Posted on 10/11/2016 1:20:37 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Team Trump tells me this is close—but it’s tighter.
Oh hell no. There is no way that Toomey is winning and Trump is losing. Toomey is awful. If anything I could see Trump winning and Toomey losing.
no Elvis country in PA..
Keystoners must truly believe that Mrs. Bill is after all honest and trustworthy.
A 3.5% MOE means 7% one way or another. He is well within the margin even if you believe its accuracy and now he has big MO.
Pray America wakes
The poll is bogus oversampled college & graduate educated voters by ~50%. That explains the excess Hillary group, since the only demographic she really owns is the graduate school educated and she is about 5-7 points up in college grad...all those liberal arts degrees...
I did research on % with degrees when my daughter got her Masters to put a note in the card as to highlight what she had accomplished
4 year - < 33%
Grad - < 12%
Nationwide
This explains why Trump is campaigning in PA. They think it’s within reach. He needs to carpet bomb the Philadelphia airwaves to suppress the Hillary vote in the Philly burbs. That area has been killing conservatives of late.
This is very good news. The enthusiasm draw to ANY race is Trump and certainly not any Republican so if Toomey is leading Trump is leading by more. Also we have to ask what turnout model they are using - if they think it will be the same as 2012 good luck with that. It will be a turnout where Whites move up to 74% at least and Blacks and Hispanics trade places. Blacks move back to pre-Obama 11% Hispanics up to 12%. Both moves favor Trump.
The percentages have been going up, Pennsylvania is ranked at 25th in the Nation and the most recent census shows PA’s rate at 26.4% graduated college, 10.2% graduate level degree. Congratulations to you & to your daughter.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_educational_attainment
He said last night he is going to the burbs of Philadelphia.
I haven’t been following Rooney race closely. I know the Dems certainly were giving the impression they thought it was close a month or so ago... But whether that was real or just food for the troops I don’t know
Way too many masters/doctorates - probably skewed toward Hillary.....
What’s the polling methodology?
The posted link http://www.politicspa.com/susquehanna-poll-clinton-44-trump-40-toomey-42-mcginty-38/79185/
The link in the first line of the referenced article https://mgtvwhtm.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/toplines-statewideabc27-oct16.pdf
This second link is to a pdf of the questions and the methodology.
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