TX CD19: Neugebauer Leads Stenholm in 19th

rollcall.com ^ | 02/09/04 | rollcall.com

[KQQL]

Rep. Randy Neugebauer (R) held a double-digit lead over Rep. Charlie Stenholm (D) in a new GOP poll.

Neugebauer 49% - Stenholm 38 % Public Opinion Strategies(R) MOE+/-4.9% (400 likley voters) (01-26-27)

Neugebauer led the horse race despite being slightly less well-known in the district.

[KQQL]

@

[KQQL]

@

[KQQL]

time for charlie to retire...

[FreedomCalls]

But if Charlie retires then Dyess AFB (in his district) will be more likely to fall to the BRAC hammer.

[deport]

I hope Rep. Randy Neugebauer can maintain this for the next 267 days....... lots of time for it to tighten.

[ambrose]

some new polls just hit the wire:

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

looks like Clark and Edwards are splitting up the anti-Kerry vote in TN

[KQQL]

If W wins TX by 60+//////////he will drag few in....to congress from TX.

Charlie only won by 2% in 2002.....he will likely lose,,,

[KQQL]

WOW...RATS want KERRY........


that's it.

ELECTABILTY OVER PASSION WINS...this time around with rats.

[Dog Gone]

These Texas districts were carefully drawn to hose the Rats. I don't think Neugebauer has much to fear, although this could be one of the closer races.

[GeronL]

slightly less well known??

slightly??

That may be an understatement. The man should thank redistricting and the large GOP majority vote in Texas.

[GeronL]

a few?

Redistricting is suppose to give the GOP another 7 seats from Texas, isn't that enough??

haha

[KQQL]

true.....but I think ................CD17 will be closer..and could either way.

Chet Edwards vs R

Charlie will likely lose, by 4%-10%

[Dog Gone]

10% is pretty much considered a landslide in modern elections. I haven't analyzed the voting history of the new district, but I'd suspect it's something like a 53-47 split. Safe enough, unless you really screw up as an incumbent.

[KQQL]

one's already in the bag..CD4 HALL........

GOP needs to win these
TX1 Sandlin
TX 2 Lampson
TX17 Edwards

---

and keep these 2

TX19 Charlie v Randy
TX32 Session v FROSTY

[KQQL]

but...Kerry will not help RATS in TX.

KERRY IS NOT SORE>...HE was from TN.......etc

[deport]

2002.... Dist 19 ...... it went statewides weighted average 70/30 and in the Lt Gov. it was 64/36

[KQQL]

04 lines are different though.

[deport]

04 lines are different though.

---

Yep......... they are. But the numbers as I read them are for the Dist #19 numbers looking at how each county/precinct voted in 02........ Maybe I'm wrong.......