Posted on 01/07/2004 1:59:53 PM PST by NonValueAdded
A new law starts out fresh, gives everyone the rules, and the minute someone breaks it you can come down on them like a ton of bricks. Given the national security situation they wouldn't have an inch of wiggle room because they were given a remedy, had the ramifacations spelled out for them, and if they ignored it under those circumstances there would be NO EXCUSE.
For those not renewed, that illegal is now out of our country permanently (per Bush's plan).
Again, see post #278. Read it. Take a deep breath. Think about it. Compare it to the rest of the transcript for today's speech. Take another deep breath. Contemplate. Relax. Sleep on it. Think some more.
Then re-read Post #278. You'll feel substantially more clever at that point.
See post #278. Bush's new plan specifically addresses compelling illegals to return to their home countries once their 3 year visas expire. Also, a plea bargain doesn't have to return the world to its pre-crime state. Killers can't bring their victims back to life, but yet even some murders are plea bargained.
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It still doesn't get you any closer to being a citizen. You have to have a green card to do that and there are only so many slots available for legal immigration.
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For the laws to even begin to start working, if they were legislated tomorrow, would take years.
Much thought and logistics have gone into this new initiative, and it is a given that the problem must be addressed and the new laws put into action immediately.
But we're talking millions of illegals here, scattered from New York to Miami to San Diego to Seattle.
One major weakness of the initiative are the assumptions that:
#1 - Illegal immigrants already here will voluntarily come forward and participate. and,
#2 - Those small, medium, and large businesses and corporations now supporting these illegals will also voluntarily come forward and participate.
The assumption made by the government is that both parties will come forward.
Without being able to identify who these parties are, the iniitiative is not worth the paper it is written on and would therefore be unenforceable.
We are back to SQUARE ONE before the law has even been enacted.
Been there, done that. I had a fine Z-28 back in Houston that was thief bait. After they've been stolen, you don't want them back, trust me. You just want the insurance money. The thief screws you more by letting your car get recovered than by just taking it.
OK, enough of that digression. I do understand where you were trying to go metaphorically with that analogy. Even so, the thief seldom is able to return all of what was taken. Thus, a plea bargain getting some concessions has some merit.
And here's what I want: I want all illegals to be registered. Our options on what we can do with them increase once we know who they all are, where they all live, and where they all work. So first things first, lets convince them to register themselves.
Next, I want a *realistic* way to manage 8 million illegals.
On this latter point I'm open to suggestions, but for my money what Bush has proposed (i.e. voluntary registration, voluntary self-deportation after 3 years, punishments and bans for non-compliance, etc.) is a pretty good start.
Admittedly, this is a compromise. For Registering and paying a fine, illegals gain legal status to work here for the next 3 years. So we've given up something. On the other hand, after three years each illegal has some significant portion of their lives invested in this legal program, so they now have some substantial incentive to comply with the self-deportation requirement after their 3 years are up. On this point, we have suddenly found a way to deport 8 million illegals in the next 3 years.
Logistically, it would be a challenge to make it happen any faster than that time period even with our military involved, and that alternative style of forced deportation certainly wouldn't be great for our international reputation (for whatever, if anything, that is worth).
If they don't participate, then it is as though this new plan never existed...hardly something to be upset about.
Ah, but we *can* do something about those who have registered with this new program. Their failure to voluntarily comply with their mandatory self-deportation after 3 years will leave them *registered* with our government where they are easy to find and deal with, as well as forfeiting the tax monies that they are owed in refunds, as well as forfeiting the chance to ever again be legal (per this plan).
The big difference between this plan and past plans is that this plan requires government registration for *temporary* work permits. Once registered, they are a manageable problem.
Should 8 million illegals remain unregistered, however, then we can hardly do much about them short of radical military moves.
I want the same deal, except I don't want to pay into SS in the first place.
I still say the best way to solve this problem is to put the ball in Mexico's court. We've just made a move for them, now they have to do something for us. Property ownership by Americans should be made legal in Mexico. That would do two things, it would encourage investment in Mexico and two, that investment would result in jobs in Mexico.
Don't be so sure. I get the distinct impression that after a while the "other shoe" is going to drop on this proposal, which is much more stringent policing of the illegals who *don't* "register themselves" with a blue card.
I think what you're missing is that there *will* be distinct differences between the "old" (current) system and the new system, which will change the political and economic landscape enough to allow some *real* border border control for a change.
Currently, border control with real "teeth" is a major hot potato, because economically, there *would* be a giant worker shortage in some industries if we could wave a magic wand and make all illegal workers vanish back to their own countries, and politically there would be a big backlash against any politician who came down hard on "all those poor minority workers who are just trying to feed their families and have no other options".
As the "blue card" program is being hammered out, however, both of those "third rail" problems vaporise. Economically, businesses can still hire as many cheap foreign workers as they need, but *legally* and in a way that better registers and tracks who's doing what. And politically, who can bitch about cracking down on the remaining illegal "immigrants" in the country when there's a straightforward way for well-intentioned foreigners to be here to work legally as long as they go through the right paperwork?
Done right (and Bush is no idiot), this is a win-win proposal. It provides a legal way to answer the pressures that have led to much of the illegal-immigrant flood in the first place, and at the same time it cuts the legs out from under objections to cranking up tough measures against anyone who still insists on coming here illegally.
Additionally, it encourages well-intentioned foreigners to "register" themselves for a change, *and* it lets law enforcement concentrate more on the remaining real troublemakers instead of all the guys who are just here to make more money than they can make back "home".
To me this looks like we've added a new type of guest worker --- only it's going to be millions but this won't solve the problem with massive migration and much of it illegal.
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