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Sarah Palin: Still Not the Front-Runner (Then why are they writing about her?)
The New York Times ^ | September 22, 2010 | Ross Douthat

Posted on 09/22/2010 1:31:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Here are two more data points from the weekend to back up my argument that the 2012 Republican nomination is not Sarah Palin’s to lose. First, the Values Voter Summit straw poll, a decent gauge of sentiment among the kind of activists Palin would presumably need to rally, in which the former Alaska governor racked up just 7 percent of the vote, trailing Mike Pence (who gave a barn-burner of a speech), Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. Second, a new 2012 poll from Public Policy Polling, showing Romney leading with 22 percent, followed by Huckabee at 21, Gingrich at 18, and Palin at 17 percent. And note this statistic:

As is the case every month Sarah Palin is the most personally popular of the Republicans, with 66 percent viewing her favorably. She is followed by Huckabee at 60 percent and Gingrich and Romney at 57 percent.

The problem for Palin is that a smaller percentage of the people who like her personally support her for President than any of the other Republicans. 37 percent of the voters who like Romney also say he’s their choice for the 2012 nomination and the same is true for 32 percent who like Gingrich and Huckabee. But just 24 percent who see Palin positively on a personal level translate that to intent to vote for her. [emphasis mine — R.D.]

About a month ago, I wrote a column arguing that the most interesting pre-primary contest in the G.O.P. was arguably the battle to see if somebody (a Mitch Daniels? a Jon Thune? a Haley Barbour? a Tim Pawlenty?) would manage to unseat Romney from his perch as the safe, competent-seeming, establishment-y candidate...

(Excerpt) Read more at douthat.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; douthat; douthat4romney; douthatromneybot; gop; huckabee; palin; polls; romney; romneyantipalin; romneyspet; sarahpalin; strawpolls
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To: ReneeLynn
I just find it interesting...very interesting. Liberals telling us who we should elect again.

What ... you want them to mention Palin in every headline or something? Sheesh.

The media didn't choose the first-place finisher, Republicans did. The reporters just reported the results.

41 posted on 09/22/2010 2:41:27 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: r9etb

Lol, right now Palin is positioned very well to take the Republican primary.

I don’t see that Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee or any one else is better positioned.


42 posted on 09/22/2010 2:41:46 PM PDT by ansel12 ([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Mittens Militia writes yet another Palin hit piece

If Sarah decides to run the election is hers to lose. She will trounce Mittens in the primary. Gingrich has NO chance. Pence? Well, maybe but if anything he will be Palin’s pick for. VP


43 posted on 09/22/2010 2:43:06 PM PDT by hattend (Like a termite to wood, Obama only wants to destroy - Mark Levin)
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To: r9etb

Darling, don’t you find it strange that they’d poll your average Republican or average Repub voter, and that the majority would say Pence? Honest to goodness? Pence? The man has nearly nil name recognition and yet...Pence.

I question WHO they questioned. Polls can be skewed to get the desired results of the pollster.


44 posted on 09/22/2010 2:47:02 PM PDT by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
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To: onyx

GOP: 84/9
DEM: 14/81
INDY: 59/27
Conservative: 80/12
Moderate: 28/61
Liberal: 14/85

Clearly, that polling proves the point that is terrifying both the Democrats and RINOs.

Independents are not moderates.

45 posted on 09/22/2010 2:54:11 PM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: ReneeLynn

You, too, are edging into unicorns and skittles territory.


46 posted on 09/22/2010 2:57:18 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: hattend
On Fox News' Red Eye last night, Ambassador John Bolton did not disavow a run for the White House, which, in my mind, puts him in the race for her VP pick.
47 posted on 09/22/2010 3:08:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (I don't need a newspaper to know the world's been shaved by a drunken barber.)
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To: meadsjn

Moderate: 28/61

Those people didn’t want to admit to being liberals...LOL.


48 posted on 09/22/2010 3:09:15 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
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To: r9etb

No dear. I’m not. What I said made sense. It’s just that you’re very anti-Palin. I know from many Palin threads. And when you can’t put up a decent argument for your point you anti-Palin people resort to talking about skittles and unicorns.


49 posted on 09/22/2010 3:16:47 PM PDT by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
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To: ReneeLynn
What I said made sense.

Nope. What these number say is that there's a difference between liking Sarah Palin, and wanting her to be president.

The difference between Sarah Palin and Mike Pence, for example, can be summed up by the fact that Pence can write and give a speech like this one. That's a damn-sight more presidential than a you-betcha-ing faux grizzly.


50 posted on 09/22/2010 5:42:23 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That would be awesome and fine with me


51 posted on 09/23/2010 8:45:23 AM PDT by hattend (Like a termite to wood, Obama only wants to destroy - Mark Levin)
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