an option. It was Kennedy who changed the status of U.S. military personnel from advisers to South Vietnamese troops to full-fledged fighting men. By the time of Kennedy's assassination in Nov. 22, 1963, 16,500 U.S. troops had been committed to the war. Johnson escalated all the way to 542,000. But defeat became an option when Johnson decided the war was unwinnable and that he would lose his bid for the presidency in November 1968. Hanoi thus turned military defeat into a priceless geopolitical victory.

With the Vietcong wiped out in the Tet offensive, North Vietnamese regulars moved south down the Ho Chi Minh trails through Laos and Cambodia to continue the war. Even Giap admitted in his memoirs that news media reporting of the war and the anti-war demonstrations that ensued in America surprised him. Instead of negotiating what he called a conditional surrender, Giap said they would now go the limit because America's resolve was weakening and the possibility of complete victory was within Hanoi's grasp.

Hanoi's Easter offensive in March 1972 was another disaster for the communists. Some 70,000 North Vietnamese troops were wiped out -- by the South Vietnamese who did all the fighting. The last American soldier left Vietnam in March 1973. And the chances of the South Vietnamese army being able to hack it on its own were reasonably good. With one proviso: Continued U.S. military assistance with weapons and hardware, including helicopters. But Congress balked, first by cutting off military assistance to Cambodia, which enabled Pol Pot's Khmer Rouge communists to take over, which, in turn, was followed by a similar Congressional rug pulling from under the South Vietnamese, that led to rapid collapse of morale in Saigon.

The unraveling, with Congress pulling the string, was so rapid that even Giap was caught by surprise. As he recounts in his memoirs, Hanoi had to improvise a general offensive -- and then rolled into Saigon two years before they had reckoned it might become possible.

That is the real lesson for the U.S. commitment to Iraq. Whatever one thought about the advisability of Operation Iraqi Freedom, the United States is there with 100,000 troops and a solid commitment to endow Iraq with a democratic system of government. While failure is not an option for Bush, it clearly is for Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., who called Iraq the president's Vietnam. It is, of course, no such animal. But it could become so if Congressional resolve dissolves.

Bui Tin, who served on the general staff of the North Vietnamese army, received South Vietnam's unconditional surrender on April 30, 1975. In an interview with the Wall Street Journal after his retirement, he made clear the anti-war movement in the United States, which led to the collapse of political will in Washington, was "essential to our strategy."

Visits to Hanoi by Jane Fonda and former Attorney General Ramsey Clark and various church ministers "gave us confidence that we should hold on in the face of battlefield reverses."

America lost the war, concluded Bui Tin, "because of its democracy. Through dissent and protest it lost the ability to mobilize a will to win." Kennedy should remember that Vietnam was the war of his brother who saw the conflict in the larger framework of the Cold War and Nikita Khrushchev's threats against West Berlin. It would behoove Kennedy to see Iraq in the larger context of the struggle to bring democracy, not only to Iraq, but the entire Middle East.

(Arnaud de Borchgrave covered Tet as Newsweek's chief foreign correspondent and had seven tours in Vietnam between 1951 under the French and 1972.)


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: arnauddeborchgrave; iraq; tet
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Comparisons of Iraq to Vietnam are becoming tiresome, I know, but I truly believe that the main stream press coverage of events in Iraq is slanted to discourage the American people.

It's all part of the INFOWAR and all who post on FR are combatants in it.

1 posted on 04/07/2004 4:08:52 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4
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To: All

Donate Here By Secure Server

2 posted on 04/07/2004 4:11:45 PM PDT by Support Free Republic (Don't be a nuancy boy)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
Oh heck. I heard comparisons to Algeria and the French, Indochina prior to Vietnam, and of course Tet and this was just this evening.

Big difference in this era. The draft.

Prediction: The left will start a "fear the draft" mantra to bolster support for Kerry. Somebody better shoot that repeating animal down again.
3 posted on 04/07/2004 4:13:59 PM PDT by OpusatFR (John Kerry - Cheezewhiz for the mind)
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The Press and the TET Offensive (long but worth reading)
4 posted on 04/07/2004 4:14:39 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4 (I always thought the Yankees had something to do with it.)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
...Kennedy should remember that Vietnam was the war of his brother...

Amen.

5 posted on 04/07/2004 4:19:47 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The democRATS are near the tipping point.)
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To: OpusatFR
"Prediction: The left will start a "fear the draft" mantra to bolster support for Kerry. Somebody better shoot that repeating animal down again."


Would that be Hillary Clinton or Charlie Rangel?

6 posted on 04/07/2004 4:22:27 PM PDT by cripplecreek (you tell em i'm commin.... and hells commin with me.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Senator Kennedy reverts to his prime character...

the cowardly murderer wants to cut and run.

Old habits are hard to break.

This temporary and limited uprising will forever more be referred to as the ...........

TED OFFENSIVE

The pun is for free.

7 posted on 04/07/2004 4:23:34 PM PDT by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN (I don't believe anything a Democrat says. Bill Clinton set the standard!)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
There is only one huge danger of our losing..the loss of our resolve...McCain was on the Senate floor rebutting the Vietnam and Tet offensive comparisons.

He infuriates me at times but he did not like the Kennedy speech and is taking opportunities to say so..
8 posted on 04/07/2004 4:25:34 PM PDT by MEG33 (John Kerry's been AWOL for two decades on issues of National Security!)
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To: cripplecreek
You are my new idol.

9 posted on 04/07/2004 4:26:04 PM PDT by OpusatFR (John Kerry - Cheezewhiz for the mind)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
Also here: Analysis: A mini-Tet offensive in Iraq
10 posted on 04/07/2004 4:29:24 PM PDT by leadpenny
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To: All
More Tet Threads
11 posted on 04/07/2004 4:31:56 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4 (Some have elected to resist. Having made their choice, they are being engaged and destroyed.)
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To: leadpenny
Dagnabit! I searched before I posted and nothing came up.
12 posted on 04/07/2004 4:33:48 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4 (Some have elected to resist. Having made their choice, they are being engaged and destroyed.)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4; Howlin
It's not just tiresome- it's demoralizing. How do you think most advertising works? By sheer repetition.
The Dems/Commies/Socialists have only one goal- to destroy the American will, and along with it conservativism and capitalism. They know darn well there is no comparison with Vietnam or any other conflict, but they are trying to conjure up images of defeat and hopelessness to try and turn the tide of public opinion.
What they are doing is EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FOR OUR NATIONAL SECURITY.
I believe much of what they are doing is more than just self-serving and unpatriotic- it's treasonous.
They'll keep repeating the same lies over and over until they slowly start to sink in. Iraq is part of the global war on terror, and we should be prepared for surprizes, unexpected turns of events and more- and greet each challenge with strong resolve TO WIN WITH DECISIVENESS. As a country we must act as ONE UNDIVIDED NATION. Or future depends on it!! They gotta stop this screwing around!!! Stupid petty power grabbers are playing with all our lives and our childrens lives! ARRGHH
13 posted on 04/07/2004 4:35:55 PM PDT by visualops (Help cure FReepathons....become a monthly donor!!)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
That's alright. It's a good column
14 posted on 04/07/2004 4:36:40 PM PDT by leadpenny
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
This column is spot on. The only way we can lose this war is if the Dims and media convince people to cut and run as in Vietnam.
15 posted on 04/07/2004 4:39:38 PM PDT by colorado tanker ("There are but two parties now, Traitors and Patriots")
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
As a student of WW II, I prefer comparison to the Battle of the Bulge, a counterattack by the Germans to split the allies and capture the port of Antwerp.

Is the counterattack in Iraq a success, has it captured Antwerp? Was there confusion caused by changing signs and having troops dressed in GI uniforms misdirecting events and blowing up bridges? Were there massive American casualties and outright murders by the opposition? Was any American General Officer asked to surrender?

No, in effect nothing has happened except that the traitorous Democrats have allied themselves with the Shia enemy to defeat America.

In an earlier time, Ted Kennedy would have been executed for giving aid and comfort to the enemy, decapitated and his head posted on a pike on the Capital steps for all to see.

It should be very plain for all Good Americans to see that the real enemy of America is the traitorously Democratic party. We should be preparing pikes for real, not figuratively.
16 posted on 04/07/2004 4:39:52 PM PDT by bert (Save People.... Kill Terrorists)
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To: All
There are entirely too many questions around of

Is Iraq another Vietnam?

The question we must ask instead, over and over again, is:

Is the Iraq War unfolding to be a defining moment of American power and compassion, and is it indeed well on its way to securing American dominance of the 21st Century?

Just short enough to be a newsbyte, while still achieving the length and power necessary to trump the original question.
17 posted on 04/07/2004 4:41:56 PM PDT by Owen
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
This is a decent article except for 2 mistakes. One, it confuses the collapse of the Johnson presidency with the collapse of American will to win in Vietnam. I realize it is news to the left, but the Democratic party is not the United States of America. When the left gave up on the war, the American people did not give up on the war, they gave up on the left. And supported Nixon.

Yes Nixon withdrew American ground troops and ended the draft, to deal with domestic divisions the war was causing, that the left was furthering as far as it possibly could, even at the cost of destroying the Democratic party at the national level. But he did so because he saw how to keep SVN free without US ground forces, as the balance of the article describes.

And the congressional "string pulling" that undercut this strategy did not succeed until after the destruction of Nixon's presidency - not by Nam but by Watergate - and the 1974 radical congress that followed his resignation. McGovern lost in a landslide, when the peacenik platform was actually presented to the American people.

The radicals that let the Khmer Rogue take over Cambodia and the NVA take over SVN did not run on peace - the draft was already over and US forces had already left. They ran on their supposed honesty compared to Nixon's crook-ness. Then they sold several million people into communist slavery to justify their own past intransigence, throwing away everything Nixon had accomplished, because they didn't like who had accomplished it.

Woudl Kerry sell out Afghanistan and Iraq in the same way? He waddles. You do the math.

18 posted on 04/07/2004 4:47:06 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: visualops
We aren't one undivided nation. There is one unforgiveable sin, one act so awful that it justifies the deaths of millions of innocents in retaliation - the crime of showing a liberal he is wrong. They are not kindly neighbors who are slightly misguided. Innocent lives are ciphers to them, their personal self regard is sacred.
19 posted on 04/07/2004 4:56:33 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: MEG33
The only comparison I would make between Iraq and Vietnam is the press coverage.

I remember Tet '68. I was a kid in Japan. My Dad was landing at Da Nang in a C-54 out of Tachikawa the night Tet started. There was live radio reporting from Da Nang and other locations heard on Armed Forces Network radio in Japan. That whole month we listened to AFN and read the Pacific Stars & Stripes and didn't watch any American TV news, because we had no American TV in Japan back then. We got Time and Life magazines and couldn't understand why they were so negative. We were winning. We were taking casualties, for sure; one day the entire back page of the Stars & Stripes was taken up by the KIA list, but we were winning. I wasn't exposed to Walter and the media Fifth Column, and even at the tender age of 12 I noticed the disconnect between what I was hearing and reading and what the American news magazines were saying.

We cannot let the news media do for our enemies in Iraq what they did for the North Vietnamese.

20 posted on 04/07/2004 5:03:18 PM PDT by Cannoneer No. 4 (Some have elected to resist. Having made their choice, they are being engaged and destroyed.)
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