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Traders Are Not Traitors (Outsourcing is good for America--and the world.)
The Weekly Standard ^ | March 29, 2004 | Cesar Conda and Stuart Anderson

Posted on 03/20/2004 11:24:07 AM PST by RWR8189

WHO IS the unilateralist candidate for president this year, the man who's willing to push our allies away and who questions the patriotism of those who disagree with him? That would be John Kerry, at least on the issue of trade. Kerry may like to portray himself as a multilateralist, whom foreign leaders are secretly rooting for. But when it comes to trade policy and the outsourcing debate, he claims that it's America versus the world.

The recent flap over outsourcing--the buzzword for American companies' hiring professional workers abroad--is almost purely political. Reliable data show that America is not "losing" jobs to foreign workers. "Despite the political outcry over the outsourcing of white-collar jobs to such places as India and Ghana, the latest U.S. government data suggest that foreigners outsource far more office work to the U.S. than American companies send abroad," reports the Wall Street Journal. Indeed, according to the Commerce Department, the value of "legal work, computer programming, telecommunications, banking, engineering, management consulting and other private services" performed by U.S. workers for foreign clients rose about 7 percent in 2003. In other words, "outsourcing" is a net creator of jobs for Americans, not to mention its benefits for the overall health of the economy.

Despite this, Republicans have been on the defensive ever since the February 9 press briefing of Gregory Mankiw, chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers. "Outsourcing," Mankiw explained, "is just a new way of doing international trade. We're very used to goods being produced abroad and being shipped here on ships or planes. What we're not used to is services being produced abroad and being sent here over the Internet or telephone wires. But does it matter from an economic standpoint whether values of items produced abroad come on planes and ships or over fiberoptic cables? Well, no; the economics is basically the same. More things are tradable than were tradable in the past, and that's a good thing."

All true. The outrage from Democrats over the remark unfortunately was not matched by a vigorous White House defense. Indeed, a number of Republicans in Congress piled on against Mankiw.

Even by Washington standards, political rhetoric on the outsourcing issue has been abysmal. For example, on the night of the Wisconsin primary, John Kerry tarred all companies that do business outside America's borders as traitors: "We will repeal the tax loopholes and benefits that reward Benedict Arnold CEOs and companies for shipping American jobs overseas." He was a bit more scrupulous the next day, in response to a union member asking if he would pledge to keep jobs in America. Kerry replied with surprising candor: "I don't want to lie to you. If a candidate stands here and said 'yes' to you in answer to that, they're not telling you the truth. You know, we don't have the right constitutionally to stop a company from going overseas if it wants to."

Kerry has mostly received a free ride from the media over his demagoguing on outsourcing and flip-flops on past support for free-trade agreements like NAFTA. And no one in the media seems to have recognized the glaring discrepancy between his trade policy--which would alienate almost every foreign government--and his frequent complaints that the Bush administration has "pushed away our allies."

Kerry early on saw political possibilities in exploiting the outsourcing issue. In November 2003, he introduced a bill to regulate U.S. companies' use of call centers abroad by requiring "each employee in the call center to disclose [his or her] physical location." The press release announcing the bill stated that requiring operators to disclose they are foreigners would "go a long way to preserve U.S. jobs."

There is an unusual premise to Kerry's legislation: It assumes that if Americans discovered they were speaking to foreigners they would either hang up the telephone or protest in some other manner. It is not clear how the bill would save jobs, unless you assume Americans have little tolerance for even the most modest level of international engagement. Of course, the entire preoccupation with call-center jobs is a bit strange, since Kerry and other members of Congress had previously passed "Do Not Call" legislation that, according to telemarketing industry estimates, could eliminate as many as two million U.S. call-center jobs.

Some innovative U.S. companies have already come up with solutions to the outsourcing controversy that do not risk a trade war or other foreign policy harm. California-based E-Loan offers its customers a choice of having their loan paperwork processed in India or in the United States. Customers are informed that if they press the "India" button, their loan will be processed in one day, while the U.S.-based work may take two days or longer. More than 80 percent of customers for home equity loans, according to the company, have chosen to have their work done in India--a choice that some elected officials would like to take away from them.

The Bush administration's political performance on the outsourcing issue could be stronger. The president recently warned against "economic isolationism," which put Kerry and some Democrats on the defensive for a day or two. However, the administration has itself been inconsistent on the trade issue.

The stakes internationally are high. President Bush declared last year at West Point that a pillar of U.S. foreign policy is to advance liberty on all continents. Free trade in goods and services can be an important tool for accomplishing peacefully what our soldiers are, in part, fighting for in Iraq, namely a transition to a freer and more prosperous world that, in turn, will make Americans more secure.

New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman recently described his conversations with some of the young Indians being accused of taking American jobs:

 

Kiran Menon, when asked who his role model was, shot back: "Bill Gates--I dream of starting my own company and making it that big." I asked C.M. Meghna what she got most out of the work: "Self-confidence," she said, "a lot of self-confidence, when people come to you with a problem and you can solve it--and having a lot of independence." . . . There is nothing more positive than the self-confidence, dignity and optimism that comes from a society knowing it is producing wealth by tapping its own brains--men's and women's--as opposed to one just tapping its own oil, let alone one that is so lost it can find dignity only through suicide and "martyrdom."

 

Friedman noted a striking contrast between his conversations with these young outsourced workers and conversations he had had "on the West Bank, talking to three young Palestinian men, also in their twenties, one of whom was studying engineering. Their hero was Yasser Arafat. They talked about having no hope, no jobs, and no dignity, and they each nodded when one of them said they were all 'suicide bombers in waiting.'" Friedman warned: "There is more to outsourcing than just economics. There's also geopolitics. It is inevitable in a networked world that our economy is going to shed certain low-wage, low-prestige jobs. To the extent that they go to places like India or Pakistan--where they are viewed as high-wage, high-prestige jobs--we make not only a more prosperous world, but a safer world for our own 20-year-olds."

Even though the rest of the world views U.S. trade policy as an important element of U.S. foreign policy, commentators here have been slow to see Kerry's trade rhetoric, including implied threats to pull out of existing trade agreements, as problematic. The closest thing to a critique came in a March 15 Washington Post editorial: "It is hard to know what Mr. Kerry means by his trade-and-labor rhetoric, just as it is hard to know how to balance his pro-trade votes in the Senate against his campaign denunciation of 'Benedict Arnold' companies. It's good that Mr. Bush is attacking on these issues, and it's time for Mr. Kerry to clarify his thinking."

It's clear that Democrats believe denouncing "outsourcing" is a political winner for them, despite the potential for real harm their proposals would bring. A bill by Senator Tom Daschle, cosponsored by Kerry, would make notifications of "mass layoffs" more stringent in U.S. law than in France and Germany. Daschle's measure, which soon may be offered as a Senate floor amendment, would require U.S. companies to provide 90 days' notice to the federal government when transferring work abroad that affects the jobs of as few as 15 employees. The vague definition of "offshoring" in the bill and the way global companies routinely create and eliminate jobs worldwide could discourage some large companies from adding U.S.-based jobs in the first place.

Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan recently warned a House committee that the "protectionist measures" now being proposed are "alleged cures" that "would make matters worse rather than better. They would do little to create jobs, and if foreigners were to retaliate we would surely lose jobs."

The administration and elected officials who know better need to speak up before this year's campaign degenerates into a bidding war of bad ideas. Otherwise, Americans will face the prospect of fewer jobs, higher prices, and a less free and prosperous world.

 

Cesar Conda, who formerly served as Vice President Dick Cheney's assistant for domestic policy, is a board member of Empower America. Stuart Anderson is executive director of the National Foundation for American Policy, an Arlington, Va.-based public policy research organization.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: fantasy; freetrade; freetraitors; greateditorial; outsourcing; rightonthemoney; trade; weeklystandard
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To: RWR8189
The Harsh Truth About Outsourcing
S BusinessWeek
Uhttp://www.businessweekasia.com/magazine/content/04_12/b3875614.htm
Published: Mar 22, 2004
Author: Paul Craig Roberts



It's not a mutually beneficial trade practice -- it's outright labor arbitrage

Economists are blind to the loss of American industries and occupations because they believe these results reflect the beneficial workings of free trade. Whatever is being lost, they think, is being replaced by something as good or better. This thinking is rooted in the doctrine of comparative advantage put forth by economist David Ricardo in 1817.

It states that, even if a country is a high-cost producer of most things, it can still enjoy an advantage, since it will produce some goods at lower relative cost than its trading partners.

Today's economists can't identify what the new industries and occupations might be that will replace those that are lost, but they're certain that those jobs and sectors are out there somewhere. What does not occur to them is that the same incentive that causes the loss of one tradable good or service -- cheap, skilled foreign labor -- applies to all tradable goods and services. There is no reason that the "replacement" industry or job, if it exists, won't follow its predecessor offshore.

For comparative advantage to work, a country's labor, capital, and technology must not move offshore. This international immobility is necessary to prevent a business from seeking an absolute advantage by going abroad. The internal cost ratios that determine comparative advantage reflect the quantity and quality of the country's technology and capital. If these factors move abroad to where cheap labor makes them more productive, absolute advantage takes over from comparative advantage.

This is what is wrong with today's debate about outsourcing and offshore production. It's not really about trade but about labor arbitrage. Companies producing for U.S. markets are substituting cheap labor for expensive U.S. labor. The U.S. loses jobs and also the capital and technology that move offshore to employ the cheaper foreign labor. Economists argue that this loss of capital does not result in unemployment but rather a reduction in wages. The remaining capital is spread more thinly among workers, while the foreign workers whose country gains the money become more productive and are better paid.

Economists call this wrenching adjustment "short-run friction." But when the loss of jobs leaves people with less income but the same mortgages and debts, upward mobility collapses. Income distribution becomes more polarized, the tax base is lost, and the ability to maintain infrastructure, entitlements, and public commitments is reduced. Nor is this adjustment just short-run. The huge excess supplies of labor in India and China mean that American wages will fall a lot faster than Asian wages will rise for a long time.

Until recently, First World countries retained their capital, labor, and technology. Foreign investment occurred, but it worked differently from outsourcing. Foreign investment was confined mainly to the First World. Its purpose was to avoid shipping costs, tariffs, and quotas, and thus sell more cheaply in the foreign market. The purpose of foreign investment was not offshore production with cheap foreign labor for the home market.

When Ricardo developed the doctrine of comparative advantage, climate and geography were important variables in the economy. The assumption that factors of production were immobile internationally was realistic. Since there were inherent differences in climate and geography, the assumption that different countries would have different relative costs of producing tradable goods was also realistic.

Today, acquired knowledge is the basis for most tradable goods and services, making the Ricardian assumptions unrealistic. Indeed, it is not clear where there is a basis for comparative advantage when production rests on acquired knowledge. Modern production functions operate the same way regardless of their locations. There is no necessary reason for the relative costs of producing manufactured goods to vary from one country to another. Yet without different internal cost ratios, there is no basis for comparative advantage.

Outsourcing is driven by absolute advantage. Asia has an absolute advantage because of its vast excess supply of skilled and educated labor. With First World capital, technology, and business knowhow, this labor can be just as productive as First World labor, but workers can be hired for much less money. Thus, the capitalist incentive to seek the lowest cost and most profit will seek to substitute cheap labor for expensive labor. India and China are gaining, and the First World is losing.

Paul Craig Roberts is a former Assistant Treasury Secretary in the Reagan Administration and a former BusinessWeek columnist.

21 posted on 03/20/2004 1:31:32 PM PST by ETERNAL WARMING (We have the best politicians corporate money can buy!)
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To: CompProgrammer
Again, I want to ask Cesar what technical career should we study for to ensure a good income in the future?

Exactly. What should we train our children for? What job won't be "beneficially outsourced" so that the $200,000 college education I spend per child won't ensure they work in McDonalds?
22 posted on 03/20/2004 1:35:16 PM PST by ETERNAL WARMING (We have the best politicians corporate money can buy!)
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To: Lurker
Apparently the names Smoot and Hawley are lost in ancient history to some Freepers.

Ditto:

23 posted on 03/20/2004 1:35:46 PM PST by yankeedame ("Oh, I can take it but I'd much rather dish it out.")
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To: RWR8189
Don't you think the country you slap it on will respond in kind?

Who cares? The USA is the world's marketplace. I'd rather see livable wages and jobs return to America. We'll buy American goods.
24 posted on 03/20/2004 1:36:41 PM PST by ETERNAL WARMING (We have the best politicians corporate money can buy!)
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To: yankeedame
That Smoot Hawley argumeent is overburdened, it was NOT the source of the crash and depression.

Tariffs are an art and science. Levels of tariif need adjustment for all sorts of reasons. And politically -- better that the politicians moxie comes in tariffs than in the damnable income tax code than makes serfs and peons of all of us.

25 posted on 03/20/2004 1:48:48 PM PST by bvw
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To: Lurker; All
Apparently the names Smoot and Hawley are lost in ancient history to some Freepers.

Sad, ain't it.

I think most informed Freepers ask the Question...How did a relatively minor change in the Fordney-McCumber Tariff precipitate the Great Depression...why are Smoot and Hawley being "scapegoated"???

Answer...to deflect attention from the Institution that really turned a minor downturn into a full fleged Depression, namely, the Federal Reserve through its manipulation of bank Reserve Requirements.

The commercial banks called in the business loans to such an extent, that tens of thousands of businesses went insolvent, fired their employees, and closed their doors.

26 posted on 03/20/2004 2:15:04 PM PST by Lael (Patent Law...not a single Supreme Court Justice is qualified to take the PTO Bar Exam!)
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To: Jim Robinson
Darn toot'n! Doggone profiteering corporations! Ought to be a law against it. Down with capitalism! Yankee Go Home! mutter sputter pfft!

With all due respect, sir, the United States is in a grossly unequal trade situation. China, India, and other nations restrict trade, whereas we do not. The long term detrimental effects of this state of affair, coupled with the burgeoning trade deficit is, in my opinion, cause for concern.

I would also point out, as I did earlier, that the current paradigm does in fact transfer wealth from the US to the third world. This does not seem to be capitalism, but rather another form of transfer payment. Friedman said as much, from the article.

27 posted on 03/20/2004 2:33:01 PM PST by neutrino (Oderint dum metuant: Let them hate us, so long as they fear us.)
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To: ETERNAL WARMING
What job won't be "beneficially outsourced" so that the $200,000 college education I spend per child won't ensure they work in McDonalds?

Answer: You won't be spending $200,000 for a college education for your child. At least not in the technical disciplines. That area of expertise will be reserved for the foreign students now flooding into our universities, whose education is underwritten by their own government and ours.

If you don't send your child to law school, they will indeed end up at McDonalds. Oh, excuse me! No they won't. Those jobs will be reserved for illegals.

Suing the remaining wealth right out of the country is the last growth industry we've got.

28 posted on 03/20/2004 2:39:05 PM PST by Euro-American Scum (A poverty-stricken middle class must be a disarmed middle class)
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Comment #29 Removed by Moderator

To: CompProgrammer
...just tell me what technical job I should train for in order to generate a good income...

You could always be the half-coherent scion from a well-to-do aristocratic family. The job entails drifting through the first half of your life in an intoxicated state; while generating enough gaffs to provide a multitude of embarassing evidence for all of your family's favored friends and contacts. At around age 40, someone hands you a cup of coffee and sends you ambling down a red carpet, while your daddy's friends blow your horn. Then you take up a comfy executive office in a corporate or public field; where you will spend the rest of your life either leaking insider trading tips, or channeling public graft. Unfortunately, it is very hard to shop around for the right parents. :-)

There are some other respectable fields out there; but, none of those are protected from the export of our manufacturing base, the outsourcing of our service sector, or, from the ever growing uncontrolled flood of immigration. Besides, we seem to like these people for senior leadership positions (they are easier to manipulate).
30 posted on 03/20/2004 4:01:11 PM PST by ARCADIA (Abuse of power comes as no surprise)
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To: civil discourse; RWR8189; SupplySider; dennisw; CompProgrammer; Veracious Poet
plumber, electrician, auto mechanic, generally any type of repair, retail sales, surgeon, dentist, corporate law...

Just hilarious! The road to global leadership: "cleaning each others sh*t, exhaust pipes and colons" or yes and I forgot "then suing each other over the results".

There's also geopolitics...but a safer world for our own 20-year-olds

The geopolitics is all there is to it. Once a country is hooked on the drugs of debt and import it's then sucked dry and enslaved. It happened in Argentina, where they lived a happy, careless, borrowed life and are now owned by the One-Worlders. What is happening now can be described only as a sell out.
Contrary to Friedman, being dependent on heavy trade only encourages terrorists. They can cause major problems by attacking the transportation system, or by destabilizing fringe countries along the trade routes. As the foreign trade grew so did terrorism. The terrorists saw their chance.
31 posted on 03/20/2004 4:03:03 PM PST by CrucifiedTruth (The Crucified Truth lives forever.)
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To: CrucifiedTruth
VI Lenin said the capitalists would sell the rope to their executioner to hang them with. No too far off base for what's going on right now with outsourcing and technology transfers to China and India. Hyper capitalism plus a ruptured social contract = national suicide
32 posted on 03/20/2004 4:13:19 PM PST by dennisw (“We'll put a boot in your ass, it's the American way.” - Toby Keith)
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To: ARCADIA
But I'm not from an aristocratic family! Damn Episcopal priests and their pro-birth-control attitudes!
33 posted on 03/20/2004 7:02:29 PM PST by LibertarianInExile (<--Outsourced myself. The first $70K in income is IRS free!)
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To: AM2000
So you're saying that choosing your profession should have the same high degree of uncertainty?

It always has. That's life. Whining about it does not help.

34 posted on 03/20/2004 7:39:57 PM PST by Poohbah ("Would you mind not shooting at the thermonuclear weapons?" -- Maj. Vic Deakins, USAF)
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To: Lael
I think most informed Freepers ask the Question...How did a relatively minor change in the Fordney-McCumber Tariff precipitate the Great Depression...why are Smoot and Hawley being "scapegoated"???

Raising any tax at the beginning of an economic downturn is cosmically stupid...and tariffs are, like it or not, taxes. Once the retaliatory tariffs went into place, they turned a severe market correction into a global depression. Smoot-Hawley gets the blame because it started the stampede.

35 posted on 03/20/2004 7:44:17 PM PST by Poohbah ("Would you mind not shooting at the thermonuclear weapons?" -- Maj. Vic Deakins, USAF)
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To: RWR8189
With millions of unemployed Islamic fundameentalists worldwide, do we export virtual reality games to alleviate boredom, or wait for reality to implode virtually on the television screen?
36 posted on 03/20/2004 8:20:25 PM PST by WhiteyAppleseed
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To: RWR8189
My nomination for the most idiotic statement of the year:

"There is more to outsourcing than just economics. There's also geopolitics. It is inevitable in a networked world that our economy is going to shed certain low-wage, low-prestige jobs. To the extent that they go to places like India or Pakistan--where they are viewed as high-wage, high-prestige jobs--we make not only a more prosperous world, but a safer world for our own 20-year-olds."

Yep, all those mere $50K - $75K annual "low-wage" jobs are flying over to Inida & Pakistan. Shoot, can't even find an illegal alien who would work for such a paltry fee...

All of us "low-wage" programmers and engineers here in the Midwest are just so glad the Indians are now doing our jobs so we can enjoy those great "high wage" jobs being offered by the local Mickey D's and the Wally World's...

If there's anything else we can do for the great ideal of "geopolotics" just let us know...

37 posted on 03/20/2004 8:37:55 PM PST by Ronzo (GOD alone is enough.)
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To: Jim Robinson
Darn toot'n! Doggone profiteering corporations! Ought to be a law against it. Down with capitalism! Yankee Go Home! mutter sputter pfft!

LOL!!!

Thanks for cheering us up.

38 posted on 03/20/2004 9:31:17 PM PST by Choose Ye This Day ("The look in the kangaroo's eye made me feel that I knew I was in trouble.")
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To: neutrino
I would also point out, as I did earlier, that the current paradigm does in fact transfer wealth from the US to the third world.

Whoops! That's a $10 penalty for invoking the overused term "paradigm."

(Call the $10 fine a tariff, if it makes you feel better.) :o)

39 posted on 03/20/2004 9:39:07 PM PST by Choose Ye This Day ("The look in the kangaroo's eye made me feel that I knew I was in trouble.")
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To: Poohbah
It is likely that those claimed-to-be "retaliatory" tariffs would have been laid by the foreign trading partners, no matter what we did -- even if we lowered our tariffs. The blame on Smoot-Hawley is a spin, and false in most regards.

Face it, tariffs worked for most of our Nations's history, prior to it becoming a defacto socialist state. Tariffs are the preferred mechanism of financing Federal activites -- according to the wisdom of founders and the generations in our first two-hundred years.

40 posted on 03/20/2004 9:40:56 PM PST by bvw
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