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Electoral College Breakdown, Installment One
Various
Posted on 02/19/2004 8:45:25 AM PST by Dales
Edited on 02/19/2004 10:36:05 AM PST by Lead Moderator.
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1
posted on
02/19/2004 8:45:26 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales
As I recall, you were really close in 2000, but to refresh my memory, what was your final estimate?
2
posted on
02/19/2004 8:47:56 AM PST
by
LS
(CNN is the Amtrack of news.)
To: Dales
Damn, we're losing already!
3
posted on
02/19/2004 8:50:03 AM PST
by
JohnnyZ
(People don't just bump into each other and have sex. This isn't Cinemax! -- Jerry)
To: Dales
Oh, I am glad to see you back with the explanations of the polls! I learned a lot from you last time! Thanks!
To: JohnnyZ
Settle down! We have a long way to go and these are only five states!
To: Miss Marple
I bet we take the lead after the next round.
6
posted on
02/19/2004 8:53:14 AM PST
by
JohnnyZ
(People don't just bump into each other and have sex. This isn't Cinemax! -- Jerry)
To: Dales
This is excellent. Please keep it in front of us. Thanks, Mark.
7
posted on
02/19/2004 8:56:00 AM PST
by
GOP_1900AD
(Un-PC even to "Conservatives!" - Right makes right)
To: Dales
Alabama has nine electoral votes, not the mere three you've tabulated.
To: JohnnyZ
Yep. Now I think you were being funny, and I didn't catch on. Sometimes I am a bit too quick on the trigger.
I like seeing the individual states because that is how you have to plan the campaign...not on total nationwide vote.
To: Dales
Check your table. You have the wrong number of electoral votes for AL.
10
posted on
02/19/2004 8:59:07 AM PST
by
jayef
To: LS
While I recorded things all the way down to the states that were essentially tossups, in the titles I put the sum of the states that were not essentially too close to make any sort of prediction.
In the last of those, posted 11/6, I had it as 227 electoral votes for Bush, with 178 for Gore and the rest tossups. When I factored in the tossups, I had Bush getting 276 electoral votes, Gore getting 239, with 23 electoral votes unassigned. In the one before that, posted 11/3, I had it as 209 apiece, with when I factored in the tossups it being 265 for Gore, 262 for Bush, with 11 completely unassigned.
11
posted on
02/19/2004 9:00:27 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales
Thanks for doing this analysis again. I really appreciated all that you did in 2000. It's a lot of work, no doubt.
12
posted on
02/19/2004 9:01:34 AM PST
by
Cap Huff
To: PeoplesRepublicOfWashington; jayef
Typo. I'll fix it.
13
posted on
02/19/2004 9:01:37 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales
You da man!
I look forward to following your tracking data in the months leading up to the election.
14
posted on
02/19/2004 9:01:42 AM PST
by
randita
To: Dales
Dales, my FRiend!!!
It seems like only yesterday.
*****sniff******
I am very much looking forward to your work.
If you have a ping list, put me on it.
15
posted on
02/19/2004 9:02:06 AM PST
by
TomB
To: Dales; LS
Seriesly, though, Maine is a weird-ass state. I grew up there and I still don't understand the politics. IIRC, GHWB came in 3rd in '92 in Maine. It's probably the most NASCAR of the New England states, yet the "private" Yankee view of religion predominates. There's a weird love-hate thing with the Bus(c)h series (get it?). The state GOP is piss poor in many respects but still does okay somehow, and whatsisname came from way back to finish respectably against Baldacci. There's no great love for Massachusetts in the Real Maine, but southern Maine IS Massachusetts, they're just not willing to admit it.
16
posted on
02/19/2004 9:03:53 AM PST
by
JohnnyZ
(People don't just bump into each other and have sex. This isn't Cinemax! -- Jerry)
To: Dales
Good work!
This is going to be a nail biter!
The electors will make the difference again.
17
posted on
02/19/2004 9:05:20 AM PST
by
Cold Heat
("It is easier for an ass to succeed in that trade than any other." [Samuel Clemens, on lawyers])
To: JohnnyZ
Yes, by 316 votes, he came in behind Perot.
18
posted on
02/19/2004 9:05:28 AM PST
by
Dales
To: TomB
Hi TomB. I am sorry, but I am not planning on doing a ping list this time. Too much to keep up with and I have less time now than ever before.
19
posted on
02/19/2004 9:06:12 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales
I'll create a ping list and ping folks to your installments if you wish.
20
posted on
02/19/2004 9:07:28 AM PST
by
Neets
(Complainers change their complaints, but they never reduce the amount of time spent in complaining.~)
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