[Torie]

Here are the folks that defy the Bush odds. I think Mondale might have won the Peterson district though. Coleman's winning coalition was very different from Bush's in Minnesota. Edwards and Stenholm had close races this time, as did Matheson, Hill and Lucas and as always, Moore.

	     Bush Margin
Stenholm-TX	44.50%
Hall-TX	        40.50%
Edwards-TX	35.00%
Taylor-Miss	34.00%
Matheson-Utah	34.00%
Sandlin-TX	29.00%
Pomeroy-ND	28.00%
Turner-TX	26.00%
Lucas-KY	24.00%
Skelton-MO	19.20%
Hill-Ind	14.60%
Spratt-SC	14.50%
Holden-PA	14.50%
Peterson-Minn	14.40%
John-LA	        13.63%
Boucher-Vir	12.49%
Moore-KS	11.40%
Cramer-AL	10.30%
	
	     Gore Margin
Simmons-CT	15.40%
Quinn-NY	14.08%
Castle-Del	13.70%
LoBiondo-NJ	11.80%
Leach-Iowa	11.10%
Shays-CT	10.30%

[Torie]

Coleman won in the Peterson district over Mondale by 5%, as compared to Bush's margin over Gore of 14.4%. The Coleman percentage I suspect is more of a typical GOP performance. Still, the Dems will have a hard time holding the district if Peterson retires.

[CPT Clay]

Many of those on your list will either retire, Stenholm,Hall, Skelton, or be targets in 2004.

Looks like the combo of Pomeroy-Dorgan would be a great place to spend $ and Recruit great conservative candidates. Perhaps the Split with the party in power approach would work well in ND and Ark?