This time MSNBC/DNC really really think the swing states (WI, MI, PA, etc. etc.) going for Biden. REALLY. All of the movement from those states mentioned in the MSNBC's clip are towards Biden.
YES! This time, for sure.
Penn has had a lot of new Republican registrations over the past three months. Toss in the defund the police chatter, with the police/firemen (active and retired) going to Trump...it’ll be close but Trump likely wins it.
As for Minn and Wis, I think the defund the police business, and looting in Minneapolis has awaken a lot of people around both states. It was not a plus up to think BLM/Antifa would help get them votes.
Did RCP steal Pj Comic video (Dummie Funnies) and report it as their own?
I’ll make a prediction.
Virginia, Minnesota, and New Hampshire will flip to Trump, if the fraud can be minimized.
That is a tough condition, because in those states the democrats are in total control of elections in major metropolitan sectors. The raw vote will show Trump winning in those states. But then will come the late ballots, the car trunk ballots, the judges’ orders, which may flip the real outcome to the Biden fraud outcome.
Kornacki is 100% right this year ... just like he was in 2016. Trump is doomed!
Except it won’t be. Trump right now has likely added MN and NH. The Trump campaign is pretty solid on MN. The voter reg advantage in NH has swung big to us.
The Trump campaign also seems pretty convinced we’ll get NM.
My projection of 320-340 EVs still stands, but there are at least three huge wild cards out there-—all in Trump’s favor.
1) The student vote will be down a MINIMUM of 30% (1 to 1.5m votes nationally, many key House races will be affected: for ex., NM 2)
2) Almost every poll-—for those of you who live by polls-—has Trump at 15-25% black approval. If that turns out to be 12% actual vote and 3-5% more staying home, Demented Perv Biteme is finished right there. Cankles lost with 88% of the black vote. Biteme is around 78% and falling.
In that same vein, Kanye is on the ballot in WI and looks to be getting on the ballot in CO. These will be big.
3) The riots. This is having a pronounced effect on the suburban Karens.
Final could be closer to Norpoth’s 356.