Kerry Only Democrat Leading Bush in California According to New Poll (Kerry 52, Bush 48)

Knowledge Networks ^ | 2.18.04

[eureka!]

Re#34 Thanks. California will be in play with Arnold at the helm. Hehehehe...

[ambrose]

It will be a while. The Superior Court judge is playing games and stalling for time in terms of ruling on the challenge. By the time he rules, thousands of certificates will be issued, and there will be a good deal of chaos - which was their goal to begin with.

[AmishDude]

Them's pretty decisive folks there in Cali, doncha think?

[My2Cents]

This is amazing, considering the pounding Bush has been taking in the media, to be only four points down in flippin' California!

[GiveEmDubya]

Hmmm...

As I was saying yesterday, a Bush-Arnold-Jones push in California, if properly coordinated, will put this state in play.

I also hope a good, solid grassroots effort can get working on the ground there.

[ambrose]

The only other pollster to come close to the actual spreads (in the recall) was SurveyUSA.

[GiveEmDubya]

Survey USA also pretty well called the Kentucky House race last night, so I am inclined to believe they're reliable.

Did Gallup & Zogby do their own polling for the recall? If so, how were their numbers?

[foreshadowed at waco]

Dear Chris--As always your sane take on things offers me comfort...will never forget your observations during the Wellstone Memorial Rally...hang in there.

[FRgal4u]

Holy cow - Bush at 48 in California -

If this is the case the dems better be careful. If Bush can take California, the election is over.

[Paleo Conservative]

By the time he rules, thousands of certificates will be issued, and there will be a good deal of chaos - which was their goal to begin with.

Chaos is good. It will hurt Kerry and possibly DemocRATS in general.

[Republic Rocker]

money is also an issue.....GW has a trunk full.....and if these Cali polls are this close then Kerry will br forced to spend time here and GW should get Arnie going for hin ASAP...Kerry will be walking on a thin line......

Lets Roll Kali Freepers!

[Paleo Conservative]

Lets Roll Kali Freepers!

I'm a Texas Freeper.

[KQQL]

Kerry 55% - W 43%

USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup 02/18/04

[daybreakcoming]

(CNN) -- Democratic presidential hopefuls John Edwards and John Kerry both hold leads of 10 percentage points or more in hypothetical match-ups against President Bush, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Wednesday.
Half of those polled were called “likely voters”. What the ‘ell are “likely voters”??
Among registered voters, Kerry held a narrower edge over Bush, 51 percent to 46 percent. Edwards led Bush 49 percent to 48 percent in the same survey of registered voters.
More of those surveyed considered Bush a strong leader when matched against Kerry, 65 percent to 59 percent. But more said they considered Kerry honest and trustworthy, 61 percent to 55 percent.
Can we assume this 61% were “children left behind”? geeze

[Simmy2.5]

And guess which poll is at the front for Yahoo and another of other sites? Yup, Gallup. No bias here. </sarcasm>

Many times, California has shown that it isn't a liberal state. Or at least, liberal GREEN party state (which the Dems are fast becoming). And the gay issue could put California into play. Remember, we DID pass Prop. 22 despite all the ads against it in Cali. With San Francisco continuing to be the Gay Marraige capital of the United States, that is not sitting well with moderates to conservatives which is what makes up most of this state.

[Jeff Chandler]

The point is Kerry shouldn't have to defend California at all. It should be in the bag for him.

Indeed, and California isn't even a must win for President Bush. As long as it's in play, it can act as a sink, draining off rat funds they shouldn't have to spend there. Every dollar spent in California is a dollar taken away from other states. It's as if President Bush had to defend Texas.

[Bonaparte]

A state that voted Gore by 12% just three years ago, is ready to vote Kerry by only 4% today. That's quite a shift. If the poll is accurate and the trend continues, Bush may win California next fall -- especially if Arnold's popularity holds.

[okie01]

"If Kerry is truly only 52-48 in CA (notice that this must be a forced number since there are no undecideds)."

It's an allocated total. According to the article, the actual numbers were 42/38, with 20% undecided.

[Keith]

and it's important to note that this is REGISTERED voters, not LIKELY voters...

[okie01]

"and it's important to note that this is REGISTERED voters, not LIKELY voters..."

Oooooooooh...I missed that. Thus, the news is even better!