Posted on 01/23/2016 4:28:14 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
For both Democrats and Republicans, this year's presidential contest is another "Armageddon election," the outcome of which will decide critically important domestic and foreign policy concerns. Despite its significance, we are just days away from the "first in the nation" Iowa caucuses and the direction of this election is still very much "up in the air" and about as confusing as any in recent memory. Iowa, therefore, will be important.
On the Republican side, Donald Trump remains atop the field holding a commanding lead. The prospect of a Trump victory is panicking the party's leadership who don't trust his commitment to conservative principles and fear the damage he may do to the party's chances to win the White House and keep control of Congress.
The establishment's concerns are compounded by two key factors. They must be careful that in attacking Trump they don't alienate his supporters -- since Republicans will need them to win in November. And there is no logical establishment alternative to Trump. The contenders to that throne have all run rather lack-luster campaigns and have drawn considerable blood attacking each other. A recent poll demonstrates the GOP's problem. In that poll, 20 percent of Republican voters said they will not vote for any candidate in November other than Trump, with another 20 percent saying they will not vote for Trump if he is the party's nominee -- a conundrum, indeed....
(Excerpt) Read more at huffingtonpost.com ...
As if "party leaders" have any commitment to "conservative principles". They fear losing control of their money-making machine.
Is this the same Zogby that does the opinion polls and comments on TV? How do we trust him if he writes for HuffPost?
But not the be all end all as New Hampshire will be the first true test.
Iowa is only important because they are first.
They get their name repeated nightly by ever MSM there is.
For being first, they get to pay off big corn.
If not being first, no media would even buy gas in Iowa.
I guess the question is which ones are more likely to stick to their guns? The 20 percent who say they won’t vote for anyone but Trump or the 20 percent who say they’ll never vote for Trump if he’s the nominee.
The only way I see Iowa being important is if two things both happen
1. Trump loses
2. He reacts very badly, causing him to lose support and/or the rest of the voters to gravitate toward Cruz.
Both unlikely, but possible I guess
1. Romney lost Iowa in 2012
2. McCain lost Iowa in 2008
do you see a trend here?
Yes, if we expect history to repeat, then you’re right ... but then again, if history was repeating then someone like Jeb, Kasich or Christie would be the front runner right now.
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