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Posted on 07/04/2026 8:39:20 AM PDT by Merrick
President Donald Trump's plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz appears to be working, as transits show the strongest signs yet of returning to normal operations.
Commercial shipping is steadily increasing under the 60-day U.S.-Iran ceasefire, easing fears of prolonged global oil supply disruptions and driving crude prices lower.
New maritime data shows vessel traffic through the strategic waterway has more than quadrupled over the past week as shipping companies cautiously resume voyages through the Persian Gulf.
According to maritime intelligence platform Signal, the number of traceable daily voyages entering and leaving the Gulf increased from just one or two ships during most of the conflict to eight vessels by July 1, based on a seven-day moving average.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
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So any day we’ll see the contracts going out to excavate and dispose of the uranium.
According to maritime intelligence platform Signal, the number of traceable daily voyages entering and leaving the Gulf increased from just one or two ships during most of the conflict to eight vessels by July 1, based on a seven-day moving average.
But the number of ships moving through with their transponders off is believed to be considerably higher. One study estimated that as many as 40 ships a day transited the strait over the past week.
Before the 2026 Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz typically saw 120 to 140 vessel transits per day, with some sources citing an average of 138 crossings daily.
The Trump administration’s plan in the Strait of Hormuz hinged on a combination of
<><>clandestine military operations
<><>and financial incentives.
The primary factors that made it work included:
The “Southern Highway”: The U.S. military orchestrated a secret operation allowing commercial vessels to bypass Iranian-approved lanes by using a safe, alternative route closer to Omani waters. Shuttle tankers navigated this route in the dark with their transmitters off to avoid Iranian interference.-—— CBS
Clandestine U.S. Escorts: U.S. Central Command, utilizing destroyers, aircraft, and unmanned platforms, secretly assisted hundreds of commercial ships and over 100 million barrels of oil in safely transiting the strait. —— CBC
Financial Negotiations: The U.S. and Iran agreed to an interim peace pact that temporarily halted fighting. As part of the diplomatic framework, Iran was offered billions of dollars in unfrozen funds in exchange for relinquishing toll demands and guaranteeing safe passage for commercial shipping for an initial 60 days. ——The New York Times
For further details on how the operation was managed, read
the full CNBC report or review the Atlantic Council analysis.
That’s right. And then we had a war. Were you aware?
And why don’t you provide links if you want people to review these as you suggest?
https://www.vesselfinder.com/ still looks pretty clogged up to me.
of course 4X1 equals 4 so to quadruple one ship means now there are 4?
And, by the way, with only a handful of ships going through a day, oil is pretty much the same today as it was one year ago.
Opening the Strait is a good thing. Making the Strait inconsequential to international commerce while Iranian Jihadi’s have influence over it is even better, don’t you think? Because Trump has done the latter.
Umm - was clear in the portion I posted so, are you ‘teaching’ me that?
And, more importantly, WHO CARES!!?? See reply 8.
And, by the way, it was 8 - but what’s a factor of 2, right?
Again - see post 8.
He's made a start at it, but we're not there yet. Nor have European stocks been rebuilt. Hence, should the fighting start up again, the world economy would quickly become very shaky. That's reality. Best not to paint it as too rosy as the article title did.
Please do not paint my reasons for posting that so hyperbolically. I do think we needed the war, albeit I also think Trump should have got more Congressional buy-in before starting it. I think the debate would have been good for us as a nation. We really should have finished rebuilding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before starting. I have doubts the situation was as dire as was portrayed and we should have had better evidence for it for public buy-in if it was. After all, we all still have a sour taste considering how Saddam Hussein's WMD were portrayed.
Also went a took a closer look - didn’t you post this link and use this argument a few weeks ago in response to me?
And same reply - and to be clear I’m not suggesting there’s not a backlog there - but it’s also a natural choke point restricting traffic whether it can freely flow or not, and the density of ships IN YOUR LIKE near the Strait of Hormuz isn’t significantly different USING THE SAME LINK as the density of ships around Jeddah and Baysh, on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula - with NO NATURAL CHOKEPOINT.
Data doesn’t mean squat if there is no context and nothing to compare it to. Saying, “gee, looks like a lot of ships to me,” is meaningless.
If the fighting starts up again then everything changes including this discussion.
You might as well say if aliens land.
I think the war starting up again is more likely, but if you’re just going to throw hypotheticals out then anyone can do that. I have more important things to do that ponder hypotheticals. There’s another thread posted a little before this one talking about collapse in the regime. Want to talk about hypotheticals?
I should have said, “I think the war starting up again is more likely than aliens landing...” to make it more clear what I meant.
But but but
Hormuz traffic may or may not return to “ historic averages” as demand destruction has resulted from supply disruption.
China is essentially the only one buying Iranian oil, and purchases have not yet returned to prewar as China has been drawing on its billion barrel reserves
Existing pipeline alternatives to the Strait ramped up for their flow and others are under construction. New energy markets have opened up in the Americas, with the US and Venezuela offering geopolitically stable sources of supply
Exactly. All of that is going on in parallel. The point is that over time, if the regime is still in place, their ability to threaten traffic in the Strait will become less and less important internationally.
You could also point out that China wasn’t the only but the primary purchaser of illicit Iranian oil when we had sanction on (can anyone remember how long it’s been since we haven’t had sanctions on Iranian oil sales?) and were therefore buying it WAY below market price. When and if Iranian oil opens back up to China it will be purchased on the open market and China will have to pay market prices on it.
This isn’t about Iran. Iran is just part of it. This is about America.
Nikata Sanders’ angry commie squaw girls’ heads and Handmaidan suits are exploding.
Holy delusion, Batman!
Trump literally said we had to quit the war because it threatened global economic depression!
To repeat, if not already clear to you, he quit the war because of the consequences the Straits closure had on international commerce. You have it exactly backwards.
So, how are oil proces down if the number of ships going through the Strait are one-onehundredth what it was in February? Or are they lying and the Strait is really wide open?
I guess those two numbers are my imagination?
Gather the ability to hold two opposing ideas in your head at the same time. That’s how one starts to see the bigger picture.
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