Posted on 04/20/2019 10:11:24 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Of all the questions that will be answered by the 2020 election, one matters above the others: Is Trumpism a temporary aberration or a long-term phenomenon? Put another way: Will the changes brought about by Donald Trump and today’s Republican Party fade away, or will they become entrenched?
Trump’s reelection seems implausible to many people, as implausible as his election did before November 2016. But despite the scandals and chaos of his presidency, and despite his party’s midterm losses, he approaches 2020 with two factors in his favor. One is incumbency: Since 1980, voters have only once denied an incumbent a second term. The other is a relatively strong economy (at least as of now). Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University who weights both of those factors heavily in his election-forecasting model, gives Trump close to an even chance of reelection, based on a projected 2 percent GDP growth rate for the first half of 2020.
So far, much of the concern about the long-term effects of Trump’s presidency has centered on his antidemocratic tendencies. But even if we take those off the table—even if we assume that Trump continues to be hemmed in by other parts of the government and by outside institutions, and that he governs no more effectively than he has until now—the impact of a second term would be more lasting than that of the first.
In normal politics, the policies adopted by a president and Congress may zig one way, and those of the next president and Congress may zag the other. The contending parties take our system’s rules as a given, and fight over what they understand to be reversible policies and power arrangements. But some situations are not like that; a zig one way makes it hard to zag back.
(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...
What scandals is the author talking about?
Or Guam could tip over.
I’m wondering what his third and fourth term will be like
Ah yes. We are 4% of the world’s population, but we are expected to fix all the world’s problems. If the author is worried about climate change, I suggest he tell India, China, and Brazil to stop breeding like rabbits.
The only scandal I've seen in the President's first term so far is the absence of support from the RNC and Congressional and Senatorial Republicans.
He Beat Hillary.
Absolutely third term going be great
The big question is not whether President Trump will be elected, but how much control is he going to assert over the NRCC and the NRSC.
Since the Democrat primary field is so worthless, his future agenda is entirely based on replacing his opponents in the Republican National Committee and congress and 1/3rd of the senate with conservative loyalists.
He has a huge amount of money in his campaign chest.
After he has cleaned house among the Republicans, he needs a major program to insure clean elections, challenging Democrat cheating *everywhere*. And this may even be harder.
So there is no time to delay. He needs to be in a much better position for his second term.
Steaming pile.
The Atlantic? Pifft. It might be interesting to see what a serious and credible source has to say.
Ah yes. We are 4% of the world’s population, but we are expected to fix all the world’s problems. If the author is worried about climate change, I suggest he tell India, China, and Brazil to stop breeding like rabbits.
—
The real climate change deniers are those ignore what China and India have done, are doing, and will do.
They HAVE signed agreements that commit them to NO ACTION before 2030.
They ARE pumping out “green house gasses” at a rate that swamps anything anyone else can make up for.
They WILL contribute BY THEMSELVES a level of warming (assuming for the moment that the warming argument holds truth) that is beyond the ability of the United States or anyone else to compensate for by their own local restrictions.
That’s GW DENIAL in a nutshell.
Must listen...
https://soundcloud.com/dan-bongino/ep-863-its-about-to-hit-the
Not 1 person in prison?
Banana not free republic?
“WANTED” posters not out?
America, America...
My fear is the NRCC AND NRSC will get more Republicans to run against President in order to split votes off thus letting a Dem President win. There are many RINO’s who would rather vote for a Dem (like when Hillary ran) then to vote for our President.
Look at our party when a Dem President is in power, they are toothless, spineless and run on the excuse, we can’t do much, etc.
How many Republicans are out there standing up against the sham investigation and Mueller? How many are defending Barr?
Crickets
These leftists are delusional.
Anti-Democratic tendencies, maybe, such as upholding the rule of law.
Underlines mine. I love the way these people try to downgrade good news.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.