[Azzurri]

You've done a great job with this analysis, but I have to disagree with a Bush advantage in NJ. NJ was, as you stated, a Republican state as recently as the 1980s. However, it has veered sharply left and I find it hard to believe Bush will spend much, if any, time in the state.

[Alberta's Child]

I agree with Azzurri. The national GOP ought to write this state off completely, especially when you consider the kind of dopey, half-@sses Republicans who are successful in winning state-wide races here.