[ambrose]

Knowledge Networks was fairly accurate during the recall, if my memory serve me...

[Paleo Conservative]

Well let's reverse the spin here. Republicans haven't even come close to winning California since they last won ther in 1988. If Kerry is only up by four points during the middle of primary season, California is in play.

[#3Fan]

Break up California!

[GiveEmDubya]

There's ups and downs to this:

UP: Only a 4 point spread in California. If anything, that should be trouble for Kerry.
DOWN: It's February; 100% for either candidate? No undecideds, 3rd parties, anything? The Green party will get at least 5% of the vote here.

[cripplecreek]

That has to scare democrats. Caleeforneeeya is traditionally much further to the democratic side.

[Celtjew Libertarian]

This could be huge. Gore beat Bush by almost 12% in California in 2000. Bush has been taking a batter from the Democratic candidates, the GOP hasn't yet trained its sites on Kerry, and Bush is down by only 4%.

Expect Kerry's numbers to get a little bit larger, when the primary takes place.... Still.... If the Dems have to defend California against Bush, they're in trouble.

[WinOne4TheGipper]

Momaw, I know you post from that site that gives Pres. Bush only a 17% chance of winning California. I thought this thread might interest you.

[.cnI redruM]

Cali has moved right in a big way. Gray Davis was a disaster for the Dems in ways they haven't even figured out yet.

[kabar]

WOW. That is encouraging news. Run Ralph Run.

[Paleo Conservative]

I should also add; the "gay marriage" issue could be decisive in California. The courts so far have refused to stop the issuance of marriage licenses in San Francisco. Kerry being from Massachussets where the courts are mandating the legislature write legislation allowing same-sex marriage won't have much wiggle room. The real news here is the DemocRATS can't automatically count on California and will have to spend lots of money there.

[ALOHA RONNIE]

.

'JOHN KERRY = Enemy of Vietnam Vets'

http://www.TheAlamoFILM.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1320



Signed:.."ALOHA RONNIE" Guyer / Vet-"WE WERE SOLDIERS" Battle of IA DRANG-1965

http://www.lzxray.com/guyer_collection.htm
(IA DRANG-1965 Photos)

.

[KellyAdmirer]

It is beginning to look more and more as if the Gallup poll showing Kerry ahead nationally is the outlier. No way Kerry leads by 8-10% nationally if he isn't winning California bigger than this. This confirms Zogby and Rasmussen.

[Mike Darancette]

If Kerry is truly only 52-48 in CA (notice that this must be a forced number since there are no undecideds) Kerry will lose big time in November.

[unspun]

Oh come on! Edwards can beat Bush any day of the week, too!

heh heh heh heh

[AmishDude]

Them's pretty decisive folks there in Cali, doncha think?

[My2Cents]

This is amazing, considering the pounding Bush has been taking in the media, to be only four points down in flippin' California!

[FRgal4u]

Holy cow - Bush at 48 in California -

If this is the case the dems better be careful. If Bush can take California, the election is over.

[Bonaparte]

A state that voted Gore by 12% just three years ago, is ready to vote Kerry by only 4% today. That's quite a shift. If the poll is accurate and the trend continues, Bush may win California next fall -- especially if Arnold's popularity holds.