After studying this phenomenon for many decades, I believe it is true—that is, the periodic El Ninos are a real thing that affects our weather. Are they manmade? Of course not! Are they influenced by human produced carbon dioxide? No.
Nobody really looks at all the statistics. We are only one big volcanic eruption from the Earth itself belching out enough carbon dioxide (and other chemicals) into the atmosphere to surpass the last 25 years of human industry. Three or four simultaneous major eruptions could rival ALL human activity ever.
But El Nino is real. It happens. Not much we can do about it but study it’s relationship to our weather.
Here in Alabama (and the rest of the Southeast) we are having a terribly hot Summer. High 90s, low 100s every day. Usually by this time of the year a hurricane or two or three has barreled into the Southeast and torn up the high pressure that lords over us. That hasn’t happened. This hot, dry air has been more or less in place for more than 3 months.
We could manage our reservoirs better, for both times of flood and drought. If we can get better at predicting when it will happen, we can advise farmers on the ideal crops to plant, herds to graze or move, etc.
The expected effect of this Super El Nino, is significantly higher than average precipitation, and somewhat cooler temperatures in California and Southern United States. Warmer than average in the Northern US.
The expected effect of this Super El Nino, is significantly higher than average precipitation, and somewhat cooler temperatures in California and Southern United States. Warmer than average in the Northern US.