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Posted on 05/20/2026 5:31:56 AM PDT by Words Matter
The Context of the Margin
Political analysts and election data clarify why this gap is highly notable:
Final Election Results:
Challenger Ed Gallrein won 54.9% of the vote compared to Thomas Massie's 45.1%.
Expectations vs. Reality:
In the final days leading up to the election, polling from outlets like Newsweek and the BBC indicated a "dead heat" or a "razor-thin margin". Massie himself publicly estimated a close "50-50 race". The nearly 10-point actual gap shattered those projections.
Historical Performance:
Massie noted that in a typical primary cycle, his independent conservative brand would easily net him roughly 80% of the vote. Dropping down to 45% represents a dramatic shift in support within his district.
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D’oh
I posted the wrong link regarding demographics sorry
https://x.com/AFpost/status/2056914953987371313
Looks like a sideways adaptation of a Churchill quote is in play ... If you are not a libertarian when you are young, you have no heart. If you are not MAGA when old, you have no brain. Not perfect but seems to fit
Baris had this wrong again. After being right all the way through 2024, he let his anti-Israel bias taint his methods. Meanwhile, Insights had the race at Gallrein +9, or absolutely perfect.
Sad that Baris has fallen so far in accuracy. He was a solid player on polling, but his Jewish bias is now showing.
I'm not Jewish, but Massie's brand of rhetoric is despicable. Anti-semites are everywhere - they've just lost their collective check-valve. Nice they tell us who they are.
Accusing the Uniparty
Glad Massie is gone. So the social media posts boosted by Qatar millions failed
I saw an interview with Massie where he said it was close with him ahead by 1.
LIAR! You lost by TEN! In a close race 10 points is a BLOWOUT.
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