Republicans gain in the house forecast Per decision desk

X ^ | 07/22/2026 | OSZ

[SmokingJoe]

OSZ @OpenSourceZone Republicans gain in the house forecast Per decision desk

June 4: (🔵 Dem 73% Chance)

🔵 Democrats: 237 🔴 Republicans: 198

Now: (🔵 Dem 59% Chance)

🔵 Democrats: 224 (-13) 🔴 Republicans: 211 (+13) Image 2:29 PM · Jul 22, 2026

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TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: decisiondesk; midterms; polls

[SmokingJoe]

Very rapid advances by Republicans in just one month with three months to go.

"Blue wave"? Not a chance.

[SmokingJoe]

@OpenSourceZone
2026 Wisconsin Governor Race

🔴 Tom Tiffany: 43%
🔵 Francesca Hong: 40%

This would be a 🔵 Dem -> 🔴 GOP flip

Marquette poll | 7/8-7/16

https://x.com/OpenSourceZone/status/2079990143662862745

[SmokingJoe]

OSZ
@OpenSourceZone
Possible House Scenarios if Either Party Sweeps Toss-Ups (Crystal Ball)

GOP Sweep:
🔴 Republicans: 228 (+8)
🔵 Democrats: 207 (-8)

Dem Sweep:
🔵 Democrats: 222 (+7)
🔴 Republicans: 213 (-7)

(+/- vs 2024 Election)

https://x.com/OpenSourceZone/status/2079914263435444441

[DeplorableTrumpSupporter]

I want to see the poll on Election Day ...

[ealgeone]

Dims always like the poll two weeks after election day.

[cowboyusa]

Democrats ran as moderates, and still had a moderate to liberal reputation in 2028. That isFAR gone now. The Brandon Presidency destroyed it.

[Libloather]

Have they started polling the commie and nazi vote yet?

[ripnbang]

This is why, IMHO, Trump is slow walking (in a good way…patience is good) Iran. If Trump were truly worried about the mid-terms, he’d be looking for an off ramp. My guess is their internal data is ok…not great, but ok…subject to change if things go off the rails.

[montag813]

The main threats are (1) White women staying home out of anger over propagandized ICE deaths; (2) MAGA’s staying home because of gas prices and Iran war/Israel.

[redangus]

Or a month or so after.