Will Iraqi War Tempt China to Invade Taiwan?

DefeneWatch ^ | 11-20-2002 | Tom Knowlton

[tsomer]

Intelligence sources additionally believe that China shipped SA-7 surface-to-air missiles to the Taliban regime after the 9/11 attacks

This does put a wrinkle in things, though I still think that they won't invade. The cost would be too high, and the Chinese are pragmatic. One or more generations and Mao will be forgotten; nobody will notice they're still essentially fascist.

As to the Islamo-fascist contacts and contracts: could be protection money. The Huygars, and other groups along their Western border are becoming troublesome, and some are aligned with Alqueda.

[Sparta]

I never said they'll invade, because the time is not right for them now. They're looking at anywhere from 2005-2010 when most if not all their modernizations will come online.

[Man of the Right]

An attack on Taiwan would be suicide for the Chicoms. Can't say they won't do it, but can't say they're idiots, either.

[The Pheonix]

China and the Taliban are enemies and will NOT supply them the time of the day

The Taliban had been trainning for years, 10000s of anti-China terrorists of the Islamic East Turkestan Army gighting China for independence of Xinjiang. These terrorists had bombed Chinese civilian targets killing 1000s, including 100s of schoolchildren

If this attacks persist and get out of hand, China is prepared to send 10000000s of troops across their borders to Afghanistan to eradicate the Taliban, so said Military intelligences

[tsomer]

China is prepared to send 10000000s of troops across their borders to Afghanistan to eradicate the Taliban

I'm sure their help would be appreciated, but see no need at this point. Knowledge that they share our sentiments certainly warms the heart, though.

[tsomer]

I never said they'll invade,...

My bad.

They're looking at anywhere from 2005-2010 when most if not all their modernizations will come online.

I doubt they'll need to by that time, given they way they're drawing in capital investment. Lenin once remarked: "the capitalist will gladly sell you the rope you hang him with;" Lenin was a lot of things, but stupid wasn't one.

Things could change: invasion(check post 24.), economic collapse (a real, and scary possibility,) or some paranoid martinet taking over the controls, any of these would alter things, and probably bring on the other three. But if they keep their course, they might do very well.

Here's the question: what should we do? Should Japan get Nukes? How do the Korean markets stack up? What about the Philipines? Shouldn't we be promoting alternatives, or are these things already in motion?

My 2 cents.

[Sparta]

I think we should allow Japan to develop a stronger conventional force. South Korea can defeat North Korea in an all-conventional war by itself. The Philipino Military needs a complete overhaul. Its warplanes are woefully outdated F-5s. The Navy couldn't stop a fleet of junks from invading. However, the ground forces have been improved by US advisors. I think we need to bring Russia into NATO because China wants resources. Another area to watch is Vietnam and the rest of Indochina.

[SC Swamp Fox]

I thought I would find you here.

[Jeff Head]

LOL! ... also HERE. Read my intro there and then posts 107 and 110.

FRegards.