[KQQL]

Must be the gay thing....

[Conspiracy Guy]

I conducted a poll yesterday and it came out Bush 100% Kerry -10%. I randomly called 10 friends and 20 familly members. I asked are you voting for Bush or that Commie Kerry? Then I sang this song before they could answer.


"The Little Old Commie from Massachusetts"

Sung to Jan and Dean’s Little Old Lady from Pasadena


It’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.

The Little Old Commie form Massachusetts.
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
He’s not worried bout his record cause he has two sets.
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
He as slip’ry as grease up in DC town,
He will vote the bill up and then he’ll vote it back down.

Chorus:

And everybody’s saying that he offers the most threats.
That’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.
He takes both sides, yes he takes both sides.
He’s the biggest dang liar up in DC Town.
He’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.


It’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.
If you hear him speakin out don’t pay attention.
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
In a minute or so he’ll just change direction.
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
The man aint trusted in either House.
Cause he always talks out both sides of his mouth.

Chorus:

And everybody’s saying that he offers the most threats.
That’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.
He takes both sides, yes he takes both sides.
He’s the biggest dang liar up in DC Town.
He’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.

Musical Interlude:

Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
We need to send him home to his heiress wife.
Cause he’s got no business in public life.

Chorus:

And everybody’s saying that he offers the most threats.
That’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.
He takes both sides, yes he takes both sides.
He’s the biggest dang liar up in DC Town.
He’s the Little Old Commie from Massachusetts.

Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go
Go Kerry, Go Kerry, Go Kerry Go

Fade

Conspiracy Guy 2/24/04

This poll has no margin for error and is totally correct and scientific.

CG

[zook]

I hope Rasmussen has improved his accuracy since 2000. Interesting how the gap narrows over the weekend and widens during the week. Not sure if current numbers reflect any reaction to Bush's speech the other night.

[r9etb]

JMHO... The fact that polls show Bush ahead of Kerry at all at this point -- when W has done next to nothing in the campaign realm -- should scare the urine out of the D strategists. (Though it undoubtedly thrills one HRC....)

[demlosers]

You can tell when Bush/Kerry Rasmussen poll moves away from the weekend, Bush maintains the lead.

[Timesink]

Did we have daily tracking this early in 2000?

[petercooper]

These polls mean jack right now. Why is everyone getting all worked up about them?

[Mike Darancette]

Bush is on the a run.

[The Wizard]

my guess is GWB will never be behind Kerry again.

[Walkingfeather]

stop publishing these idiotic polls, figure this out.

1.If Bush's poll show he is going to landslide do you think you will sit through all the commercials on the nightly news?

2.Bush's job approval rating is still in the high 50's and these polls show below 50% why?

3. Whose interest would it be in to fudge the numbers of polling data? a) the news media with 10's of millions of advertizing dollars at stake b) the democraps who are also in the news media c) the republicans?

[SamAdams76]

Remember back to 16 years ago today...February 25, 1988.

After a slow start, a liberal Democrat from Massachusetts began steamrollering towards the Democratic nomination. His name was Michael Dukakis and he was going to inflict the "Massachusetts Miracle" upon the nation at large. He was going to end the Reagan/Bush era.

The polls were showing it too. Mike Dukakis enjoyed double-digit leads over George H.W. Bush right through the middle of summer. Surely George Bush didn't have a chance against this guy. Or so everybody thought.

I bring those memories back again to show just how meaningless polls are at this stage. Dukakis led the polls during a good part of the 1988 campaign but ended up losing in a blowout. John Kerry could well go down in defeat by Walter Mondale or George McGovern proportions by the time the election rolls around, despite how he is polling today.

16 years ago today, most Americans did not yet know just how bad Mike Dukakis was. It wasn't until after the GOP convention that people started finding out. Many outside Massachusetts still don't realize how bad he would have been for the country had he been elected.

Consider that Mike Dukakis was the very last Democrat governor that Massachusetts has had. Since 1990, Massachusetts has elected nothing but Republican governors because the last thing we want around here is "another Dukakis." Perhaps the candidacy of John Kerry will result in the fact that he will be the last Democrat senator Massachusetts will see for a while. Let's hope so.

[DrDeb]

Standard Disclaimer One:
As predicters of voter behavior in November, polls in February are meaningless.

Standard Disclaimer Two:
We will NEVER know which pollsters correctly called the 2000 election because the election results were skewed by the media's early call of Florida for Gore [This call came BEFORE polls closed in Florida and in the SouthWest/West, suppressing Republican turn out in ALL of the aforementioned areas. Most pundits now agree that this early call cost President Bush the popular vote and several electoral votes!]

NOTE: While we will NEVER know who made the best call in the 2000 election, we do know that Zogby -- the 'superstar' of the 2000 election -- blew most of his predictions for the 2002 elections (particularly the gubernatorial race in Florida)!


TWO POINTS:
1.) Two-day 'snap shot' polls are UNRELIABLE measures of public opinion [MOST Gallup polls, ALL FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics polls, ALL Newsweek polls, ALL CBSNews polls, SOME ABCNews/WashingtonPost polls (including the most recent/heavily publicized poll) AND MOST Quinnipiac polls are two-day quickies!].

Conversely, polls conducted over multiple days -- with accurate 'weighting' procedures -- are infinitely more VALID [ALL Rasmussen polls, ALL Annenberg polls, MOST Zogby polls, and SOME Ipsos-Reid polls are conducted over multiple days with LARGER than average samples -- typically, larger samples yield lower margins of error!]

2.) Rasmussen's recent polling results closely track results gleaned by the following pollsters:

ZOGBY
2/12-15/04
Likely Voters/MOE +/- 2.8

GWB Approval Ratings:
Red States -- 55% Excellent/Good
(translates to an approval rating proximating 60%)
Blue States-- 47% Excellent/Good

Head-to-Head Match-up:
Red States -- GWB 51% Kerry 39% (+12)
Blue States -- GWB 46% Kerry 47% (-1)
http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=808


ANNENBERG
2/11-19/04
Adults/MOE +/- 2

GWB Approval Rating
55% approve 42% disapprove (+13)

over 60% believe the President is a strong leader

44% disapprove of Kerry's antiwar activities
40% approve

62% believe that President Bush fulfilled his National Guard responsibilities
38% do not

17% who disapprove of Kerry's antiwar activities also indicate that this disapproval will matter a 'great deal' when they vote in November

12% who said President Bush shirked his NG responsibilities also said this would matter a 'great deal' when they vote in November
http://www.annenbergpublicpolicycenter.org/naes/2004_03_guard-and-vietnam_02-20_pr.pdf

[Godfollow]

After only announcing the gloves are coming off... can't wait till there's some actual campaign commercials and the like...

[timydnuc]

Remember fellow freepers, if Kerry gets the nomination and he tanks to, say 30, in the polls the RATS will pull a Torchelli and replace old horse face. Can anybody guess who they would go with? Anybody,.. anybody....Spicole?

[mware]

Wow, a big change in the numbers and GW is just getting started.