Posted on 01/29/2016 1:14:01 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Only a few days out from the Iowa Caucuses, we still don’t know what to expect. The polls look more like darts tossed by a drunk than a discernible pattern. Worse still, we don’t really even know what they are measuring.
There is one critical factor in a caucus system that makes it different from a primary. Unlike a primary that may have early voting and absentee voting and where the voters straggle in over the course of a 12-hour day, in a caucus you actually have to get your voters to a caucus site within a relatively small envelop of time. Historically, this has meant that a successful candidate had to have a strong ground game composed of door-to-door canvassers, phone banks, and local influencers who could get people out of their houses on a cold and perhaps snowy night in Iowa and get them to mingle with idiots people they hate barely know...
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
Praying for Cruz victory.
I think it’s Trump, Cruz, Rubio on Monday.
Trump wins by 4+
And then FOX declares Rubio the winner for a surprise 3rd place finish...lol
I wouldn’t mind if it was Cruz, Trump, Rubio.... Cruz is hanging everything on Iowa... if he wins it will at least give him a fun day before Trump sweeps everything else.
I like Cruz! he’s not perfect then but who is. Angels don’t run for political office... hard and conniving men are who politics mostly appeals to.
Iowa is meaningless no matter who wins it.
Tell that to Bush 43, Carter and Obama.
It has more meaning to the people who lose I think.
I think I still have no idea what the hell a caucus is.
If Trump doesn’t win Iowa, Iowa isn’t relevant.
Based upon the early news feeds the sharks smell Cruz blood.
My projection is Trump wins, obviously and ...yugely.
Rubio is now the pet show dog on a leash that they have cleaned up for Best of Show.
Cruz MUST win Iowa.
For Trump... it’d be nice.
Alternative headline:
The guy we have devoted our blog to pushing, is the guy we think will win.
You could say that about Conservative Treehouse even more so.
Thanks.
Anyone but Rubio or Bush.
It's like election day, except the polls are only open for the people who attend a meeting. Everybody who cares to shows up for the meeting, some speeches are given, then they all vote (pretty much "at the same time" in any given meeting) and go home.
With an election, each person shows up at the polling place sometime/anytime in the day, at the polling place, goes through the gauntlet at the door, votes, and then goes about their business.
Either there is a sleeping giant about to wake up [referring to Trump ground game in Iowa], or the press and pundit class have been overwhelmed by a cacophony and ignored the data. We've been so harried and harassed by eggs on Twitter we have lost the ability to think straight about what does and does not actually get voters to polls.
Thanks
Sounds complicated.
Why? Let me guess because he lost 65/16 to Trump on the Drudge poll? Or he brought in 3.4% of new voters to Trump’s 27% in Iowa are these the reasons “Formerly Surging Ted” will win on Monday?
Not really complicated, just a smaller time window, meeting has a scheduled time, be there or be square), and longer time commitment (you have to sit through the meeting). Otherwise it’s just like voting. Have you ever voted?
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