Replies

1 posted on 01/19/2004 3:21:21 PM PST by calvin sun

I posted this prediction before, and here it is again:

Despite weak polling recently, Dean will capture the nomination with the young Democrat vote & the rabid Democrat vote.

Gephardt will come in a close 2nd, capturing the "working guy" vote and make a surprisingly strong showing. Lots of people have lost their jobs and are extremely angry & desperate, and they will be turning to Gephardt.

Kerry and Edwards will be 3rd and 4th, respectively, splitting the older & slightly less rabid Democrat vote because the older & slightly more centrist folks know that Dean has no way of winning. Edwards' supporters may also make a last-minute move to Kerry due to recent publicity because they do not want Dean to be nominated. If this happens, Kerry could be 2nd and Edwards would have a poorer turnout than Lieberman.

Lieberman will be 5th or perhaps 6th (behind Kuninch), he'll take the intelligent Democrat vote, because they know that Lieberman is the only one who has a prayer against Bush (fortunately for us, this will be a very small minority)

Kuninch will have a strong showing here (and also in all the other states), possibly 5th or even 4th, because this guy's supporters are the most rabid of the rabid Democrat... and true "broken glass" Democrats

Dean, Kuninich, and Gephardt supporters are far more motivated and passionaite than the Lieberman/Lurch/Pretty Boy Edwards supporters.

106 posted on 01/19/2004 4:07:58 PM PST by Nataku X

... the actual caucus at 7:30 pm ET.
Showtime ! ...

199 posted on 01/19/2004 4:36:56 PM PST by MeekOneGOP (Check out this HILARIOUS story !! haha!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1060580/posts)

FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS FOR KARENE EADES, DEMOCRAT PARTY LACKEY IN ADAIR: PASS THE ENVELOPE AROUND, DEMAND MONEY FROM THE PEOPLE!

Nice that they open with a prayer or a word of thanksgiving about living in America or the pledge of Allegiance. not!!!!

222 posted on 01/19/2004 4:42:02 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)

243 posted on 01/19/2004 4:44:31 PM PST by TomGuy

Frank Luntz's focus group on MSNBC.

Most of the focus group Luntz asked are saying Kerry and Edwards. One focus group person saying that Kerry's appearance with the vet is what changed him from Dean to Kerry.

A lady saying that Dean's telling the guy to sit down turned her off.. Another lady saying that Dean snaps.

Luntz will be back on later to ask more questions.

All the people in the focus group were demos.

309 posted on 01/19/2004 4:53:13 PM PST by Dane

10 for Dean
8 for Kerry
? for Edwards
1 for Gephardt
1 for Clark

Total 51

[Looks like more camera/media than Iowans]

341 posted on 01/19/2004 4:56:15 PM PST by TomGuy

Im not sure but it looks like Al Gore just won Florida

351 posted on 01/19/2004 4:57:20 PM PST by woofie

Stoned Snowboarders for Dean!

361 posted on 01/19/2004 4:58:34 PM PST by BurbankKarl

379 posted on 01/19/2004 5:00:06 PM PST by TomGuy

Foz news is reporting that Kucinich and Edwards told their respective supporters to support the other if they don't make it.

400 posted on 01/19/2004 5:01:40 PM PST by Sofa King (-I am Sofa King- tired of liberal BS! http://www.angelfire.com/art2/sofaking/index.htm)

Entrance poll has KERRY Leading, per Brit Hume on FOX News !
At 29 %

412 posted on 01/19/2004 5:02:36 PM PST by MeekOneGOP (Check out this HILARIOUS story !! haha!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1060580/posts)

If I say I've been thinking Kerry was going to win this for the last few days will anybody believe me? Or is it too late now?

429 posted on 01/19/2004 5:04:13 PM PST by MattAMiller

Okay, I just got here, what did I miss?

451 posted on 01/19/2004 5:06:22 PM PST by PeteFromMontana (Liberal is a dirty word... just call a liberal a liberal and see what they say)