DemocRAT tears make me happy.
It’s wrong.
Every Presidential election from 2004 through 2020 (sans 2008) was decided by 500,000 votes or less. Allow me to quantify that.
Gen.Blather wrote previously that his Uncle who was big in Ohio Repub circles said “each party candidate will attract about forty percent of the total vote. It doesn’t matter who they are, whether they’re good candidates or even if they’re dead. They get forty percent. All elections are a fight for the necessary eleven percent to make 51%”
He’s a smart man. I would argue, however, it’s actually LESS than 11%.
Since Reagan’s landslide in 1984, the popular vote margin ranged from a high of 8.51% for Clinton to a low of -2.09% for Trump.
Again, as we know, the popular vote isn’t the decider - it’s the Electoral College. Thus you have to scrutinize the winning vote margin in those close states that tip the balance to the winner, ie the Tipping Point states.
Since 2004 every election except for 2008 it came down to the handful of states that tip the Electoral College scale to the winner:
- In Trump’s win in 2016, his cumulative winning margin in the tipping point states of WI, MI, and PA was 77,444 votes.
- Trump in 2024’s tipping point total was 229,766 votes (also in WI, MI, and PA).
-In Biden’s casein 2020, his tipping point margin was about 40k votes.
-Obama in 2012, it was about 500k votes.
- Obama’s tipping point goal was almost 1MM votes in 2008. -Bush in 2004, about 16k votes.
All this campaigning and rallies and debates blah blah blah…it all comes down in general to beating the other guy (or gal) by less than 250,000 votes.
….and it’s actually thinner than that, because all the losing candidate needed was to flip at least half of those votes.
Thus, if the Dems were raging anti-Americanists, we’d have blowout elections. But we don’t.
The truth of the matter is Dems are offering anti-Trump candidates. Yes, in some cases they’re antis like AOC, but broadly Dem candidates win thru demonization, slime, and emotionalism. And it works, and has worked for decades.
Most importantly, you don’t need piles of people to win. We are talking mere percentage points in many cases.
Ignoring a problem doesn’t make it go away. And with Trump being term limited, the Repubs need an actual strategy for 2026 and beyond.
I believe there is an old saying about....living by the sword & dying by the sword....is this what the Democrat party wants? If so, there are maybe a couple other parties who are not quite so vitriolic who would probably willingly take their place.
Just listen to what they say, and keep ‘em talking!