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Hillary Clinton almost ran for president on a universal basic income
Vox ^ | September 12, 2017 | Dylan Matthews

Posted on 09/12/2017 4:45:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

In perhaps the single most astounding passage of her campaign memoir What Happened, Hillary Clinton reveals a campaign proposal she formulated with staffers but never actually released: a universal basic income for Americans, funded by carbon and financial transaction taxes.

"I wanted very much to convey a commitment to trying to figure ways to raise incomes," she said in an interview with Vox's Ezra Klein. "The Alaska model where they write a check to every single Alaskan every year based on a formula about the oil and gas revenues was really intriguing to me.”

Here’s the relevant passage of the book, on page 239:

Before I ran for President, I read a book called With Liberty and Dividends for All: How to Save Our Middle Class When Jobs Don’t Pay Enough, by Peter Barnes, which explored the idea of creating a new fund that would use revenue from shared national resources to pay a dividend to every citizen, much like how the Alaska Permanent Fund distributes the state’s oil royalties every year. Shared national resources include oil and gas extracted from public lands and the public airwaves used by broadcasters and mobile phone companies, but that gets you only so far. If you view the nation’s financial system as a shared resource, then you can start raising real money from things like a financial transactions tax. Same with the air we breathe and carbon pricing.

Once you capitalize the fund, you can provide every American with a modest basic income every year [emphasis Vox’s]. Besides cash in people’s pockets, it would also be a way of making every American feel more connected to our country and to one another—part of something bigger than ourselves. I was fascinated by this idea, as was my husband, and we spent weeks working with our policy team to see if it could be viable enough to include in my campaign. We would call it “Alaska for America.” Unfortunately, we couldn’t make the numbers work. To provide a meaningful dividend each year to every citizen, you’d have to raise enormous sums of money, and that would either mean a lot of new taxes or cannibalizing other important programs. We decided it was exciting but not realistic, and left it on the shelf. That was the responsible decision. I wonder now whether we should have thrown caution to the wind and embraced “Alaska for America” as a long-term goal and figured out the details later.

Let’s be clear: “Alaska for America” would mean, just like the actual Alaska Permanent Fund, establishing a universal basic income. And Clinton understands this, even calling the benefit a “basic income.”

The Alaska Permanent Fund is a state-owned investment fund established using oil revenues. It has, since 1982, paid out an annual dividend to every man, woman, and child living in Alaska. In 2015, with oil prices high, the dividend totaled $2,072 per person, or $8,288 for a family of four. In 2016 it was cut down to $1,022 due to money being diverted to other purposes, and in cheaper gas years it can dip into the $800 to $900 range. But regardless, it is the only program in the US — and one of the few in the developed world — offering cash to every citizen, no strings attached.

And it works. It’s tremendously popular, supported by Republican and Democratic governors alike (Sarah Palin was a big fan during her time in office), and research by University of Chicago economist Damon Jones and University of Pennsylvania economist Ioana Marinescu has found that the dividend doesn't discourage work. It appears to cause a small increase in the share of people working part time, but Jones and Marinescu conclude it has no overall effect on the share of the population working. Indeed, the part-time work boost could come from people entering the workforce anew.

This is a less politically appealing comparison than Alaska, but Iran has a similar program. While winding down the country’s extensive oil subsidies for citizens, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad implemented a flat cash dividend, paid out to every man, woman, and child in the country. It's been dialed back a bit since, but it also has shown few negative effects. A study examining the Iranian basic income’s effect on work concluded that “the program did not affect labor supply in any appreciable way.” That’s especially astounding given the size of the benefit: In 2011, when it was introduced, it provided about 29 percent of the median household income on average. In the US, that would mean paying out $16,390 to the average family.

And in both the Alaskan and Iranian cases, the benefits are provided with no increase in household taxes, making the program particularly attractive. Taxing energy is a pretty efficient source of funds.

Peter Barnes, the entrepreneur and environmentalist from whom Clinton borrowed the idea, has actively pushed for a similar model of funding basic income in the US as a whole (he prefers the term “base income,” to reflect that the amount of money being transferred wouldn’t be enough for someone to live on). In his variation, instead of using oil revenues, you’d tax pollution and financial speculation, which he argues is similarly efficient and also reflects a sense that the climate and the financial system are shared resources.

“It is an answer — perhaps the answer — to long-term economic stagnation, a trickle-up form of Keynesianism that would stimulate our economy through increased household spending,” Barnes writes in the Boston Review. “Moreover, if funded by fees on unproductive activities such as pollution and speculation, it would help solve two other deep problems of twenty-first-century capitalism: climate change and financial instability.”

So why didn’t it happen? From Clinton's telling, the proposal was abandoned due to one of the recurring sticking points with basic income plans: They cost a lot of money. Clinton wanted to provide a "meaningful" dividend, and didn't think she could do it with a realistic set of new taxes.

"We dug deep, tried to explain it to some people, and it just was hard for people to grasp what we were talking about because most Americans in the Lower 48 didn’t have any idea about what was going on in Alaska," she elaborated to Vox’s Ezra Klein.

This is an understandable conclusion. A basic, or even just “base,” income was too far out there for Bernie Sanders to endorse during the 2016 primary; even the leftmost candidate in the race thought it was either undesirable or too hard to explain and pitch to Americans.

But the fact that a major-party presidential nominee seriously considered basic income as a proposal is nonetheless a huge sign of the idea’s progress and increasing influence.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues
KEYWORDS: basicincome; guaranteedincome; hillary; welfare
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To: The_Media_never_lie

Yes, she might have won but she certainly does not have the ability to have dealt with the aftermath.

>><<

In one area she would be very able: If she had won, right now she would be well on her way to becoming the wealthiest woman on earth.


21 posted on 09/12/2017 5:58:38 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...financial transaction taxes...

"I see you have some money there. Give it to me."

22 posted on 09/12/2017 5:59:47 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ( "If fascism ever comes to America, it will be called liberalism." --Ronald Reagan)
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To: OttawaFreeper

they tried but the Russians refused. . . lol


23 posted on 09/12/2017 6:01:25 PM PDT by txnativegop (Socialism -- an evil created by ignorant a-holes!)
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To: shanover

excellent observation!


24 posted on 09/12/2017 6:02:39 PM PDT by txnativegop (Socialism -- an evil created by ignorant a-holes!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So she decided to run as a High Priestess of the Church of the SubGenius, promising everyone Slack!


25 posted on 09/12/2017 6:11:09 PM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: JennysCool

Hey.. How goes it!?
Yep.. The Middle Class would be doing just fine if not for Leftist policies. We don’t want other people ‘s money.. We want the Freedom to make our own.. And not have it stolen from us.


26 posted on 09/12/2017 7:08:34 PM PDT by DivineMomentsOfTruth ("Liberals see what they believe.. Conservatives believe what they see.")
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To: All

she really thinks people don’t want to work


27 posted on 09/12/2017 7:23:32 PM PDT by Karoo
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Every financial transaction tax proposal I've seen falls apart under dynamic analysis. If you have billions of transactions being run by computers to take advantage of price differences of a fraction of a cent they will be eliminated or moved to off shore computers by a one cent transaction tax. So if, as usual, the government budgets and spends based on static analysis they will have to quickly raise the tax to painful levels on transactions that can't be moved like paychecks.
28 posted on 09/12/2017 7:58:17 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (The Whig Party died when it fled the great fight of its century. Ditto for the Republicans now.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If Hillary would have won I would have quit both of my jobs and worked under the table.


29 posted on 09/12/2017 8:32:43 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist (We're right, you're wrong - that's the end of the argument.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Hillary Clinton almost ran for president on a universal basic income

Of all the dingbat ideas the "world's smartest woman" came up with in her otherwise useless life, this is the perhaps the dumbest.

I don't have time tonight to explain why tonight, but I plan to do so tomorrow morning.

30 posted on 09/12/2017 11:06:04 PM PDT by publius911 (Seriously??)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
With all the leeches in this country, she might have won with this.

Probably a number on FR that would have voted for that....

31 posted on 09/13/2017 3:19:50 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: KarlInOhio

This is why they want to get rid of cash. They want to be able to nick you every time you spend a penny. They can’t do that with cash.


32 posted on 09/13/2017 4:59:54 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ( "If fascism ever comes to America, it will be called liberalism." --Ronald Reagan)
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