Posted on 11/04/2016 2:57:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Renowned statistician Nate Silver warned Friday that new polling could indicate trouble for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 race for the White House enters its final days.
“There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall,” Silver wrote on his data-journalism publication, FiveThirtyEight.
Silver was referring to the so-called blue wall — states that have reliably voted for Democrats in the past several election cycles — and other states which have solidly been in Clinton’s court throughout the cycle.
Specifically, Silver pointed to New Hampshire where polls have increasingly narrowed. Three polls released on Thursday showed Donald Trump at least tied with Clinton in the Granite State.
“If Clinton lost New Hampshire but won her other firewall states, each candidate would finish with 269 electoral votes, taking the election to the House of Representatives,” he noted.
Silver added that if Trump managed to win the 2nd Congressional District in Maine, the Republican presidential nominee would emerge as the winner of the Electoral College, 270-268....
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Election night might be over barely before it begins. New Hampshire usually reports quickly and a Trump win there will be a bellwether for the rest of the battleground states.
Aka The Bitch Is going down. ... HARD!!!
Trump has Maine’s 2nd CD. That’s been the case “forever.”
Silver puts crap polls in to his model and then applies crap adjustments to them. End result: crap.
If Trump loses, the war is over, and we lost.
I live amongst them too, and might have flipped one or two. If we all do that, it’s in the bag!
In his own mind he tries to be consistent in his analysis and his web page has quick updates based on new input.
Not found of Silver, but the math teacher in me appreciates how he’s crunching the numbers. The problem is the numbers he’s getting, so it’s all GIGO: Garbage In Garbage Out.
I believe Trump has been ahead along. This is so the media won’t look bad when Trump wins!
Do not trust the government establishment. They are evil. If anything happens to Trump we should drain the entire swamp ourselves!
Take the Real Clear Politics “No Tossup Map”.
Change Florida from Clinton to Trump.
Trump 270
Clinton 268
“Oh woe is me, all is lost, we must surrender and jump off a cliff!”
Buck up pal, don’t be such a wuss. Good defeats evil in the end, and the Clintons, even if they should happen to be elected, will eventually be defeated.
“Trump has grabbed Hillary’s Virginia.”
You have a very disgusting way of speaking, obviously intended to make one think of something else, which is enough to make me puke.
According to silver nv fl and nc are still dicey. I expect that they will firm up I 538 over the next few days. And with that odds should go up.
According to silver nv fl and nc are still dicey. I expect that they will firm up I 538 over the next few days. And with that odds should go up.
I just noticed on RCP, New Mexico is now “toss up” along with Colorado, Michigan, and Maine. Wow, one Trump rally and New Mexico is now a toss up
You've got the nicest North America, this sailor ever saw.........
But your Tierra del Fuegos are nearly always froze...
The Rat Hack is on the Back Track.
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