Posted on 12/21/2015 8:33:14 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Politico noted on Sunday that Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas has solidified his lead in Iowa, according to a CBS Poll. He is favored by 40 percent of likely caucus-goers, with Donald Trump at 31 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Florida at 12 percent, Dr. Ben Carson at six percent, and everyone else polling at two percent or less. The numbers are part of the reason that conservative pundit and radio talk show host Erik Erickson had announced that Cruz is favored for the Republican nomination, despite the media dustup over whether and when the senator from Texas did or did not favor legalization of illegal aliens.
Donald Trump is still ahead in national polls. However, that lead is essentially meaningless because the primary campaign is a series of statewide contests, starting with Iowa and continuing with New Hampshire and South Carolina. The scenario goes something like this:
Cruz wins in Iowa, deflating Trump’s balloon considerably. Trump followers start to search for another candidate who still addresses their wrath against how both political parties are treating them. Someone else wins New Hampshire, either Rubio or New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who seems to be rising as of later. Trump’s collapse becomes precipitous, so Cruz wins South Carolina....
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
He's got a lot of hard money to keep the campaign alive, and his PACs don't see to have any trouble raising money for ads.
I think he'll be in the hunt through Texas.
But come March 15th, when all the states go to winner take all...a landslide will quickly emerge.
And I don't think that'll be Cruz.
“I would happily back Cruz if Trump falters. I want a winner, and right now that looks like Trump. My point is that I despise the Iowa caucuses, have general contempt for the state’s voters, and think it should be supplanted by more important states.”
+1
Nonsense...If Trump loses Iowa, his national poll numbers will go up...
Actually the March 1st SEC primaries are likely going to confuse matter even more.
All delegates before March 15th are awarded proportionately. Cruz will even be sharing delegates in Texas if he wins a majority or plurality.
The real show starts with the winner-take-all primaries on March 15th...FLA, OH, IL and NC.
There's a bunch of winner-take-all states after, NY, CA to name a couple.
The March 1st "Super Tuesday" is really designed to broadly disperse delegates, ensuring an outsider will not have run the table before he runs out of money.
Can he fly without an airplane, too?
Source?
Last I heard Trump was walking away with NV.
Yes, some tend to be smug about the fly over country.
I don't care to win at all if the candidate isn't Conservative. I am not into Pyrrhic victory.Real change will come only from the Conservatives, and if we are content to vote for RINOs and liberals, then we won't be getting anywhere - As the last two decades proclaim.
So I will remain focused upon Conservative principles and let the chips fall where they may. I will vote for Cruz, but if he is not the nom, then I will go find a third party candidate to support...
The last Nevada poll was mid October with Trump 38, Carson 22, and Cruz was at 4%. Somebody’s blowing smoke.
As Iawoo goes, so goes the nation!
Yeah, it seemed like it when I read it.
I don't believe the Western states will be kind to Cruz. The preference of evangelicals and social conservatives rarely fares well out here. The west is more (l)ibertarian than conservative.
Unfortunately, it is not at all clear that either Trump or Cruz or both together can expand the GOP's political base enough to win the Presidency. Yet a pairing of the two as the GOP ticket might win by relentlessly out-campaigning Hillary and the Democrats. Cruz and Trump are both excellent close in fighters unafraid of delivering solid hits against their opponents -- something that McCain and Romney proved incapable of.
I wish Cruz would be the nominee, but all signs point it’s going be Trump. The Trump will get whalloped by Hillary. I firmly believe Cruz is the only Conservative candidate in the race and us the only one who can sell Conservatism to those precious Independent voters.
On the other hand Trump is such an egomaniac, he will run 3rd party if Cruz beats him out.
Either way, get ready for more Socialist hell.
Interesting but i get the sense Cruz and Rubio really won’t care for one another (if thats not the case already)but the time this is wrapped up. I suspect either one of those 2 will pick Fiorina as VP offsetting some of the Hillary is a woman! vote. I have no idea who Trump would pick.
Same people who call Obama supporters out for drinking kool aid. The irony is thick in these people.
don’t confuse Trump supporters with facts.
We don't really know because we can't trust the media and those they call "experts." ... The only person that has what it takes to be a unifier and then do something with a more unified party and more unified nation is Trump. If it can be done at all, we are asking a lot of Trump as it is.
And you trust Trump because ... ?
Trump/Cruz, Cruz/Trump, WIN/WIN!
I can’t ever remember so
many sober, reasonable
FReepers expending so
much energy convincing
themselves number two is
a better position than number one.
You can bet that if Trump wins the nomination, the GOPe will not provide him with a penny.
The GOPe will either throw their support to Hitlery, or they will field a third-party candidate.
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