[Torie]

Coleman won in the Peterson district over Mondale by 5%, as compared to Bush's margin over Gore of 14.4%. The Coleman percentage I suspect is more of a typical GOP performance. Still, the Dems will have a hard time holding the district if Peterson retires.

[Gunder]

I used to live in that district and I can tell you -- there's no way the Dems will hold it if they put up a pro-abortion candidate. Colin Peterson admitted as much himself earlier this year when he was discussing Janet Roberts' (D) uphill battle against Mark Kennedy (R) after the districts were re-drawn. (Apparently, Janet Roberts also considered herself pro-life, tho I never read much to back that up. But I digress.)