A majority of those polls on the RCP average are what I call psychological warfare polls. They are purely propaganda to deflate Trump supporters.
Most polls are rigged and whores for who pays them. They will soon narrow to save their business. They are mostly rigged to suppress enthusiasm for the greatest American since George Washington.
All of them are done by Dems,
All. Even the fox are done by DEM
But the polls were right in 2008 and 2012.
I just heard Nigel Farage say that the DAY of the Brexit vote, the polls came out and said ‘Remain” was 10 points ahead. They just try to discourage voters from coming out.
No pollster even knows how to poll this cycle because they don’t know who is going to vote. I am thinking the monster vote hypothesis and the Bradley effect will be in play to help Trump. Of course many of the dead will be out supporting hillary.
Monmouth is one of the worst, their poll guybwas so dumb he even got caught red-handed manipulating the date in Hillary’s favor:
He cheats, then lies about it, then appears on O’Reilly to pitch his crap data, then it gets repeated across Fox as gospel.
The want you to despair...to give up, not even bother voting because its a lost cause. Because liars like Monmouth say so.
The RCP average is useless this cycle. There are polls out there with just about every result. Averaging all that crap won’t do you any good.
The polls with the best track record have Trump ahead (IBD, Daybreak).
Polls that had a terrible track record in the primaries have Hillary ahead (NBC, FOX).
Bottom line is, nobody knows for sure who is ahead. People choose to believe different polls as a leap of faith. They will either be right or wrong. Better not to worry too much about it.
Is it true that the pollsters are basing the polls on 2012 turnout?
So the media is thoroughly dishonest and corrupt, but we’re supposed to believe the pollsters are honest. I don’t think so.
No one goes into polling because they love working with polls, the way someone becomes a carpenter because they love working with wood. People go into polling because they are political activists with agendas.
The polls will magically “tighten” at the end, because they don’t want Dem voters to think it is in the bag and stay home.
I’ll give you an example:
On realclearpolitics for Florida, the most recent poll shows Killary ahead by a handful of points.
When you’re lucky, the polls will release their methodology and distribution of voters that they recorded.
In the most recent, 80% of the respondents resided along the I-4 Line through Florida (Highway) Which has a HUUUUGGGEEEE Latino population.
Why would one do this? I’ll leave you to find the answer.
RCP has been a willing enabler. I don’t go there anymore but if they use polls from NBC CBS Reuters Monmouth or CNN just stop reading because all have been exposed by wikileaks as collaborators will to fix poll results. The same goes for Natie Silver at 538. He knowing uses these polls to do his job as a Democrat operative. So don’t pay attention to the polls NOT because we don’t like the results but because we KNOW they are rigged.