Posted on 04/07/2019 7:16:59 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump’s presidency has been anything but predictable.
It’s a continuous roller coaster and no one can really know what might follow, but underneath all the noise, the commander-in-chief has actually done a better job than many might have thought.
Yes, the presidency has been controversial with Trump often angrily-tweeting from behind his phone, but has he worked enough to get re-elected as Democrats gear up to remove the businessman-turned-politician out of the White House? With a successful midterm election from the Democratic Party, one might think the president holds a bleak chance of regaining office, however, things might not be what they seem.
In fact, if history is any indicator, President Trump is well on his way of holding the office for an additional four years.
You wonder why? All you see are unflattering headlines and angry outburst on media from the commander-in-chief but we have some news for you: Trump is here to stay.
Polls do not translate to actual results
According to a recent Fox News poll, less than 40 percent of voters would re-elect Trump, if the elections were to happen right now. A majority of the voters said they would rather see someone else hold office. When looking at the negative polls for the president one would assume that the public has spoken, however, traditionally, the question if a sitting president would be re-elected has usually failed to predict the actual outcome of the elections.
According to CNN’s Harry Enten, in 1980 and 1992, the voters’ poll resulted in favor of the sitting president, however, both the times the president would end up losing the elections. Similarly, 1984, 1996 and 2012 cycles, when the polls didn’t favor the president, he would go on to win.
Incumbency comes with its own set of advantages
A defending champion always seems like a safer bet. It is as simple as that.
Trump, like other presidents before him, has already run a successful campaign. He knows what worked for him and what didn’t. The re-elections are the incumbent’s playing field, one that he knows well. Anyone up against him will have to work that much harder to uproot him from the office.
History also supports incumbents. 15 out of 20 presidents seeking reelection, since 1900, have come out victorious at the end of their election campaign. It has been proved rather difficult to boot out a president from the office before they complete their eight years. In fact, the more controversial the president, the bigger the re-election victory and Trump is nothing if not controversial. even his critics would agree.
The Rating System
Right Bias This article is written from a Republican point of view.
Author Political Spectrum Winston Wang Left Libertarian Economic Viewpoint: 32% Left Social Viewpoint: 44% Libertarian
Hover to Expand
Our Verdict: The Democrats have yet to produce a viable candidate. Will Trump pull off another victory?
What is this?
Donald Trump’s presidency has been anything but predictable.
It’s a continuous roller coaster and no one can really know what might follow, but underneath all the noise, the commander-in-chief has actually done a better job than many might have thought.
Yes, the presidency has been controversial with Trump often angrily-tweeting from behind his phone, but has he worked enough to get re-elected as Democrats gear up to remove the businessman-turned-politician out of the White House? With a successful midterm election from the Democratic Party, one might think the president holds a bleak chance of regaining office, however, things might not be what they seem.
In fact, if history is any indicator, President Trump is well on his way of holding the office for an additional four years.
You wonder why? All you see are unflattering headlines and angry outburst on media from the commander-in-chief but we have some news for you: Trump is here to stay.
Polls do not translate to actual results
According to a recent Fox News poll, less than 40 percent of voters would re-elect Trump, if the elections were to happen right now. A majority of the voters said they would rather see someone else hold office. When looking at the negative polls for the president one would assume that the public has spoken, however, traditionally, the question if a sitting president would be re-elected has usually failed to predict the actual outcome of the elections.
According to CNN’s Harry Enten, in 1980 and 1992, the voters’ poll resulted in favor of the sitting president, however, both the times the president would end up losing the elections. Similarly, 1984, 1996 and 2012 cycles, when the polls didn’t favor the president, he would go on to win.
Incumbency comes with its own set of advantages
A defending champion always seems like a safer bet. It is as simple as that.
Trump, like other presidents before him, has already run a successful campaign. He knows what worked for him and what didn’t. The re-elections are the incumbent’s playing field, one that he knows well. Anyone up against him will have to work that much harder to uproot him from the office.
History also supports incumbents. 15 out of 20 presidents seeking reelection, since 1900, have come out victorious at the end of their election campaign. It has been proved rather difficult to boot out a president from the office before they complete their eight years. In fact, the more controversial the president, the bigger the re-election victory and Trump is nothing if not controversial. even his critics would agree.
Photo by Element5 Digital on Unsplash
Economic growth plays a huge role
Trump’s biggest concern as a president is the economy and if all goes well for the commander-in-chief, it could be the biggest factor in what drives him over the line in the 2020 elections.
The GDP growth and the falling numbers of unemployment bring good news for the president.
The GDP has been steadily growing under the Trump presidency. Should Trump avoid an economic recession by 2020, his overall numbers should secure him the votes he needs to be president once again.
The unemployment has also been going down as they were by the end of Barack Obama’s presidency. If these two economic indicators are to go by, Trump will probably emerge victorious.
People want to watch Trump
Love him or hate him, Trump has his appeal.
People want to watch him. Whether it was as a businessman in a reality TV show or a president running the country, Trump has managed to grab people’s attention – and keep it.
It may seem like nothing but it is important.
For a representative of the people, it is important that people pay attention to what he has to say. People might not agree with Trump, yet they listen to what he has to offer. While many Democrats hope that America will finally tire of the “Trump Presidency Show,” the latest numbers show no decline in viewership.
The Rating System
Right Bias This article is written from a Republican point of view.
Author Political Spectrum Winston Wang Left Libertarian Economic Viewpoint: 32% Left Social Viewpoint: 44% Libertarian
Hover to Expand
Our Verdict: The Democrats have yet to produce a viable candidate. Will Trump pull off another victory?
What is this?
Donald Trump’s presidency has been anything but predictable.
It’s a continuous roller coaster and no one can really know what might follow, but underneath all the noise, the commander-in-chief has actually done a better job than many might have thought.
Yes, the presidency has been controversial with Trump often angrily-tweeting from behind his phone, but has he worked enough to get re-elected as Democrats gear up to remove the businessman-turned-politician out of the White House? With a successful midterm election from the Democratic Party, one might think the president holds a bleak chance of regaining office, however, things might not be what they seem.
In fact, if history is any indicator, President Trump is well on his way of holding the office for an additional four years.
You wonder why? All you see are unflattering headlines and angry outburst on media from the commander-in-chief but we have some news for you: Trump is here to stay.
Polls do not translate to actual results
According to a recent Fox News poll, less than 40 percent of voters would re-elect Trump, if the elections were to happen right now. A majority of the voters said they would rather see someone else hold office. When looking at the negative polls for the president one would assume that the public has spoken, however, traditionally, the question if a sitting president would be re-elected has usually failed to predict the actual outcome of the elections.
According to CNN’s Harry Enten, in 1980 and 1992, the voters’ poll resulted in favor of the sitting president, however, both the times the president would end up losing the elections. Similarly, 1984, 1996 and 2012 cycles, when the polls didn’t favor the president, he would go on to win.
Incumbency comes with its own set of advantages
A defending champion always seems like a safer bet. It is as simple as that.
Trump, like other presidents before him, has already run a successful campaign. He knows what worked for him and what didn’t. The re-elections are the incumbent’s playing field, one that he knows well. Anyone up against him will have to work that much harder to uproot him from the office.
History also supports incumbents. 15 out of 20 presidents seeking reelection, since 1900, have come out victorious at the end of their election campaign. It has been proved rather difficult to boot out a president from the office before they complete their eight years. In fact, the more controversial the president, the bigger the re-election victory and Trump is nothing if not controversial. even his critics would agree.
Photo by Element5 Digital on Unsplash
Economic growth plays a huge role
Trump’s biggest concern as a president is the economy and if all goes well for the commander-in-chief, it could be the biggest factor in what drives him over the line in the 2020 elections.
The GDP growth and the falling numbers of unemployment bring good news for the president.
The GDP has been steadily growing under the Trump presidency. Should Trump avoid an economic recession by 2020, his overall numbers should secure him the votes he needs to be president once again.
The unemployment has also been going down as they were by the end of Barack Obama’s presidency. If these two economic indicators are to go by, Trump will probably emerge victorious.
People want to watch Trump
Love him or hate him, Trump has his appeal.
People want to watch him. Whether it was as a businessman in a reality TV show or a president running the country, Trump has managed to grab people’s attention – and keep it.
It may seem like nothing but it is important.
For a representative of the people, it is important that people pay attention to what he has to say. People might not agree with Trump, yet they listen to what he has to offer. While many Democrats hope that America will finally tire of the “Trump Presidency Show,” the latest numbers show no decline in viewership.
According to The New York Times, prime-time ratings for CNN, MSNBC and Fox News have seen a constant rise since 2014.
Nell Scovell, a veteran comedy writer recalled when a cab driver once told her that he would be voting for Trump and the only reason for his vote was that the then-presidential nominee made him laugh.
Now, 3 years into his presidency, Trump has successfully kept the audience glued to their screens.
Midterm elections, historically, mean nothing
Winning 40 extra seats in the 2018 Midterm elections, the Democrats gained control of the House, while Republicans kept control of the Senate.
While the ending of the Republican Federal Trifecta had many people predicting the future of the presidency based off of the 2018 midterm results, previous presidencies have shown that these results mean next to nothing when it comes to the re-election for Trump.
Bill Clinton’s party, in 1994, and Obama’s party, in 2010, both lost House seats in midterm elections (Clinton lost 52 while Obama lost a whopping 63), yet, two years later they came out on top in their re-election bid by a huge margin. Considering these results, history proves that midterm election result may switch control of the House or Senate but they hold a much smaller significance when it comes to the president.
Weak Democratic nominations
Another advantage for Trump is that we still do not know who is going up against him. There are over a dozen Democrats going head-to-head to win the party’s presidential nomination.
However, it is quite difficult to predict which way the Democrats are going to lean. Will they go the Joe Biden way, a seasoned politician that the public is familiar with? In recent years, John Kerry, John McCain, and Hillary Clinton have all faced defeats. People, apparently, do not want the same faces, who have had their chance, to run America.
Or, will they go for candidates like Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren? Both the women represent the far-left and, if nominated and elected, would become the first female president of the US. However, extreme ideologies scare people and many voters might be inclined to vote for Trump because they do not want an extreme cultural change.
Therefore, if the president can avoid an economic recession, it is very likely that he would resume his days at the Oval Office with a successful re-election bid in 2020.
” I honestly don’t think he has much of a chance.”
oh, goody. another negative nabob of negativism heard from ...
BTW, Trump is in way better shape than the first time ... he’s got a tremendous record of accomplishments (including remaking the judiciary and SCOTUS, and none of the BS the dying lying leftist fake stream enemedia predicted came true, so many who might have been reluctant to vote before because of uncertainty can now be certain ...
trump has essentially vanquished the never-trumpers, neocons and the like and has remade the GOP in his image, including the state organizations, so doesn’t have to fight his own party ... the dying lying leftist fake stream enemedia has so overreached with their 100% propaganda and lies that even MORE people are turned off by that than 2016 ...
During the last four years, unemployment has fallen to a 50 year low, wages have risen by an average of 8%, unemployment amongst blacks, hispanics and females is the lowest ever recorded, U.S. oil and natural gas production is at an all time high and the U.S. is a net exporter of oil and gas for the first time ever, U.S. manufacturing jobs have increased by over a million, and the stock market is at an all time high, and not only do the Dems NOT have ANY plan about how to make that continue, everything they propose will totally crash the economy and leave millions unemployed
and then the Dems themselves have gone so far to the extreme left with their GND, reparations, free everything, no meat, no cars, no airplanes, no carbon energy in 10 years, tearing down and rebuilding all building in 10 years, 16 year old voters, tearing down the existing border walls, increasing taxes, paying everyone a guaranteed income, that huge numbers of people who previously voted for Dems are simply not going to vote for a Dem, even if they don’t vote for Trump
finally, Trump is one track to raise three times as much campaign money as in 2016 ...
I am in with this! Prove everyone is a citizen.
We had to do this with the new secure drivers license act a few years ago. Then the politicians turn around and give illegals voter registration and drivers licenses. We voted those licenses out in a referendum. Now the politicians are bringing back illegal alien drivers licenses.
Vote by mail is the most corrupt system on earth. That,registering up to election day and automatic registering at DMV have given fraud the green light.
To bad our Dennis Richards died.
Yes,,,Dennis was a good guy. And Bev Klarno is , I believe, a problem...she’s 83!!!!
The federal government handles huge sums of money. The federal government is a business. Trump is the business man our government needed. Many of our politicians know NOTHING about running a business.
The key is forcing Biden to take on #Karamela or #AuntGemmadams as VP.
Swing states can swing, events are unpredictable.
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For the political moment (shorter than any measurement of objective time), I am cautiously optimistic.
In last week’s Wisconsin judicial election, the money on both sides was on the progressive Democrat, who had organization and money behind her. There was no discernible ground game in my SW county. But, in the privacy of their own minds, the state’s conservatives made a decision to vote and the conservative Christian male candidate garnered enough votes to win. There could be a recount, but I’m not hearing about one. The experiences of 2017 show that in tight races, the winner picks up even ore votes on recount. Also, the prog would have to pay for it.
Even better: the turnout for our side was high in the NE counties north of Milwaukee (our state’s nexus of fraud).
People are paying attention on our side. They are just quiet. And they have no champion at the State or National level outside of POTUS.
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