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Poll: Trump Surges Past Hillary, Biden, Sanders, and Gore — Here Are Some Reasons Why
The National Review's The Corner ^ | September 7, 2015 | David Frenxh

Posted on 09/08/2015 5:08:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Drudge is headlining this poll from SurveyUSA, not only showing Trump beating Hillary by five (45-40) but also beating Joe Biden (44-42), Bernie Sanders (44-40), and Al Gore (44-41) in potential head-to-head matchups — a remarkable turnaround from initial polling showing Hillary decisively beating Trump. As Drudge points out, perhaps the most surprising aspect of the poll is that Trump is polling at 25% of the black vote, a number Republicans haven’t seen for generations.

A few observations: First, Trump is demonstrating the awesome power of his decades-long turn in the American spotlight. His is no fifteen minutes of fame. Those who live and breathe politics often forget that they inhabit a world of sub-sub-sub-celebrity, with Twitter fights and blog wars conducted largely out of public view. The recent Meek Mill/Drake beef likely garnered more public attention than a decade of political gaffes and fights — unless those gaffes are artificially magnified by millions of dollars in paid ads. One of the reasons why candidates spend vast sums of money is to literally introduce themselves to the American public. The parties race to “define” relative nobodies in the public eye.

To take one example, back in 2006 Mitt Romney was the governor of Massachusetts, a multi-hundred-millionaire, and the former head of the Winter Olympics, yet his name recognition stood well below 5 percent nationally (it may have stood closer to 1 percent). Even by 2012 — after six years of off-and-on running for president, he was sufficiently mysterious to the American people that the Obama campaign could literally define him from scratch — as the opposite of the human being he actually is. Trump is immune from this kind of “defining” process. Any given news cycle or any given gaffe is a drop in the ocean of public information and experience with The Donald — especially when his public personae is built around an outsize, fearless personality.

Second, Trump’s reality TV experience is overwhelmingly beneficial. I’ve probably watched more “Apprentice” and “Celebrity Apprentice” than every other NR writer combined (We Frenches love our reality TV, and I even tried out for “Survivor” once — the producers were unimpressed), and Trump has spent years projecting an image of strength and business expertise to a cumulative audience easily in the hundreds of millions. On that show, he’s the adult in the room — the authority figure (“Mr. Trump”) who treats everyone — black and white, male and female — with the same toughness. People who scoff at reality TV as a genre should understand that it has the same variations in quality as scripted television, and “Apprentice” has been on the high end of reality TV for a very long time.

Third, Hillary is falling, and no one is really rising to take her place. Because the scandal involves work email — something most people understand — it’s is far easier to grasp than, say, cattle futures or law firm billing records, or land deals gone awry. Everyone understands that mixing work and personal email is deeply problematic — and doing so with national security information is doubly so. That’s not going to sway the partisans, of course, but we can see that it’s already swaying many, many others.

As the race progresses (and it’s still very early) there is a bit more support for the “realignment” theory of Trump’s rise. If a Republican could, in fact, gain 25 percent of the black vote, that would shake the Democratic party to its foundations.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: hillary; trump
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1 posted on 09/08/2015 5:08:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Algore? Is he still around?


2 posted on 09/08/2015 5:11:56 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Cecil the Lion says, Stop the Slaughter of the Baby Humans!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Limbuagh went over this today...I only heard about a minute of it. This is good.


3 posted on 09/08/2015 5:15:15 PM PDT by Reverend Saltine (Don't say, "the administration," or "the EPA"--say "OBAMA." Give him full credit)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Blacks LOVE Trump. To them, he’s the ultimate paid-in-full Bo$$ who has the swag and the cash, without trying to pander or “act black.” That success sells in the inner cities, which is why Trump is name-dropped on a lot of hip-hop rap singles. His success IS his success.


4 posted on 09/08/2015 5:18:34 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist (Bush [the 90s rock band] for POTUS 2016!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
FYI....Trump Badger is on top because Trump Badger knows what he wants and Trump Badger just don't give a sh!t what the elites say.

 photo trump badger.png

5 posted on 09/08/2015 5:18:53 PM PDT by digger48 (ars)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Al is getting a massage. He is ready for action.


6 posted on 09/08/2015 5:19:20 PM PDT by kabar
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To: Reverend Saltine

GOPe, Liberals, The MSM, and about 6 people on FR are apoplectic.


7 posted on 09/08/2015 5:21:10 PM PDT by Sasparilla (If you want peace, prepare for war.)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
"Trump is going to turn off the minorities with his nativist talk." -GOPe Consulting Cronies


8 posted on 09/08/2015 5:26:12 PM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Cruz 2016 - Blow Up The GOP)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hillary is going to be doing the pokey hokey in an orange jumpsuit by the time the general election rolls around.


9 posted on 09/08/2015 5:32:50 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Cecil the Lion says, Stop the Slaughter of the Baby Humans!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Jeb, Nick & the rest are gonna be berry upset to read this :)


10 posted on 09/08/2015 5:38:52 PM PDT by TheStickman
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To: nhwingut

A look at that chart has me asking, would CA voting for Trump in the general be a possibility? This would just be extra lube for the landslide that would be the political equivalent of Lutuya Bay.


11 posted on 09/08/2015 5:41:32 PM PDT by Fraxinus (My opinion, worth what you paid.)
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To: digger48

THIS was the National Review?!?!?!


12 posted on 09/08/2015 5:47:09 PM PDT by Demiurge2 (Define your terms!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Hillary is going to be doing the pokey hokey in an orange jumpsuit by the time the general election rolls around.

Forget about SHILLERY, The on the dems side it will be (drumroll) Biden and the squaw Elizabeth Warren. Remember you heard it first here. (well probably not, but it sounded good to me)


13 posted on 09/08/2015 6:00:24 PM PDT by g.orwell
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To: g.orwell
Run Joe, Run!
14 posted on 09/08/2015 6:06:14 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Cecil the Lion says, Stop the Slaughter of the Baby Humans!!!)
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To: g.orwell

“Forget about SHILLERY, The on the dems side it will be (drumroll) Biden and the squaw Elizabeth Warren. Remember you heard it first here. (well probably not, but it sounded good to me)”

Would Lieawathia let Biden feel her up?


15 posted on 09/08/2015 6:27:20 PM PDT by Fai Mao (Genius at Large)
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To: Fai Mao

Would Lieawathia let Biden feel her up?

lol, For VP, short answer - yes.


16 posted on 09/08/2015 6:39:01 PM PDT by g.orwell
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

he did not mention Trump’s national recognition. It is 94%.


17 posted on 09/09/2015 6:22:17 AM PDT by joshua c (Please dont feed the liberals)
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To: Sasparilla

I don’t think there is anything they can do-—hatred for them is like a raging forest fire. We all want them d____.

Trump is freaking Robin Hood, King Arthur, Julius Caesar, George Washington, Dwight Eisenhowever, and Douglas macArthur rolled into one. He is invulnerable. Like Godzilla, the more you try to nuke him the stronger he becomes.

Thank you ________ (fill in ).


18 posted on 09/10/2015 9:10:26 PM PDT by Reverend Saltine (Don't say, "the administration," or "the EPA"--say "OBAMA." Give him full credit)
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To: Reverend Saltine

Trump is freaking Robin Hood, King Arthur, Julius Caesar, George Washington, Dwight Eisenhowever, and Douglas macArthur rolled into one. He is invulnerable. Like Godzilla, the more you try to nuke him the stronger he becomes.


LOL!! Love it!

Here’s an interesting article that ties in to what you’ve posted...

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2015/09/10/cnn-releases-main-stage-debate-line-up-and-media-onslaught-against-trump-continues/


19 posted on 09/10/2015 9:12:56 PM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: Jane Long

thanks. i’m reblogging that article in my EL Blog


20 posted on 09/11/2015 5:43:37 AM PDT by Reverend Saltine (Don't say, "the administration," or "the EPA"--say "OBAMA." Give him full credit)
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