“Stats from RCP:”
I wouldn’t focus too much on RCP average; they go back too far on polls to make an average. They are also leaving out some very credible polling. New Hampshire is a great example...they simple left out the last poll (Solid state polling organization) that has Trump up by 9 points.
You’re just not getting a complete picture of the race.
Don’t bother with PIF, they is talking out his butt.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html