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This Could All Be Over Very Fast
Ricochet ^ | December 20, 2015 | Peter Robinson

Posted on 12/28/2015 2:01:53 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: ripnbang

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html

Dec. 14-17, 2015
http://www.scribd.com/doc/293729658/CBS-News-December-2015-Battleground-Tracker-Iowa


41 posted on 12/28/2015 2:55:52 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Bryanw92

going way out on a limb here: after Iowa, it will be Trump and Cruz


42 posted on 12/28/2015 3:07:14 PM PST by absalom01 (You should do your duty in all things. You cannot do more, and you should never wish to do less.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Show me one other poll where Cruz is betting Trump and you might have a point.


43 posted on 12/28/2015 3:09:47 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: libh8er

Liberall ideological purity seems to get libs elected in both the Democratic and Republican parties with regulaity.


44 posted on 12/28/2015 3:11:55 PM PST by sarge83
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To: rfreedom4u

“But I find him to be too bombastic and a blowhard.”

Do you think you are going to change DC by being soft-spoken and coy?

“Now Cruz is my pick as he knows the Constitution and wants it to be the law of the land again.”

So? That’s it? At what point are Cruz people going to realize that this isnt a simple matter of a friendly nudge away from what Obama has done?

This needs to be jerked back HARD. We dont have years and years for Cruz to pretend like he’s James Madison and give a college course on the constitution. Either the next guy goes to war or they are wasting our time. And that means being really bombastic and a huge BLOWHARD.

That “quiet humility” crap conservatives keep slobbering over is not going to cut it.


45 posted on 12/28/2015 3:13:14 PM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Okay, I will say that it will be Trump or Cruz, or maybe Cruz or Trump. But I can say fairly safely it won’t be bush, christie, carson, paul, fiorina, rubio, huckabee or who is left?


46 posted on 12/28/2015 3:16:58 PM PST by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: absalom01

Cruz will win IA by double digits, more if other candidates drop out before then.

Trump will never cross 27%. On the ground reports currently see him struggling to get over 20%.

When that happens it will be interesting to see Trump’s speech and whether he goes off on IA calling the voters stupid in a moment that makes Dean’s “I have a Scream Speech” look chummy and good-natured, or he “fires” himself and ednorses Cruz. It’s 50/50 depending on what his mood is.


47 posted on 12/28/2015 3:18:12 PM PST by parksstp ("Truth is NOT Rhetoric" - Sen. Ted Cruz (The obvious conservative choice for POTUS))
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To: VanDeKoik; VinL; Isara; cripplecreek; CatherineofAragon; editor-surveyor

Another “Constitution is dead, we need a Dictator as leader” ping


48 posted on 12/28/2015 3:20:48 PM PST by parksstp ("Truth is NOT Rhetoric" - Sen. Ted Cruz (The obvious conservative choice for POTUS))
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To: parksstp

“Another “Constitution is dead, we need a Dictator as leader” ping”

Good grief, it’s like some of you cant even read!

No, genius, that is NOT what I said.


49 posted on 12/28/2015 3:25:03 PM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: Mr Rogers

“Trump strikes me as a loose cannon with a small conservative tendency. Cruz IS a conservative.”

I like Cruz a LOT, but don’t make him the hero of conservatism. He happily authored the bill to give fast track to Obola, all but guaranteeing that TPP cannot be stopped.
Cruz is the best, but even he has done things that make me think he bears very close watching and not unbridled trust.


50 posted on 12/28/2015 3:37:20 PM PST by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: Lurkinanloomin
"I question how deeply conservative SC really is."

SC is still conservative compared to New England and the Left Coast but it will be a purple state like North Carolina in about eight years. Changing demographics make for destiny.

51 posted on 12/28/2015 3:47:18 PM PST by buckalfa (I am feeling much better now.)
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To: reviled downesdad

Not everywhere, but potentially conservative enough for it to be a problem for him.

He thought that statewide they were conservative enough that he chose to run right, and it worked.


52 posted on 12/28/2015 3:49:34 PM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: Bryanw92
"So, any small sample polling is useless and large sample polling costs too much."

As Iowa is a caucus state, is out come more dependent on getting backers to the meeting rather than overall popularity (polls)?

53 posted on 12/28/2015 3:50:22 PM PST by buckalfa (I am feeling much better now.)
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To: mad_as_he$$

No recent Republican President has won the nomination without Iowa.

Reagan lost it in the primary, but won it soundly in the general.


54 posted on 12/28/2015 3:59:29 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: HotHunt

.
Trump was never really in the race. Iowa will prove that fact resoundingly.


55 posted on 12/28/2015 4:00:55 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think it’s significant that they don’t divulge who did the poll. Quinnypeeyack again?


56 posted on 12/28/2015 4:07:28 PM PST by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: Mollypitcher1

.
Trump will run and hide under the table after Iowa


57 posted on 12/28/2015 4:15:09 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m a little shocked at Freepers who are not just supporting Trump but actually attacking or insulting Ted Cruz.


58 posted on 12/28/2015 4:47:49 PM PST by Behind Liberal Lines (Obama loves America the way OJ loved Nicole's)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

59 posted on 12/28/2015 4:52:34 PM PST by FourPeas (Chocolate, sugar and lots of caffeine. Hard to beat that.)
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To: knarf
A sample of 1000 likely voters, if truly a random sample of likely voters, is a sufficient size to make inferences. The size of the underlying population is irrelevant.
60 posted on 12/28/2015 5:04:42 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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