Well it's kind of the elephant in the room, isn't it?
A "solution" that ignores that elephant, is not a "solution", is it?
My prediction is that if the Iran war continues to simmer as it has been, the Iranians will launch an all-out attack in October on a variety of targets in the gulf and do some significant damage to oil production, perhaps with Russian and Chinese help. Fuel prices will spike to $200/barrel. The media will run with it 24-7 (think Tet Offensive) and attempt to do maximum damage to the Republicans in the run-up to the mid-terms.
That is not an unreasonable guess. I figured they would do something close to elections in an effort to damage Republicans. However, unless we can land a knockout punch, we will just have to take it.