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IS ARNOLD'S WEAKNESS MCCLINTOCK'S FAULT?
August 31, 2003 | Andrew Russo

Posted on 08/31/2003 10:37:13 AM PDT by Andrew65

IS ARNOLD’S WEAKNESS McCLINTOCK’S FAULT?

by

Andrew Russo

Arnold Schwarzenegger’s failure to move beyond the 22 to 25% range in

most recent California surveys is sending the Republican Party’s country-club

establishment into panic. Arnold, after all, fits their mold perfectly. A so-called

“fiscal conservative,” but “social moderate,” the Terminator was supposed to be

the Great White Hope of the comatose California GOP. We all know that true

conservative Republicans can’t win general elections in the Golden State, so

the Republican rank-and-file were supposed to play “good soldiers,” follow the

lead of the moneyed party elite, and joyfully climb aboard the Arnold Express for

the only train back to the Statehouse.

Well, as is usually the case, the GOP establishment was wrong. Their

Great White Hope isn’t quite catching on. Between his questionable choice of

advisors ( one a prominent Democrat who wants to scuttle Prop. 13 ) and his

liberal views on a host of issues, ranging from abortion, gun control, and “gay

marriage,” to his support of new high-spending big government programs ( i.e.,

Prop. 49 ), the Terminator is a hard pill for the hard core to swallow. And, if the

polls are correct, they’re not swallowing.

The Los Angeles Times poll showed Schwarzenegger drawing only 39% of

the Republican vote. This despite the fact he’s a household name, a movie

celebrity in the state where Hollywood is king, the massive media buildup prior to

his announcement ( “Will he or won’t he?” ), and the subsequent “Arnoldmania”

that has swept the state. Yet, fewer than four in ten Republicans in California are

biting.

This fact alone proves once again that the Republican elite is all wet and

that it’s the grassroots Republicans—the precinct walkers and envelope-lickers—

who are the real representatives of the state GOP. It proves conclusively that one

endorsement from the California Republican Assembly is worth a thousand

endorsements from the Lincoln Club of Orange County.

Now, the party bigwigs are desperate to save Arnold. As Bustamante roars

ahead of the Terminator, are the bigwigs having second thoughts about the

actor-turned-politician they have put their money on? Have they seen the light

and are they perhaps reconsidering? No way. This gang is temperamentally

incapable of admitting error. They have decided instead that the only way to

salvage their political mistake is to demand that the real Republican in the race

for Governor, State Sen. Tom McClintock, drop out and toss a life preserver to

their golden boy.

Yet, why is Arnold’s weakness the fault of Tom McClintock?

Is it McClintock’s fault that Arnold’s negatives are almost as high as his

positives?

The truth is that voters are beginning to recognize that the Hollywood

megastar is, to use Texas terminology, all hat and no cattle. Any individual who

seeks to be governor of California but has to seclude himself for ten days with

consultants and counselors to tell him what to think simply cannot be taken

seriously. You just can’t cram for the governorship of the nation’s largest state

( and one that’s suffering the worst financial crisis in history ) like you would for a

10th grade history exam.

Tom McClintock doesn’t need anyone to tell him what to think or what to

say. Motivated by a strong Jeffersonian philosophy of limited government and

with a twenty-year track record of carefully dissecting the problems confronting

California, Tom is perhaps overqualified to be governor. And, look what his

dark-horse candidacy has accomplished in less than a month:

With a limited campaign budget ( and no personal fortune to pour into

the contest ), a small staff, and no box office sensations to his credit, Tom

McClintock is quickly becoming the candidate to watch in the Recall race.

Doubling his voter strength in the Times poll in just a few weeks, McClintock is

generating the kind of enthusiasm and excitement among rank-and-file

Republicans not seen since Ronald Reagan’s first campaign for governor in 1966.

Actually outraising Democrat presidential candidate Howard Dean on the

Internet, the insurgent Thousand Oaks Senator is attracting the support of

Californians fed up with the deceit and doubletalk of conventional politicians and

seeking a breath of fresh air. McClintock offers them that and more: he’s an

authentic populist who, if elected, will shake California’s political establishment

to the core.

And, isn’t that what the Gray Davis Recall is all about? A true populist

uprising against the same kind of corrupt politicians beholden to special interests

that Hiram Johnson, father of the recall provision, railed against in the early

1900s.

With an agenda that is simple and direct, Tom McClintock is rallying

Californians fed up with high taxes, out-of-control spending, a laughable public

school system, and stifling bureaucracy. He is offering hope to voters in a state

where cynicism reigns. He is speaking Truth to Power. And, in the year of the

unprecedented Recall election in this, the trend-setter of states, that could just be

the ticket to victory.

Andrew Russo is a California political consultant and former Executive Director of The Lincoln Club of Monterey County


TOPICS: California; Campaign News
KEYWORDS: tommcclintock

1 posted on 08/31/2003 10:37:13 AM PDT by Andrew65
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To: Andrew65
Well, it appears you are that Andrew Russo. This piece has been reprinted several times on various threads. It is a very good analysis.

Welcome to FR.

2 posted on 08/31/2003 8:55:06 PM PDT by Canticle_of_Deborah
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To: Andrew65
***IS ARNOLD'S WEAKNESS MCCLINTOCK'S FAULT?***

The answer is NO. Arnold is not entitled to the votes of McClintock supporters. Arnold must earn their votes. No politician is entitled to anyone's vote.
3 posted on 09/01/2003 2:44:07 AM PDT by Kuksool
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: EU=4th Reich
Yes, it's going to be great if McClintock wins. Break out the popcorn!
5 posted on 09/01/2003 11:06:13 PM PDT by Canticle_of_Deborah
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Comment #6 Removed by Moderator

To: Andrew65
I live in NY so it doesnt matter to me either way but it seems like a lot of your arguments, "its the grass roots activists getting it done' etc, are the some ones that produced Bill Simon in the last go round. He got pounded.

Is it possible that the grassroots is misdirected this time around? Backing McClintock to the bitter end.

Perhaps the McClintock supporters should get to work electing Republicans in the Assembly so that Arnold S and Warrent Buffet couldn't raise taxes even if they wanted to.

It seems to reason that if you put your energy into taking over Sacramento, you could get much of your agenda put into practice.

But what I say doesn't matter, I live in New York. I just happen to really like California a lot.
7 posted on 09/09/2003 8:23:59 AM PDT by ConservativeStandUP
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To: ConservativeStandUP
Simon didn't lose because he was too conservative, he ran a lousy campaign.
8 posted on 09/11/2003 11:29:49 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (Actually Tarzana CA)
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To: ConservativeStandUP
He got pounded.

Pounded? He lost by less than 5%. And the evidence indicates now that more than 5% of the votes were illegal. Besides that, the CAGOP didn't want Simon, so they didn't go out of their way to campaign for him.

9 posted on 09/15/2003 11:36:17 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway
Besides that, the CAGOP didn't want Simon, so they didn't go out of their way to campaign for him.

What a load of CrockOLA, that's like saying when the Pats beat Oakland two years ago, that the NFL didn't really want them in Superbowl so they threw a crappier superbowl. Since when does the CAGOP carry ANY juice, Simon is worth more than the membership of the party combined.
10 posted on 09/15/2003 12:30:56 PM PDT by ConservativeStandUP (Is he or isn't he?)
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