It's a conspiracy by all the news/media outlets. Think about it, if they tell us its a tie, what do we do? We watch them hour after hour to see if something new comes out, so it's ALL ABOUT RATINGS!
The press is expecting the Dems to pull off enough fraud to uphold these polls. I look for them to conspire on Dem cheating.
'Anamoly' and yeah I agree, Bush will sweep.
I'm stuned by this anamole!
As you said, the 2000 election was a rarity in our history. Yet the pollsters are largely using it to predict this year's outcome. However, no two elections are ever exactly alike. I believe the outcome will be a clear margin of victory for one of the candidates (and hope the winner is GWB).
To explain the clear margin when most polls predicted another virtual tie, all pundits and pollsters will say the election "broke" late in that direction. They'll pick some event (probably the Osama tape) as the cause. The truth will be that the polls were flawed all along, throughout the entire election season, but there is no way to objectively demonstrate that fact.
A perfect example of this is what happened with Howard Dean. Around this time last year, the media and its pollsters annointed Dean the frontrunner. He raised tons of money, thanks primarily to his having frontrunner status. When real votes started coming in, Dean's candidacy collapsed like a cheap suit. But, of course, the media and its pollsters could not say their predictions were wrong. Instead, they found some external reason to pin the blame on (Dean's scream).
I think Cheney's prediction may hit it right about on the mark.
Your right as rain...the polls are all skewed. The rat liars are doing just that lying their asses off. Its not close a wee wee bit....the liars think if they ly enough it'll become truth...sorry charlie it just ain't goin' to happen. BUSH WILL WIN...will not even look like the 2000 election!!!
I was so interested in the voting trends in past years, I researched it!
It appears that heavy voter turn out HELPS Republicans. It's when republicans *don't* vote that turn out is low and the democrat candidate wins.
Since 1984, the democratic candidate has only gotten about 2-4 million more votes than received the previous election year. Even "wonderful" Clinton couldn't get more.
When people come out in droves and vote, they vote REPUBLICAN. Unfortunately in 1992 and '96, they voted for Perot.
Bush WILL WIN because our base is fired up and we LOVE BUSH and the democrats can't muster enough support or fraud to make it happen for Kerry.
Kerry loving polsters are scewing toward Kerry so he doesn't appear dead in the water, sinking acutally. I.E., there's hope.
Bush loving pollsters are scewing toward Kerry to motivate the Republican bas e to actually vote and not get lazy thinking it's a wrap.
The internals tend to support that view.
Why Bush would supporters scew toward Kerry for ahigh turnout?
Mandate. It's needed for when Bush appoints judges and generalsupport of the platform outlined at the convention. It's about disarming communist, I'm mean Democrat justification for filibustering.
MTC