Posted on 11/04/2016 2:57:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Renowned statistician Nate Silver warned Friday that new polling could indicate trouble for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 race for the White House enters its final days.
“There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall,” Silver wrote on his data-journalism publication, FiveThirtyEight.
Silver was referring to the so-called blue wall — states that have reliably voted for Democrats in the past several election cycles — and other states which have solidly been in Clinton’s court throughout the cycle.
Specifically, Silver pointed to New Hampshire where polls have increasingly narrowed. Three polls released on Thursday showed Donald Trump at least tied with Clinton in the Granite State.
“If Clinton lost New Hampshire but won her other firewall states, each candidate would finish with 269 electoral votes, taking the election to the House of Representatives,” he noted.
Silver added that if Trump managed to win the 2nd Congressional District in Maine, the Republican presidential nominee would emerge as the winner of the Electoral College, 270-268....
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
High ho (as in ‘whore’) silver
I’d like to feel your warm Brazile and touch your...Panama.
No the Rubicon
If Trump wins New Hampshire, he’s going to win Maine’s 2nd District. That’s 270 without any of the other Democratic leaning swing states.
Polls are getting real now
Crossed the Rhine indeed! I look forward to the bunker scene. I hope they have the cyanide and gasoline ready.
Well i’m not ramming the wall and getting boiling oil poured on me!!
I’ll be the manager :)
That is just so . . . ewwwww.
Nate would make a great weatherman (lower case ‘W’). He could revise his forecast every hour so at the end of the day he could say, “See, I got it right again!”
There is no “firewall”, it was simply a piece of rhetorical shorthand. If Trump wins the states, he wins the states just as he does anywhere else in the country. People who ought to know better have been treating this abstraction as if it were a real thing.
Which of the 5000 predictions that poll troll Nate has made during this campaign will he declare to be spot on when its over?
“Potential breach” says Nate.
That’s funny. Panic has set in.
"Live Free Or Die!"
Nate is a deeply lagging indicator...
I’m triggered by that word play. It invaded my safe space. I demand that you direct me to the nearest counseling office.
That'd look great Photoshopped onto an old Newsreel headline.
That’s not a breach, it’s exploitation and pursuit. Trump is roaming freely and taking key terrain at will.
Trump has crossed the Rubicon....
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