Posted on 06/25/2019 2:28:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Trump campaign officials have been discussing a digital campaign to boost President Trump’s 2020 support among three key demographic groups: African Americans, Hispanics and suburban women, two sources familiar with the plan tell Axios.
Why it matters: These are the groups the president must make inroads with the most. Trump won in 2016 with less support from black and Hispanic voters than any president in at least 40 years, per Reuters. And in 2018, suburban women revolted against Republicans in the midterms, a shift that was widely seen as a direct rebuke of Trump.
"We have high confidence that we’ll make great inroads with key voters,” a senior Trump campaign official told Axios.
Examples of the planned messaging, per the official: Across the board, the campaign plans to play up the strong economy and historic low unemployment.
For Hispanics: They'll emphasize that Trump supports school choice and expanding educational opportunities.
For African Americans: The campaign will tout that how Trump supports health care policies that protect patients with pre-existing conditions. They'll also play up the administration's success on criminal justice reform.
Reality check: The administration is actively arguing that the courts should strike down the Affordable Care Act, including its protections for pre-existing conditions.
For suburban women: They'll focus on how the "energy revolution" has made energy more affordable, creates jobs, and reduced carbon emissions. They'll also highlight how the president supports dedicating $500 million over the next 10 years to fund childhood cancer research and therapies.
Reality check: Presidents have very little direct sway over fuel prices, per Axios' Ben Geman. Meanwhile, U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions rose 2.7% last year.
Examples of target areas: Detroit, Mich.; specifically Oakland & Macomb Counties: Trump won blue-collar Macomb by 12 points in 2016, while Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Sen. Debbie Stabenow won it by narrow margins in 2018. Oakland was one of only eight counties Hillary Clinton took in 2016.
Phoenix, Ariz., specifically Maricopa County, voted Republican in every election since 1952, per Politico. But, in 2016, Trump won the county by just a narrow plurality.
The backdrop: Trump was elected in 2016 with just 8% of the black vote and 28% of the Hispanic vote, per Reuters. Though it's worth noting that he performed better among these groups than Mitt Romney did in 2012.
Among women, 53% of all white women chose Trump in 2016, but 94% of black women and 68% of Hispanic women chose Clinton, per the NYT.
During the 2018 midterms, white women split their vote evenly between Democrats and Republicans, per FiveThirtyEight. And among white women with a college degree, most voted for Democrats over Republicans — 59% to 39%.
"If the enthusiasm for Trump in rural and small-town America constituted the story after 2016, the revolt against him in the suburbs, led by female voters, has become the story of the 2018 elections," The Washington Post's Dan Balz writes. "The more you analyze the House results, the more the GOP’s suburban problem stands out."
The bottom line: Given his policies, rhetoric, Fox News obsession and Cabinet picks, Trump knows older, white men are probably the key to any win. He just can’t get his clock cleaned with every other group.
The key to reaching out to Hispanic, Asian, and other minority voters...especially recent immigrant: is religious freedom and social issues. Black Christians who are prioritize religion will also be listening.
The liberals are sooooo off the deep end to the left these days on this front.
Sorry typos, to clarify:
This go-around, the key to reaching out to Hispanic, Asian, and other minority voters would be to emphasize religious freedom and social issues. Black Christians who prioritize faith will also be listening.
The liberals are sooooo off the deep end to the left these days on this front: whether on abortion or LGBTQRSTUV agenda in schools, etc...
Curious headline... “target”
Why not use the same phrasing when Democrats do it?
“Trump to reach out to Hispanics and blacks and women for their vote in blow to democrats”
So, is that a threat to black, hispanic and female voters if they don’t vote for PDJT? ‘Targeting’ is a ‘trigger’ word I thought.
POTUS reaches out to ALL Americans!
DJT does not “do” tribal warfare - he is an ALL-AMERICAN GUY!
I am damned sick and tired of the tribal warfare that has so disrupted and divided America over the 78 years of my life!
We have a MAN in the White House who stands for all of us, and we should, irrespective of ANY accident of birth characteristic, STAND WITH HIM!
White, Black, Red, Yellow, Brown, male, female - WHATEVER!
STAND WITH OUR MAN AND HELP HIM MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
he can do quite well at this!
Who wrote this crap?
I saw an interview with a Trump campaign guy and he wants Nicki Haley for VP in 2020. Says Trump is sure to win with that ticket.
Well put, Taxman.
If memory serves, Candidate Trump was elected in part because he treated everyone as Americans, and refrained from ‘tribal warfare’, as you so aptly put it.
When you consider the MSM’s wall-to-wall coverage of Trump's previous relationships and statements, and when you consider Trump ran against the first major party female candidate, 3% does not sound that bad.
In any event, I think pursuing the Black and Hispanic vote is probably a waste of money, unless it is highly focused on crucial swing states, where a couple of percentage points might swing the whole election.
Thank you, Don Corleone!
President Trump DID get elected, in part, because he treated ALL of us as Americans - not as some bastardized “hyphenated” American slang term!
He has no need to nor does he engage in, class/gender/tribal/racial warfare!
IMHO, the LIEberals who do engage in class/gender/tribal/racial warfare (which is all they have, BTW) are going to get slaughtered in November 2020 at the ballot box, even if they do manage to steal a couple million votes!
>> Fox News obsession and Cabinet picks
AXIOS is Comcast.
NBC is Comcast
MSNBC is Comcast
Comcast owns vast amounts of infrastructure and key news/media content delivered on it.
Would be good for all conservative Comcast subscribers to get their heads out of their asses.
If you’re a Comcast subscribers, and you’re not speaking up, you’re part of the problem.
“Reality check” : what the Dens told us to say. LOL!
Re: Since the 2016 election Trump has polled very well with Blacks and Hispanics.
I prefer to speculate with harder numbers.
In the 2018 midterm, Blacks and Hispanics voted for Democrat Congressmen at the same rate they voted for Hillary in 2016.
Also, Black and Hispanic turn out in 2018 was close to a historic high. If they have high turn out again in 2020, that will wash out any gains Trump might make with his percentage share of their vote.
Trump’s best bet is to increase his share of the white vote, which was just 57% in 2016.
In my opinion, Trump will need at least 60% of the white vote to be competitive in 2020.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.