Stats from RCP: Clinton Electoral 202 to 154/ no toss ups Electoral Clinton 322 to 216
Clinton battleground leading in VA/MI/OH/IO/WI/AZ - Trump only FL/GA these reasults keep jumping around but Trump not doing well in any case.
People fear change is all. Despite the hype for it. With change no one knows what will happen and so the evil Hill rises.
What state is IO?
Look I am as pessimistic as they come but I don’t think that battleground review is the correct picture. Basically all the OH polls have been tied in RCP so why give it to Hillary with no toss-ups? PA’s last two have been suspect. Suffolk’s methodology for Hillary’s was shocking as I found out on this site that the poll would ask for the youngest voter in the household. Trump led in the last poll in JUNE in AZ. Trump was down just 3 in MI before the RNC convention. Trump was up by 1 and before that 3 in IA again before the convention. All of these from the same RCP source.
Also add in Axiom Strategies’ Battleground County polls which Trump is strongly ahead in all but one county (again all of these before the RNC).
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/
So not sure why all those battlegrounds are put in the Hillary column in the no toss ups map.
Now don’t get me wrong we’ve since had the DNC convention and there are now over three months until the election and a lot can and probably will happen but just don’t understand why the assumption would be to put those (and other states) states so assuredly in Hillary’s column.
“Stats from RCP:”
I wouldn’t focus too much on RCP average; they go back too far on polls to make an average. They are also leaving out some very credible polling. New Hampshire is a great example...they simple left out the last poll (Solid state polling organization) that has Trump up by 9 points.
You’re just not getting a complete picture of the race.
The big issue is going to be VOTER FRAUD.
People have said the USA is not going in the right direction.