I have a lot of experience with AI in medicine.
It is not intelligent. It is not smart.
It stacks facts very rapidly - but intelligence (smartness) is not fact stacking.
AI thinks like a medical student thinks.
I have heard that real medicine is really all about diagnosis. Identifying the problem. Perhaps AI is not smart, not intelligent. Perhaps AI will never be able to diagnose as well as a human.
Fine.
How about surgery? How about dosing prescriptions? I think it is inarguable that machines will do these things better than humans. So, humans will retain a role in medicine (diagnosis, etc.) but machines will take some medical jobs away from humans.
My basic argument is never metaphysical (”AI will be smarter than humans” or however one wants to phrase it) my basic argument is always economic — “There are a lot of humans who will not have skills or knowledge that remains useful within the national economy in the 21st century. There are machines that will perform tasks which humans used to perform. Will we have to adjust to a reality where a big percentage of humans no longer contribute to the economy.”
Perhaps medicine is a good field for humans. But how about banking? Insurance? Architecture? Logistics? There are some jobs that will no longer be suitable for humans, and it has nothing to do with “machine sentience” or anything like that.