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Bill Still has been a steady voice for objective reporting, and even with caveats this informal comment from a Las Vegas oddsmaker is worth a listen.
1 posted on 10/22/2016 8:33:26 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: bigbob

Can you bet on elections in Vegas? I didn’t think they laid odds for elections there.


2 posted on 10/22/2016 8:35:50 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: bigbob

Is betting on elections legal in Vegas like sports betting is?


3 posted on 10/22/2016 8:36:52 AM PDT by Gideon7
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To: bigbob

OddsChecker, from last week, had Trump down 1/7 underdog. Now, he is only 1/4 underdog and climbing.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner


4 posted on 10/22/2016 8:38:31 AM PDT by sagar
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To: bigbob

Well, he better listen to Larry Sabato who says that Hillary is positioned for a blowout. God, how i want to see these pollsters and talking heads explode.


5 posted on 10/22/2016 8:39:32 AM PDT by surrey
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To: bigbob

If they’re rigging the polls to affect turn out, it shows that our votes actually count.

On the other hand, it could be that they’re making the polls to be exactly as their phony vote tally will be. That means our votes don’t count. Which means a completely rigged election for God knows how long.


6 posted on 10/22/2016 8:40:57 AM PDT by Terry Mross (This country will fail to exist in my lifetime. And I'm gettin' up there in age.)
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To: bigbob

I took a look at some British betting sites. They all have Hillary as the overwhelming favorite. Paddypower’s odds:

Hillary: 2/11
Trump: 9/2

But most of these sites also pointed to a Brexit fail, so they are far from being perfect.


7 posted on 10/22/2016 8:41:44 AM PDT by Leaning Right (Why am I holding this lantern? I am looking for the next Reagan.)
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To: bigbob

Interesting. Odds makers have no dog in the hunt

When folks actually have to cast a ballot the image of Hillary as POTUS will scare many of them


10 posted on 10/22/2016 8:49:08 AM PDT by Nifster (Ignore all polls. Get Out The Vote)
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To: bigbob

Numbers guys do not use “trust me I’m an expert” to support their arguments, they use numbers. I question this source.


11 posted on 10/22/2016 8:50:28 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: bigbob

I think this is legit. It’s not that difficult to see how the polls are being manipulated. Democrats are being massively oversampled, obviously to put Hillary ahead. What’s interesting is that even with the oversampling she’s still just barely coming out on top or is slightly behind.

I do believe we are seeing a conspiracy to suppress Trump voters and to make voter fraud in key battleground states seem plausible in retrospect.

Does that make me a conspiracy nut? No - believing that the Russians are responsible for all the Wikileaks dumps and are planning to “fake” voter fraud reports would make me a conspiracy nut.


13 posted on 10/22/2016 9:00:32 AM PDT by Junk Silver
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To: bigbob

Well bookmakers just adjust the odds to keep the bets balanced... in effect the bookmaket is selling two items... and is adjusting the price of the two items so that they sell equally... bookmakers want to keep their risk equal depending on which ever way they paid out


15 posted on 10/22/2016 9:11:32 AM PDT by tophat9000 (King G(OP)eorge III has no idea why the Americans are in rebellion... teach him why)
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To: bigbob
Just to make it a bit easier to read:

Good morning, I’m still reporting on Las Vegas Oddsmaker Says Donald Trump Will Win A lot of you have asked why I’ve not covered the polls for several days.

Well, the MSM polls have all fallen into line. Even the UPI State Poll is either right and Clinton is the sure victor, or they too have fallen in the grip of the Clintonistas. I’ll try to do a poll report very early tomorrow morning. But if it’s not up 7 am Pacific, then it won’t come out until noon PST.

However, a California reporter friend of mine just sent me this. It’s anonymous and unverifiable - and perhaps it’s just wishful thinking, but my sense is this may be true. It is written very poorly – without the usual scientific detail that all my polling reports usually contain. Is this an obvious flaw, warning us to dismiss it out of hand, or an overtaxed person dashing off a note to a friend – who then asks for a few more details so he or she can put it out for public consumption? I don’t know.

So, just throw this in your hopper for consideration. Just weigh it properly. This broke 2 hours ago. From a Vegas Oddsmaker: “I am a non partisan actuarial mathematic and scientifically based odds maker, for large Vegas casinos. I am paid to be correct, and if I am wrong, I do not get paid, or will be fired, or worse, seriously. “Following the third debate, I have Trump up over Clinton 12 To 14 points, except in Massachusetts, and California, where Clinton has an 8 point lead. “The latest narrative from the media is that Hillary has an insurmountable lead in New York. Thus is also lie. “The narrative of media hype of somewhere between a landslide and a narrow win for Clinton, in fraud polling - please quote me - is a BIG LIE. “Trump will be the next President of the United States. “I have not been wrong in picking the winner of all US Presidential races since 1964, and I will not be wrong now.

By the way, it really helps us if you be sure to like, comment and forward this video to friends. I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.

16 posted on 10/22/2016 9:16:53 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Don't question faith. Don't answer lies.)
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To: bigbob

This works for me. :)

Besides, if Hitler Clinton is elected after all the info about her lying, stealing, cheating, letting our people die when they called for help, the fight starting at Trump rallies, the voter fraud from her camp, the endless negative info from Wikileads about her and her aides and what they think of Americans and even their donors, the complete corruption inside the DNC, then the country is lost even before the election happens.

All we can do then is prepare for the next phase of whatever America becomes. Chances are it will get really bloody in certain places at certain times. Be prepared and stay aware of your surrounding at all times; especially post election day. Carry whatever you can legally to protect yourself unless things get so bad that you don’t need to care about legalities. Pray we come out the other side a winner and figure out what to do with all the corrupt people who voted for clinton. Mexico has been sending us their losers forever; maybe it’s time to return the favor and send them ours; all 100 million of them.


18 posted on 10/22/2016 9:17:36 AM PDT by Boomer (Is it time for a new "Freedom Party" to emerge to replace the GOPe and the radical dems?)
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To: bigbob

Has Dick Morris said anything yet?


20 posted on 10/22/2016 9:37:44 AM PDT by Mark17 (Calvary's love has never faltered. All it's wonder still remains. Souls still take eternal passage.)
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To: bigbob

A very long time ago, I talked to a young woman about marriage. But the thought of her walking toward me in a wedding dress gave me chills and nausea. We broke up.

I wonder how many voters will have the same thoughts of Hillary on Nov. 8.


21 posted on 10/22/2016 9:38:11 AM PDT by lurk (TEat)
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To: bigbob

And how do they measure fraud? Or hangups? It is all lies.


22 posted on 10/22/2016 9:39:35 AM PDT by TheNext (Hillary Hurts Children & Women)
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To: bigbob

This is very anecdotal but here goes. Wife and I took a road trip through Oregon yesterday, all west of the Cascades, from the foothills to and up the coast. When we started the trip we decided to do a Presidential sign count for fun. At the end of the day the final count was Trump 12, Johnson 2, Sanders 1 and Hillary a big fat ZERO.


25 posted on 10/22/2016 10:09:46 AM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: bigbob

Yes. He will. Bigly.


26 posted on 10/22/2016 10:23:59 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: bigbob
I was door knocking for Trump this morning and 3 registered demonRATs on my list are voting Trump {Western PA}. All three are white, working men but their wives are also with them so that is 6 voters that voted for obummer that we get.

One registered pubbie, white woman in her 80s, very nice, said she is not voting at all because she hates hildabutchbitch but Trump's mouth and escapades {real and imagined} have turned her off.

I usually spend 2-3 minutes, MAX, with any one but I invested 20 minutes with her and she finally agreed to pray for wisdom and spiritual help this Sunday at Mass {I believe she will vote for Trump, because with Jesus, all is possible} but she will not vote for the devil.

I am confident that in Western PA, the Trump voter turn out will be through the roof, and hopefully we can overcome the Philly, Pburgh voter fraud.

27 posted on 10/22/2016 10:58:03 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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