Except it won’t be. Trump right now has likely added MN and NH. The Trump campaign is pretty solid on MN. The voter reg advantage in NH has swung big to us.
The Trump campaign also seems pretty convinced we’ll get NM.
My projection of 320-340 EVs still stands, but there are at least three huge wild cards out there-—all in Trump’s favor.
1) The student vote will be down a MINIMUM of 30% (1 to 1.5m votes nationally, many key House races will be affected: for ex., NM 2)
2) Almost every poll-—for those of you who live by polls-—has Trump at 15-25% black approval. If that turns out to be 12% actual vote and 3-5% more staying home, Demented Perv Biteme is finished right there. Cankles lost with 88% of the black vote. Biteme is around 78% and falling.
In that same vein, Kanye is on the ballot in WI and looks to be getting on the ballot in CO. These will be big.
3) The riots. This is having a pronounced effect on the suburban Karens.
Final could be closer to Norpoth’s 356.
A wipeout like that could end the Democratic Party, as the new BLM/Antifa Party would have no further desire to cooperate and the Left could break apart into half a dozen squabbling factions - with no unifying figure in sight.