I think the guy may be correct
Pollsters should be paid according to their accuracy.
They will be filing bankruptcy if they do no better this election than they did in the last.
WARNING: Mothers don’t let your babes grow up to be pollsters. Let them be doctors, lobbyists or cowboys instead.
An industry, for which there would be few tears shed when it vanishes.
He is.
The mainstream polls are always hinked to oversample democrats. They also factor weight them more heavily. They justify it on the higher number of registered dems, living or dead.
You also have to watch their sample sizes and subject characteristics. Note how often they sample 1000 likely voters in Manhattan.
The first question you always ask when you analyze any poll or research study is: who paid for it?
I hope and pray he’s right. The next six years could see two SCOTUS vacancies. God help us if one of the RATS gets in. Unlimited immigration, taxes through the roof, Venezuela socialism. If a RAT gets in, it could bring us a revolution.
The guy is absolutely correct.
Anyone, and I do mean ANYONE, telling you Trump is going to lose in 2020 (short of a complete economic meltdown between now and November 2020) is either WHOLESALE IGNORANT of how and why Trump won in 2016... Or is FLAT OUT LYING TO YOU.
Trump will take every state he did in 2016, all by larger margins.
He will also take most if not every state he got 45% or more in, but lost in 2016.
The “battleground” states will be states he got between 40 and 45% in, and Trump being a fighter, will ACTUALLY fight for, and probably win a few of them as well.
There is no Democrat who can win in 2020, period. Work and fight hard, don’t get complacent.. but anyone telling you Trump is losing, is a fool, or a liar.