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Chuck Schumer Is Greatly Overestimating Trump’s Popularity
Slate ^ | November 28, 2018 | Jamelle Bouie

Posted on 11/29/2018 2:12:10 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

With most of the votes from the midterm election tallied, we now have a better sense of the scale of the Democratic victory. It is historic. Thus far, Democrats have earned more than 8.8 million more votes than Republicans, flipped 39 seats, and are poised to win a 40th as election officials continue counting ballots in California. In terms of their House margin, this makes 2018 the Democratic Party’s strongest midterm performance since Watergate. The popular vote margin is also a record high for Democrats, representing a decisive repudiation of the president and his party.

This should make concrete a still underappreciated fact of the political landscape. Despite endless profiles and analysis of his most outspoken backers, Donald Trump is deeply unpopular.

I’ve made this point before, contrasting his approval with that of past presidents operating under similar conditions. Historically, low unemployment, modest growth, and the lack of a major, highly visible foreign entanglement has been a recipe for high presidential approval ratings. Even in an age of high partisanship and polarization—where partisan identities drive assessment of objective economic conditions—you would expect the president to benefit from our growing economy...

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; State and Local; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: trump
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Or a guy on a birth certificate (cough)


21 posted on 11/29/2018 2:33:25 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: WVNan

The rallies scare them. Full of good Christians and people who love America. Not Communist Satanist racists like Janelle Booey who hate America and hate Trump supporters (check out his quotes on his linked bio above).


22 posted on 11/29/2018 2:38:05 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj ("It's Slappin' Time !")
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To: fieldmarshaldj

“Democrats have earned more than 8.8 million more votes than Republicans, flipped 39 seats”

They misspelled “stole.” In fact, I’d say almost every one of those races were won by fraud. In fact, every Demonrat-run state where a Republican “lost” was almost entirely due to fraud. Every race in California, Illinois and New Jersey alone is suspect. The races in Pennsylvania were also run under ILLEGALLY-DRAWN lines foisted by the Demonrat State Supreme Court to gerrymander a Demonrat majority from the legally drawn Republican majority.

Totally agree but “proving” it at this point is a hill too steep to climb. The key to stopping this lawlessness is the Census question on citizenship and whatever E Os Trump can write controlling federal elections.”

Mississippi just showed us how it is done: NO early voting NO election day registration, photo ID voting only and finally make absentee voting automatically available only for those over 65 a or with a very good reason.

Mississippi must be doing absentee ballots right because the ACLU was whining about the process.


23 posted on 11/29/2018 2:38:55 PM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s the Democrats best performance since Watergate, but doesn’t come close the the Republican performances.

+63 in 2010
+54 in 1994


24 posted on 11/29/2018 2:39:19 PM PST by weston (As far as I'm concerned, it's Christ or nothing)
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To: weston

They also miss the fact that many people don’t just like him but love him and Melania.


25 posted on 11/29/2018 2:47:09 PM PST by Cowgirl
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“flipped 39 seats, and are poised to win a 40th as election officials CONTINUE COUNTING ballots in California.”

23 Days after ELECTION DAY and still counting!

WHAT is TRUMP doing about this?

This must end.


26 posted on 11/29/2018 2:53:45 PM PST by LeonardFMason (426)
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Comment #27 Removed by Moderator

To: 2ndDivisionVet

The number of GOP House members who resigned since the 2016 election, minus the number of Democrat House member resignations, accounts for more than half of the net Democrat pickup: https://www.cnn.com/2017/11/10/politics/house-retirement-tracker/index.html


28 posted on 11/29/2018 3:02:41 PM PST by sourcery (Non Aquiesco: "I do not consent" (Latin))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The popular vote margin is also a record high for Democrats, representing a decisive repudiation of the president and his party.

Err... Obama's first midterm in 2010 was way worse the Democratic Party than this year's midterm for the GOP.

Of course, the writer knows that, hence the irrelevant popular vote spin. One would think they'd have learned in 2016 that the national popular vote and a few dollars will get you a cup of coffee.

29 posted on 11/29/2018 3:07:27 PM PST by Trump20162020
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“and are poised to win a 40th as election officials continue counting ballots in California. “

That right there is the problem. Just like Broward and Palm Beach.

We are not far away from a catastrophe.

5.56mm


30 posted on 11/29/2018 3:08:54 PM PST by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...and are poised to win a 40th as election officials continue counting ballots in California.

They're still counting in California? After over three weeks.

31 posted on 11/29/2018 3:09:24 PM PST by Rummyfan (In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Support Israel.)
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To: Snickering Hound

I thought Jamelle was a woman!


32 posted on 11/29/2018 3:10:10 PM PST by Rummyfan (In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Support Israel.)
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To: a fool in paradise
Re: “20+ million illegal immigrants”

The news is much worse than that...

20+ million completely LEGAL, foreign born, naturalized citizens.

20+ million completely LEGAL, USA-born, first generation or Anchor Baby citizens.

When those folks go to the polls and LEGALLY vote, the game is over for Conservatives.

33 posted on 11/29/2018 3:11:30 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: Uncle Lonny

Trump alienated millions of voters with his jerk personality, constantly hurling insults against his political opponents.

***

Riiiiiight, like Jeb! would have done better.

If it weren’t for Trump, you’d be looking at President Hillary now.

And all your whining three years after the primaries won’t change that.


34 posted on 11/29/2018 3:12:56 PM PST by Luircin
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To: Luircin

Trump ran against Hillary in 2016. Many people were motivated to vote against Hillary rather than for Trump.

He ran against himself in the two years since then. So Trump’s personality was the issue in 2018 and it hurt the Republicans badly at the polls.

BTW Ann Coulter doesn’t mince words in her latest column.

http://www.anncoulter.com/columns/2018-11-28.html


35 posted on 11/29/2018 3:23:02 PM PST by Uncle Lonny
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To: Uncle Lonny

Trying to cite an opinion column that doesn’t even address the same points is pretty pathetic.

So is trying to change the subject.

Stop being such an NPC.


36 posted on 11/29/2018 3:29:01 PM PST by Luircin
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To: SMGFan

Re: “Flawed candidates and campaigns”

I disagree.

The Democrats have just as many flawed candidates and campaigns as we do.

The difference? The GOP and Conservatives do not have the political will, or the political passion, or the philosophical self-confidence to fight back.

Example - Minnesota just elected a state Attorney General who is a Black Muslim Democrat, who was accused of beating up his girlfriend, and who was photographed with Louis Farrakhan.


37 posted on 11/29/2018 3:30:11 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: Uncle Lonny

*Looks at how President Trump is still PACKING arenas.*

*Looks at your claims that he’s not popular.*

*Snorts derisively.*


38 posted on 11/29/2018 3:31:23 PM PST by Luircin
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To: Snickering Hound

“Despite endless profiles and analysis of his most outspoken backers,...”

His title is Writing Fellow, and doesn’t know the plural of “analysis” is “analyses”? I’d read on in his little story, but I have a low gag reflex.


39 posted on 11/29/2018 3:33:00 PM PST by MayflowerMadam (Great things never come from comfort zones.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It's also worth noting that there were twenty-five blue state Senate races this year, and only eight red state ones, meaning blue states had a lot more chances to rack up votes.

Also, California only had Democrats on their Senate ballot. John Cox received 40% of the vote in the gubernatorial race, we're talking a pretty big swing in this one state alone if you subtract a couple of million votes from the Democrats (Kevin de León) and give them to a token GOP candidate running against Feinstein.

I'm starting to see why the author only talks about the national popular vote, and not the raw number of seats in the House and Senate lost by the GOP in 2018 vs. Obama's blunder in 2010.

40 posted on 11/29/2018 3:33:42 PM PST by Trump20162020
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