[AuH2ORepublican]

Lousiana political columnist Jim Brown says that Chris John and David Vitter will likely be the only two candidates in the race to replace John Breaux in the Senate. That would help us, since a one-on-one race would allow Vitter to benefit from George W. Bush's coattails and win a majority in November (if no one gets 50%+1 in November, the top two finishers would go on to a Bushless December runoff).

Also of note is his mention of Republican oilman Bill Fenstermaker of Lafayette as someone whose name has been mentioned for the Senate race, but who probably won't run. I wonder if Fenstermaker can be convinced to run for Chris John's open House seat, which is centered in Lafayette? A Republican who can run as well as Bush in Lafayette Parish (the parish is heavily Republican in presidential elections but less so in state and congressional races) would have an excellent chance of winning the House seat.

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[AuH2ORepublican]

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[Impy]

I agree our best shot is winning it in November. OR runnof versus Ieyboub.

Kennedy running could suck conservative rats who would otherwise vote Vitter.

I read somewhere that a Lafayette State Senator (R) will probably run for John's seat.

[WFTR]

If a one-on-one race will help Republicans, I think we can guarantee that the Democrats will field at least two candidates. In spite of our hopes around dedicated Republican voters coming to the run-off elections, we've lost two consecutive run-offs. The Democrats will believe that they have an advantage there, and they'll field enough candidates to force a run-off. I'd look for at least one major black candidate and two or three geographical candidates.

Another Terri's Law
Bill